GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SUN, 17 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
LYON
FT
0 – 4
FULL TIME
LENS
GOALS
⚽ 20' Wesley Saïd ⚽ 32' Wesley Saïd ⚽ 45+1' Florian Sotoca ⚽ 54' Florian Thauvin
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 52/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
LYO
1 – 1
LEN
most likely scoreline · 14.8% probability
AI PICKS LYON TO WIN 48%
FT 0 – 4
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
LYO WIN 48%
DRAW 26%
LEN WIN 26%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 74% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 74% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Lens are stronger on paper (2nd vs 4th, +7pts, better away record vs Lyon home form), but Lyon's recent form (LWWWW) edges this tight matchup — slight fade of market favourite.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY LYON FAVORED
48%
Lyon home form WWWLL is weak (2W, 3L) — conflicts with bookmaker 56.5% home-win implied
+20.0%
WHY LENS CHALLENGED
26%
Lens road form DDLLD is also poor; neither team inspires confidence away or at home
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Lens league position and points advantage (67 vs 60) offset by Lyon's 4W in last 5
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 20' WESLEY SA� ⚽ 32' WESLEY SA� ⚽ 46' FLORIAN SO ⚽ 54' FLORIAN TH
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.3
5.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.8
13.4
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
·
2
8.0
7.3
3.3
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
2.9
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.8%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.4%
0 — 1 12.3%
2 — 0 8.0%
Top 5 = 62.1% · rest 37.9%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.42
26.0%
3.85
+15.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.15
52.0%
1.92
+11.9%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.18
26.0%
3.85
+8.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.50
62.0%
1.61
-6.9%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.52
61.0%
1.64
-7.3%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.21
74.0%
1.35
-10.3%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.20
74.0%
1.35
-11.1%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.69
48.0%
2.08
-18.7%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.