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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · 1899 HOFFENHEIM 62% · Value: Over 2.5 68%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Bundesliga · REGULAR SEASON - 33 · SAT, 09 MAY · 13:30 LOCAL
1899 HOFFENHEIM
5TH · 61 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W D L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
WERDER BREMEN
L D W L L
· 15TH · 32 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 26' Bazoumana Touré
GOALS
Albian Hajdari
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Albian Hajdari
1899 Hoffenheim · 91 mins
· 77% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Bundesliga: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.41
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.08
72%
BALL POSSESSION %
28%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
11
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
65%
8
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 5'
    Card · Red Card
    Yukinari Sugawara
    WER
  2. 12'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Salim Musah · assist Isaac Schmidt
    WER
  3. 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Bazoumana Touré · assist Andrej Kramarić
    189
  4. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Cameron Puertas
    WER
  5. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Bazoumana Touré · assist Alexander Prass
    189
  6. 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Bernardo
    189
  7. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jens Stage · assist Samuel Mbangula
    WER
  8. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Romano Schmid · assist Marco Grüll
    WER
  9. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Bernardo · assist Robin Hranáč
    189
  10. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tim Lemperle · assist Cole Campbell
    189
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Isaac Schmidt · assist Maximilian Wöber
    WER
  12. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Justin Njinmah
    WER
  13. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    WER
  14. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Andrej Kramarić · assist Grischa Prömel
    189
  15. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Fisnik Asllani · assist Adam Hložek
    189
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
1899 HOFFENHEIM AVG 7.8
WERDER BREMEN AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.4
xG
1.1
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
4.0
ON TARGET
2.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
3.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
72.0%
POSSESSION %
28.0%
677.0
PASSES
264.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
65.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
3.0
DISCIPLINE
4.0
FOULS
3.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
1899 HOFFENHEIM 3 shots
Wouter Burger
0/2
Bazoumana Touré
1/1
WERDER BREMEN 4 shots
Olivier Deman
1/2
Senne Lynen
0/1
Cameron Puertas
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.41 – 1.08
1.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 1.4 0.0 HT 26' H 1.41 A 1.08 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-1-4-1
4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1
1
OLIVER BA
13
BERNARDO
 8.3
21
ALBIAN HA
5
OZAN KABA
 8.2
34
VLADIMíR
 7.5
18
WOUTER BU
 7.9
7
LEON AVDU
 7.3
29
BAZOUMANA
11
FISNIK AS
27
ANDREJ KR
19
TIM LEMPE
 7.7
30
MIO BACKH
 7.0
2
OLIVIER D
32
MARCO FRI
5
AMOS PIEP
3
YUKINARI
 7.2
14
SENNE LYN
20
ROMANO SC
 6.9
18
CAMERON P
6
JENS STAG
11
JUSTIN NJ
29
SALIM MUS
SUBSTITUTES · 1899 HOFFENHEIM
33
Max Moersted...
F
6
Grischa Pröm...
M
10
Muhammed Dam...
M
22
Alexander Pr...
D
20
Cole Campbel...
F
25
Kevin Akpogu...
D
2
Robin Hranáč
D
37
Luca Philipp
G
23
Adam Hložek
F
COACH: Christian Ilzer
SUBSTITUTES · WERDER BREMEN
17
Marco Grüll
F
7
Samuel Mbang...
F
24
Patrice Čovi...
M
4
Niklas Stark
D
31
Karim Coulib...
D
39
Maximilian W...
D
25
Markus Kolke
G
23
Isaac Schmid...
D
19
Jovan Miloše...
F
COACH: Daniel Thioune
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
189 · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

WER · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Sören Storks, Germany
—
189 MANAGER
Christian Ilzer
head coach
WER MANAGER
Daniel Thioune
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
7
189 WINS
1
DRAWS
2
WER WINS
70%
10%
20%
24 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
27 Jan 2026
Werder Bremen
0 – 2
1899 Hoffenheim
W
16 Feb 2025
Werder Bremen
1 – 3
1899 Hoffenheim
W
29 Sep 2024
1899 Hoffenheim
3 – 4
Werder Bremen
L
03 Mar 2024
1899 Hoffenheim
2 – 1
Werder Bremen
W
07 Oct 2023
Werder Bremen
2 – 3
1899 Hoffenheim
W
1899 HOFFENHEIM LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W D L
WERDER BREMEN LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
1899 HOFFENHEIM #5
Won · already at 61 pts
UEFA Europa League
WERDER BREMEN #15
Lost · already at 32 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Bayern München 33 27 5 1 +82 86
W D W W W
2 Borussia Dortmund 33 21 7 5 +34 70
W L W L L
3 RB Leipzig 33 20 5 8 +22 65
W L W W W
4 VfB Stuttgart 33 18 7 8 +22 61
W D D L W
5 1899 Hoffenheim 33 18 7 8 +17 61
W D W W D
6 Bayer Leverkusen 33 17 7 9 +21 58
L W W L W
7 SC Freiburg 33 12 8 13 -9 44
L D L W W
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 33 11 10 12 -4 43
L L D L W
9 FC Augsburg 33 12 7 14 -12 43
W W D W D
10 FSV Mainz 05 33 9 10 14 -11 37
L W L D L
11 Hamburger SV 33 9 10 14 -14 37
W W L L L
12 Union Berlin 33 9 9 15 -18 36
W D L L L
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 8 11 14 -15 35
L W D D L
14 1. FC Köln 33 7 11 15 -10 32
L D L D W
15 Werder Bremen 33 8 8 17 -21 32
L L D W L
16 VfL Wolfsburg 33 6 8 19 -26 26
L D D W L
17 1. FC Heidenheim 33 6 8 19 -29 26
W D W L W
18 FC St. Pauli 33 6 8 19 -29 26
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Fisnik Asllani
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Andrej Kramarić
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Justin Njinmah
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Isaac Schmidt
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tim Lemperle
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Bernardo
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Romano Schmid
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jens Stage
  • 66'
    Card · Yellow Card · Bernardo
    Tripping
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Bazoumana Touré
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Cameron Puertas
    Delay of game
  • 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Bazoumana Touré
  • 12'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Salim Musah
  • 5'
    Card · Red Card · Yukinari Sugawara
    Serious foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
1899 HOFFENHEIM WIN
1.48
67.6% implied
↑ best 1.52
DRAW
4.97
20.1% implied
↑ best 5.23
WERDER BREMEN WIN
5.64
17.7% implied
↑ best 6.10

Market favors 1899 Hoffenheim. AI projects 1899 HOFFENHEIM 62% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS 1899 HOFFENHEIM 62% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.50 4.90 5.10 -0.4%
1xBet 1.52 5.23 5.94 +1.2%
888Sport 1.44 4.80 5.00 -0.8%
Bet365 1.48 5.00 5.75 +0.6%
Betano 1.52 5.00 6.10 +1.6%
Betfair 1.44 5.00 5.50 0.0%
BetVictor 1.45 4.80 6.00 +1.3%
Dafabet 1.51 5.00 5.60 +0.1%
Marathonbet 1.50 5.15 5.85 +0.9%
Pinnacle 1.50 5.12 5.91 +1.1%
SBO 1.46 4.77 5.51 -0.1%
Unibet 1.46 5.00 5.60 +0.1%
William Hill 1.44 4.80 5.50 -0.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 6.63
2.5 O 1.35 U 3.02
3.5 O 1.94 U 1.87
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.47 10 bks
NO
2.55 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.22
Away -0.5 2.62
Away -0.75 2.40
Away -1 2.13
Away -1.25 1.87
Away -1.5 1.67
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.