GOALSENSE
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Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SUN, 17 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
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LILLE
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME
AUXERRE
GOALS
⚽ 32' Lassine Sinayoko ⚽ 90' Lassine Sinayoko
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
LIL
2 – 0
AUX
most likely scoreline · 13.3% probability
AI PICKS LILLE TO WIN 64%
FT 0 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
LIL WIN 64%
DRAW 22%
AUX WIN 14%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
LILLE TO WIN

AI consensus across 64% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 64% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Lille clear favourite at home; quality gap and form split favour hosts but Auxerre's road struggles limit blow-out risk.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY LILLE FAVORED
64%
Lille 3rd (61 pts) vs Auxerre 15th (31 pts) — 30-point gap with +17 GD advantage
+25.0%
Lille home form DDWLD is weak (only 1W in 5) but Auxerre away form LDDLD is worse (0W in 5)
+20.0%
Bookmaker Home Win 66.7% close to AI 64% — no material disagreement; slight under-lay on home odds
+15.0%
WHY AUXERRE CHALLENGED
14%
Lille 3rd (61 pts) vs Auxerre 15th (31 pts) — 30-point gap with +17 GD advantage
+25.0%
Lille home form DDWLD is weak (only 1W in 5) but Auxerre away form LDDLD is worse (0W in 5)
+20.0%
Bookmaker Home Win 66.7% close to AI 64% — no material disagreement; slight under-lay on home odds
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Lille 3rd (61 pts) vs Auxerre 15th (31 pts) — 30-point gap with +17 GD advantage
  • Lille home form DDWLD is weak (only 1W in 5) but Auxerre away form LDDLD is worse (0W in 5)
  • Bookmaker Home Win 66.7% close to AI 64% — no material disagreement; slight under-lay on home odds
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 32' LASSINE SI ⚽ 90' LASSINE SI
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.3%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.5
3.9
1.4
0.3
0.1
·
·
1
12.1
8.5
3.0
0.7
0.1
·
·
2
13.3
9.3
3.3
0.8
0.1
·
·
3
9.8
6.8
2.4
0.6
0.1
·
·
4
5.4
3.8
1.3
0.3
·
·
·
5
2.4
1.7
0.6
0.1
·
·
·
6+
0.9
0.6
0.2
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 13.3%
1 — 0 12.1%
3 — 0 9.8%
2 — 1 9.3%
1 — 1 8.5%
Top 5 = 53.0% · rest 47.0%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
7.80
14.0%
7.14
+9.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.90
36.0%
2.78
+4.4%
—
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.74
22.0%
4.55
+4.3%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.08
86.0%
1.16
-6.9%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.17
78.0%
1.28
-8.5%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.69
54.0%
1.85
-8.6%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.40
64.0%
1.56
-10.4%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.89
42.0%
2.38
-20.5%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.