GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · BAYER LEVERKUSEN 42% · Value: Over 2.5 68%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Bundesliga · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SAT, 02 MAY · 16:30 LOCAL
BAYER LEVERKUSEN
6TH · 58 PTS · LAST 5:
L W L L W
FT
4 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
RB LEIPZIG
W W W W W
· 3RD · 65 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 25' Patrik Schick ⚽ 45' N. Tella ⚽ 76' Patrik Schick ⚽ 89' Patrik Schick
GOALS
⚽ 80' Christoph Baumgartner
Patrik Schick
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Patrik Schick
Bayer Leverkusen · 93 mins
⚽ 3 goals · 18% pass acc · 5 shots on
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

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Bundesliga: Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig
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Bundesliga: Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

4.38
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.14
54%
BALL POSSESSION %
46%
23
TOTAL SHOTS
14
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
7
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 14'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Max Finkgräfe
    RB
  2. 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Patrik Schick · assist N. Tella
    BAY
  3. 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    N. Tella · assist Aleix García
    BAY
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Antonio Nusa · assist Brajan Gruda
    RB
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    El Chadaille Bitshiabu · assist Castello Lukeba
    RB
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nicolas Seiwald · assist Assan Ouédraogo
    RB
  7. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Rômulo · assist Conrad Harder
    RB
  8. 72'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Xaver Schlager
    RB
  9. 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Patrik Schick · assist Ibrahim Maza
    BAY
  10. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    N. Tella · assist Ernest Poku
    BAY
  11. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Montrell Culbreath · assist Arthur
    BAY
  12. 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Christoph Baumgartner · assist Brajan Gruda
    RB
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Max Finkgräfe · assist Benjamin Henrichs
    RB
  14. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Christoph Baumgartner
    RB
  15. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Aleix García · assist E. Fernández
    BAY
  16. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ibrahim Maza · assist Malik Tillman
    BAY
  17. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Malik Tillman
    BAY
  18. 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Patrik Schick · assist Álex Grimaldo
    BAY
  19. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Patrik Schick · assist Christian Kofane
    BAY
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BAYER LEVERKUSEN AVG 8.8
RB LEIPZIG AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
4.4
xG
1.1
23.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
8.0
ON TARGET
5.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
7.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
54.0%
POSSESSION %
46.0%
489.0
PASSES
408.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
3.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
11.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
3.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BAYER LEVERKUSEN 13 shots
Patrik Schick
5/7
N. Tella
3/4
Álex Grimaldo
0/2
RB LEIPZIG 4 shots
Christoph Baumgartner
1/1
Brajan Gruda
1/1
Nicolas Seiwald
0/1
Xaver Schlager
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 4.38 – 1.14
3.5 2.6 1.8 0.9 4.4 0.0 HT 25' 45' 76' 89' 80' H 4.38 A 1.14 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-3-3
3-4-2-1
4-3-3
1
M. FLEKKE
12
EDMOND TA
8
R. ANDRIC
4
JARELL QU
 9.0
20
ÁLEX GRIM
25
EXEQUIEL
 8.9
24
ALEIX GAR
42
MONTRELL
 9.3
23
N. TELLA
 7.7
30
IBRAHIM M
 9.3
14
PATRIK SC
26
MAARTEN V
35
MAX FINKG
 7.5
5
EL CHADAI
4
WILLI ORB
17
RIDLE BAK
 7.2
14
CHRISTOPH
 6.9
13
NICOLAS S
 6.6
24
XAVER SCH
7
ANTONIO N
40
RôMULO
49
YAN DIOMA
SUBSTITUTES · BAYER LEVERKUSEN
7
Jonas Hofman...
M
35
Christian Ko...
F
17
Eliesse Ben...
F
13
Arthur
D
10
Malik Tillma...
M
6
E. Fernández
M
5
Loïc Badé
D
28
Janis Blaswi...
G
19
Ernest Poku
F
COACH: Kasper Hjulmand
SUBSTITUTES · RB LEIPZIG
9
Johan Bakayo...
F
20
Assan Ouédra...
M
16
Lukas Kloste...
D
39
Benjamin Hen...
D
22
David Raum
D
1
Péter Gulács...
G
10
Brajan Gruda
F
23
Castello Luk...
D
11
Conrad Harde...
F
COACH: Ole Werner
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BAY · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

RB · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Tobias Welz, Germany
—
BAY MANAGER
Kasper Hjulmand
head coach
RB MANAGER
Ole Werner
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
BAY WINS
1
DRAWS
4
RB WINS
50%
10%
40%
18 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
20 Dec 2025
RB Leipzig
1 – 3
Bayer Leverkusen
W
25 Jan 2025
RB Leipzig
2 – 2
Bayer Leverkusen
D
31 Aug 2024
Bayer Leverkusen
2 – 3
RB Leipzig
L
20 Jan 2024
RB Leipzig
2 – 3
Bayer Leverkusen
W
19 Aug 2023
Bayer Leverkusen
3 – 2
RB Leipzig
W
BAYER LEVERKUSEN LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L W
RB LEIPZIG LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–1 · result locked
BAYER LEVERKUSEN #6
Won · already at 58 pts
UEFA Europa League
RB LEIPZIG #3
Lost · already at 65 pts
Champions League
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Bayern München 33 27 5 1 +82 86
W D W W W
2 Borussia Dortmund 33 21 7 5 +34 70
W L W L L
3 RB Leipzig 33 20 5 8 +22 65
W L W W W
4 VfB Stuttgart 33 18 7 8 +22 61
W D D L W
5 1899 Hoffenheim 33 18 7 8 +17 61
W D W W D
6 Bayer Leverkusen 33 17 7 9 +21 58
L W W L W
7 SC Freiburg 33 12 8 13 -9 44
L D L W W
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 33 11 10 12 -4 43
L L D L W
9 FC Augsburg 33 12 7 14 -12 43
W W D W D
10 FSV Mainz 05 33 9 10 14 -11 37
L W L D L
11 Hamburger SV 33 9 10 14 -14 37
W W L L L
12 Union Berlin 33 9 9 15 -18 36
W D L L L
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 8 11 14 -15 35
L W D D L
14 1. FC Köln 33 7 11 15 -10 32
L D L D W
15 Werder Bremen 33 8 8 17 -21 32
L L D W L
16 VfL Wolfsburg 33 6 8 19 -26 26
L D D W L
17 1. FC Heidenheim 33 6 8 19 -29 26
W D W L W
18 FC St. Pauli 33 6 8 19 -29 26
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Patrik Schick
  • 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Patrik Schick
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Malik Tillman
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ibrahim Maza
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Aleix García
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Christoph Baumgartner
    Roughing
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Max Finkgräfe
  • 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Christoph Baumgartner
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Montrell Culbreath
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · N. Tella
  • 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Patrik Schick
  • 72'
    Card · Yellow Card · Xaver Schlager
    Tripping
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Rômulo
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nicolas Seiwald
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · El Chadaille Bitshiabu
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Antonio Nusa
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal · N. Tella
  • 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Patrik Schick
  • 14'
    Card · Yellow Card · Max Finkgräfe
    Tripping
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BAYER LEVERKUSEN WIN
2.19
45.7% implied
↑ best 2.24
DRAW
3.94
25.4% implied
↑ best 4.11
RB LEIPZIG WIN
2.91
34.4% implied
↑ best 3.06

Market favors Bayer Leverkusen. AI projects BAYER LEVERKUSEN 42% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BAYER LEVERKUSEN 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.15 3.90 2.88 +0.4%
1xBet 2.24 4.11 3.06 +1.7%
888Sport 2.15 3.75 2.88 -0.7%
Bet365 2.20 3.90 2.90 +0.4%
Betano 2.20 3.95 2.95 +0.7%
Betfair 2.15 3.90 2.88 +0.4%
BetVictor 2.15 4.00 2.88 +1.0%
Dafabet 2.22 4.10 2.90 +1.6%
Marathonbet 2.21 4.05 3.02 +1.3%
Pinnacle 2.24 4.02 3.00 +1.1%
SBO 2.20 3.84 2.76 0.0%
Unibet 2.17 3.95 2.80 +0.7%
William Hill 2.15 3.75 2.90 -0.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 6.78
2.5 O 1.35 U 3.07
3.5 O 1.90 U 1.90
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.33 10 bks
NO
3.15 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.91
Away -0.5 1.69
Away -0.75 1.54
Away -1 1.37
Away -1.25 1.30
Away -1.5 1.24
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.