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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–3 · DRAW 48% · Value: Over 2.5 96%
CONF 78 FULL ANALYSIS →
Bundesliga · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SAT, 02 MAY · 13:30 LOCAL
1899 HOFFENHEIM
5TH · 61 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W D L
FT
3 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
VFB STUTTGART
W D L W L
· 4TH · 61 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 8' Andrej Kramarić ⚽ 23' Bazoumana Touré ⚽ 49' Andrej Kramarić
GOALS
⚽ 20' C. Führich ⚽ 64' Ermedin Demirović ⚽ 90+5' Tiago Tomás
Andrej Kramarić
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Andrej Kramarić
1899 Hoffenheim · 91 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 28% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Bundesliga: 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
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Bundesliga: 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.17
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.75
47%
BALL POSSESSION %
53%
23
TOTAL SHOTS
11
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
78%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
4
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Andrej Kramarić · assist Fisnik Asllani
    189
  2. 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    C. Führich · assist Ramon Hendriks
    VFB
  3. 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Bazoumana Touré
    189
  4. 49'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Andrej Kramarić · assist Bazoumana Touré
    189
  5. 49'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Andrej Kramarić
    189
  6. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jeff Chabot · assist Maximilian Mittelstädt
    VFB
  7. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    J. Vagnoman · assist Ermedin Demirović
    VFB
  8. 58'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Bilal El Khannouss
    VFB
  9. 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ermedin Demirović · assist J. Leweling
    VFB
  10. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Bernardo
    189
  11. 69'
    Card · Red Card
    Atakan Karazor
    VFB
  12. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Bilal El Khannouss · assist L. Assignon
    VFB
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tim Lemperle · assist Max Moerstedt
    189
  14. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ozan Kabak
    189
  15. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    J. Leweling · assist Tiago Tomás
    VFB
  16. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Fisnik Asllani · assist Alexander Prass
    189
  17. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Andrej Kramarić · assist Muhammed Damar
    189
  18. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Wouter Burger · assist Kevin Akpoguma
    189
  19. 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tiago Tomás
    VFB
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
1899 HOFFENHEIM AVG 7.6
VFB STUTTGART AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.2
xG
0.8
23.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
9.0
ON TARGET
3.0
11.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
3.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
47.0%
POSSESSION %
53.0%
352.0
PASSES
404.0
78.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
4.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
18.0
FOULS
9.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
1899 HOFFENHEIM 13 shots
Andrej Kramarić
3/4
Bazoumana Touré
2/4
Wouter Burger
1/2
Tim Lemperle
1/2
Leon Avdullahu
0/1
VFB STUTTGART 5 shots
C. Führich
2/3
Ermedin Demirović
1/1
Deniz Undav
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.17 – 0.75
1.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 8' 23' 49' 20' 64' 90' H 2.17 A 0.75 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
OLIVER BA
13
BERNARDO
21
ALBIAN HA
5
OZAN KABA
34
VLADIMíR
 7.5
18
WOUTER BU
 7.0
7
LEON AVDU
 8.3
29
BAZOUMANA
11
FISNIK AS
 8.3
27
ANDREJ KR
 7.0
19
TIM LEMPE
 8.3
33
ALEXANDER
3
RAMON HEN
24
JEFF CHAB
14
LUCA JAQU
4
J. VAGNOM
6
ANGELO ST
16
ATAKAN KA
 7.3
10
C. FüHRIC
11
BILAL EL
 6.9
18
J. LEWELI
 6.9
26
DENIZ UND
SUBSTITUTES · 1899 HOFFENHEIM
9
Ihlas Bebou
F
23
Adam Hložek
F
10
Muhammed Dam...
M
22
Alexander Pr...
D
48
Luka Duric
M
20
Cole Campbel...
F
25
Kevin Akpogu...
D
37
Luca Philipp
G
33
Max Moersted...
F
COACH: Christian Ilzer
SUBSTITUTES · VFB STUTTGART
8
Tiago Tomás
F
27
Badredine Bo...
F
30
José María A...
M
28
Nikolas Nart...
M
23
Dan Zagadou
D
22
L. Assignon
D
7
Maximilian M...
D
1
Fabian Bredl...
G
9
Ermedin Demi...
F
COACH: Sebastian Hoeness
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
189 · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

VFB · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Sascha Stegemann, Germany
—
189 MANAGER
Christian Ilzer
head coach
VFB MANAGER
Sebastian Hoeness
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
189 WINS
5
DRAWS
3
VFB WINS
20%
50%
30%
11 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
20 Dec 2025
VfB Stuttgart
0 – 0
1899 Hoffenheim
D
23 Feb 2025
1899 Hoffenheim
1 – 1
VfB Stuttgart
D
06 Oct 2024
VfB Stuttgart
1 – 1
1899 Hoffenheim
D
16 Mar 2024
1899 Hoffenheim
0 – 3
VfB Stuttgart
L
28 Oct 2023
VfB Stuttgart
2 – 3
1899 Hoffenheim
W
1899 HOFFENHEIM LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D L
VFB STUTTGART LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–3 · result locked
1899 HOFFENHEIM #5
Lost · already at 61 pts
UEFA Europa League
VFB STUTTGART #4
Lost · already at 61 pts
Champions League
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Bayern München 33 27 5 1 +82 86
W D W W W
2 Borussia Dortmund 33 21 7 5 +34 70
W L W L L
3 RB Leipzig 33 20 5 8 +22 65
W L W W W
4 VfB Stuttgart 33 18 7 8 +22 61
W D D L W
5 1899 Hoffenheim 33 18 7 8 +17 61
W D W W D
6 Bayer Leverkusen 33 17 7 9 +21 58
L W W L W
7 SC Freiburg 33 12 8 13 -9 44
L D L W W
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 33 11 10 12 -4 43
L L D L W
9 FC Augsburg 33 12 7 14 -12 43
W W D W D
10 FSV Mainz 05 33 9 10 14 -11 37
L W L D L
11 Hamburger SV 33 9 10 14 -14 37
W W L L L
12 Union Berlin 33 9 9 15 -18 36
W D L L L
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 8 11 14 -15 35
L W D D L
14 1. FC Köln 33 7 11 15 -10 32
L D L D W
15 Werder Bremen 33 8 8 17 -21 32
L L D W L
16 VfL Wolfsburg 33 6 8 19 -26 26
L D D W L
17 1. FC Heidenheim 33 6 8 19 -29 26
W D W L W
18 FC St. Pauli 33 6 8 19 -29 26
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tiago Tomás
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Wouter Burger
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Andrej Kramarić
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Fisnik Asllani
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · J. Leweling
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ozan Kabak
    Tripping
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tim Lemperle
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Bilal El Khannouss
  • 69'
    Card · Red Card · Atakan Karazor
    Serious foul
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · Bernardo
    Holding
  • 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ermedin Demirović
  • 58'
    Card · Yellow Card · Bilal El Khannouss
    Holding
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · J. Vagnoman
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jeff Chabot
  • 49'
    Card · Yellow Card · Andrej Kramarić
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 49'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Andrej Kramarić
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Bazoumana Touré
  • 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal · C. Führich
  • 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Andrej Kramarić
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
1899 HOFFENHEIM WIN
2.39
41.8% implied
↑ best 2.50
DRAW
3.90
25.6% implied
↑ best 4.03
VFB STUTTGART WIN
2.63
38% implied
↑ best 2.74

Market favors 1899 Hoffenheim. AI projects DRAW 48% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.28 3.95 2.62 +22.7%
1xBet 2.50 4.03 2.72 +23.2%
888Sport 2.30 3.75 2.60 +21.3%
Bet365 2.40 4.00 2.55 +23.0%
Betano 2.40 3.75 2.72 +21.3%
Betfair 2.38 3.90 2.63 +22.4%
BetVictor 2.38 4.00 2.55 +23.0%
Dafabet 2.42 4.00 2.65 +23.0%
Marathonbet 2.43 3.92 2.74 +22.5%
Pinnacle 2.48 3.93 2.70 +22.6%
SBO 2.38 3.67 2.57 +20.8%
Unibet 2.43 3.95 2.50 +22.7%
William Hill 2.30 3.80 2.62 +21.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.10 U 6.23
2.5 O 1.39 U 2.88
3.5 O 1.99 U 1.82
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.35 10 bks
NO
3.03 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.75
Away -0.5 1.58
Away -0.75 1.43
Away -1 1.29
Away -1.25 1.25
Away -1.5 1.19
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.