GOALSENSE
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Bundesliga · REGULAR SEASON - 33 · SUN, 10 MAY · 15:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
1. FC KöLN
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME
1. FC HEIDENHEIM
⚽ 10' Marius Bülter
GOALS
⚽ 8' Jan Schöppner ⚽ 28' Arijon Ibrahimović ⚽ 72' Jan Schöppner
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 52/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
1.
1 – 1
1.
most likely scoreline · 14.6% probability
AI PICKS 1. FC KöLN TO WIN 48%
FT 1 – 3
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
1. WIN 48%
DRAW 24%
1. WIN 28%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 72% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 72% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Köln slight home favourite but Heidenheim's road discipline and recent 2-2 draw keep odds competitive; draw and BTTS live.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY 1. FC KöLN FAVORED
48%
Köln 9-point lead + home venue offsets poor home form (LWDLD) vs Heidenheim's weak away record (DLDLL)
+25.0%
Heidenheim relegation-fight intensity (18th, 23pts) will produce chances; 2026 H2H was 2-2 suggesting open play
+20.0%
Recent form even (Köln DLDWD, Heidenheim DWLWD) — no momentum signal; bookmaker BTTS 69% and Over 2.5 68% both defensible
+15.0%
WHY 1. FC HEIDENHEIM CHALLENGED
28%
Köln 9-point lead + home venue offsets poor home form (LWDLD) vs Heidenheim's weak away record (DLDLL)
+25.0%
Heidenheim relegation-fight intensity (18th, 23pts) will produce chances; 2026 H2H was 2-2 suggesting open play
+20.0%
Recent form even (Köln DLDWD, Heidenheim DWLWD) — no momentum signal; bookmaker BTTS 69% and Over 2.5 68% both defensible
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Köln 9-point lead + home venue offsets poor home form (LWDLD) vs Heidenheim's weak away record (DLDLL)
  • Heidenheim relegation-fight intensity (18th, 23pts) will produce chances; 2026 H2H was 2-2 suggesting open play
  • Recent form even (Köln DLDWD, Heidenheim DWLWD) — no momentum signal; bookmaker BTTS 69% and Over 2.5 68% both defensible
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 8' JAN SCHöP ⚽ 10' MARIUS Bü ⚽ 28' ARIJON IBR ⚽ 72' JAN SCHöP
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.6%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.5
5.7
1.8
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.6
13.5
6.2
1.9
0.4
0.1
·
2
7.9
7.3
3.3
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
2.8
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.6%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.5%
2 — 0 7.9%
Top 5 = 61.9% · rest 38.1%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.07
48.0%
2.08
-0.5%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.35
72.0%
1.39
-2.7%
—
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.96
24.0%
4.17
-4.9%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.24
76.0%
1.32
-6.0%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.75
52.0%
1.92
-8.9%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.16
28.0%
3.57
-11.6%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.36
63.0%
1.59
-14.2%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.40
58.0%
1.72
-19.0%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.