GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–2 · DRAW 45% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
Bundesliga · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SAT, 02 MAY · 13:30 LOCAL
UNION BERLIN
11TH · 39 PTS · LAST 5:
W W L L L
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
1. FC KöLN
L L L D W
· 14TH · 32 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 73' Tom Rothe ⚽ 89' Livan Burcu
GOALS
Tom Alexander Rothe
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Tom Alexander Rothe
Union Berlin · 97 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 30% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Bundesliga: Union Berlin vs FC Koln
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

113%
BALL POSSESSION %
64%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
8
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
353%
PASS ACCURACY %
248%
2
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 9 events
  1. 34'
    Card · Argument
    Diogo Leite
    UNI
  2. 58'
    Subst
    Andrej Ilic · assist Ilyas Ansah
    UNI
  3. 58'
    Subst
    Livan Burcu · assist András Schäfer
    UNI
  4. 58'
    Subst
    Christopher Trimmel  · assist Josip Juranovic
    UNI
  5. 67'
    Subst
    Tim Skarke · assist Stanley Nsoki
    UNI
  6. 73'
    Goal · 1-2
    Tom Rothe · assist Christopher Trimmel 
    UNI
  7. 88'
    Subst
    Alex Král · assist Rani Khedira
    UNI
  8. 89'
    Goal · 2-2
    Livan Burcu · assist Alex Král
    UNI
  9. 90'+6
    Card · Argument
    Livan Burcu
    UNI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
UNION BERLIN AVG 7.5
1. FC KöLN AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
2.0
ON TARGET
4.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
5.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
113.0%
POSSESSION %
64.0%
460.0
PASSES
334.0
353.0%
PASS ACCURACY
248.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
5.0
15.0
OFFSIDES
15.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
UNION BERLIN 3 shots
Tom Alexander Rothe
1/2
Livan Burcu
1/1
1. FC KöLN 3 shots
Said El Mala
1/2
Marius Bülter
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 100%
0% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
0
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-2 vs 4-2-3-1
3-5-2
4-2-3-1
25
CARL KLAU
 7.2
34
STANLEY N
 7.6
4
DIOGO LEI
5
DANILHO D
 7.9
15
TOM ALEXA
6
ALJOSCHA
8
RANI KHED
13
ANDRáS SC
18
JOSIP JUR
10
ILYAS ANS
7
OLIVER BU
1
MARVIN SC
32
KRISTOFFE
39
CENK ÖZKA
 7.3
22
JAHMAI SI
28
SEBASTIAN
 7.0
6
ERIC MART
5
TOM KRAUß
 7.5
30
MARIUS Bü
16
JAKUB KAM
7
LUCA WALD
 7.9
13
SAID EL M
SUBSTITUTES · UNION BERLIN
23
Andrej Ilić
F
21
Tim Skarke
M
39
Derrick Köhn
D
33
Alex Král
M
19
Janik Habere...
M
28
Christopher...
D
14
Leopold Quer...
D
9
Livan Burcu
F
COACH: Marie-Louise Eta
SUBSTITUTES · 1. FC KöLN
17
Alessio Cast...
M
8
Denis Husein...
M
29
Jan Uwe Thie...
M
27
Felipe Cháve...
M
37
Linton Maina
M
2
Joel Schmied
D
3
Dominique He...
D
20
Ron-Robert Z...
G
38
Youssoupha N...
F
COACH: Lukas Kwasniok
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
UNI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

1. · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Daniel Schlager, Germany
—
UNI MANAGER
Marie-Louise Eta
head coach
1. MANAGER
Lukas Kwasniok
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
UNI WINS
2
DRAWS
2
1. WINS
60%
20%
20%
14 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
20 Dec 2025
1. FC Köln
0 – 1
Union Berlin
W
11 May 2024
1. FC Köln
3 – 2
Union Berlin
L
20 Dec 2023
Union Berlin
2 – 0
1. FC Köln
W
04 Mar 2023
Union Berlin
0 – 0
1. FC Köln
D
11 Sep 2022
1. FC Köln
0 – 1
Union Berlin
W
UNION BERLIN LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L L L
1. FC KöLN LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
UNION BERLIN #11
Lost · already at 39 pts
1. FC KöLN #14
Lost · already at 32 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Bayern München 34 28 5 1 +86 89
W W D W W
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 22 7 5 +36 73
W W L W L
3 RB Leipzig 34 20 5 9 +19 65
L W L W W
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 18 8 8 +22 62
D W D D L
5 1899 Hoffenheim 34 18 7 9 +13 61
L W D W W
6 Bayer Leverkusen 34 17 8 9 +21 59
D L W W L
7 SC Freiburg 34 13 8 13 -6 47
W L D L W
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 11 11 12 -4 44
D L L D L
9 FC Augsburg 34 12 7 15 -16 43
L W W D W
10 FSV Mainz 05 34 10 10 14 -9 40
W L W L D
11 Union Berlin 34 10 9 15 -14 39
W W D L L
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 34 9 11 14 -11 38
W L W D D
13 Hamburger SV 34 9 11 14 -14 38
D W W L L
14 1. FC Köln 34 7 11 16 -14 32
L L D L D
15 Werder Bremen 34 8 8 18 -23 32
L L L D W
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 7 8 19 -24 29
W L D D W
17 1. FC Heidenheim 34 6 8 20 -31 26
L W D W L
18 FC St. Pauli 34 6 8 20 -31 26
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Argument · Livan Burcu
    5th Yellowcard
  • 89'
    Goal · 2-2 · Livan Burcu
    4th Goal
  • 88'
    Subst · Alex Král
    10th Substitution
  • 73'
    Goal · 1-2 · Tom Rothe
    3rd Goal
  • 67'
    Subst · Tim Skarke
    5th Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Christopher Trimmel 
    3rd Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Livan Burcu
    1st Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Andrej Ilic
    2nd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 34'
    Card · Argument · Diogo Leite
    2nd Yellowcard
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
UNION BERLIN WIN
2.51
39.8% implied
↑ best 2.73
DRAW
3.40
29.4% implied
↑ best 3.60
1. FC KöLN WIN
2.77
36.1% implied
↑ best 2.95

Market favors Union Berlin. AI projects DRAW 45% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.46 3.35 2.74 +15.1%
1xBet 2.55 3.52 2.95 +16.6%
888Sport 2.45 3.20 2.75 +13.8%
Bet365 2.45 3.50 2.80 +16.4%
Betano 2.67 3.40 2.65 +15.6%
Betfair 2.45 3.30 2.80 +14.7%
BetVictor 2.38 3.60 2.75 +17.2%
Dafabet 2.46 3.50 2.85 +16.4%
Marathonbet 2.73 3.45 2.66 +16.0%
Pinnacle 2.52 3.46 2.93 +16.1%
SBO 2.52 3.40 2.57 +15.6%
Unibet 2.55 3.25 2.75 +14.2%
William Hill 2.45 3.25 2.80 +14.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 4.10
2.5 O 1.74 U 2.10
3.5 O 2.75 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.58 10 bks
NO
2.28 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.71
Away -0.5 1.54
Away -0.75 1.38
Away -1 1.23
Away -1.25 1.20
Away -1.5 1.15
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.