GOALSENSE
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Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 33 · SUN, 10 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
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TOULOUSE
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME
LYON
⚽ 10' Dayann Methalie ⚽ 78' Warren Kamanzi
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
TOU
1 – 2
LYO
most likely scoreline · 10.7% probability
AI PICKS LYON TO WIN 46%
FT 2 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
TOU WIN 28%
DRAW 26%
LYO WIN 46%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.53% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 80% OVER 1.5 ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Lyon clear away favourite despite mid-table Toulouse; recent form & league gap favour visitors.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY TOULOUSE CHALLENGED
28%
Lyon 3rd (60 pts) vs Toulouse 10th (41 pts) — 19-point gulf dominates
+25.0%
Toulouse home form mixed (DLWLD) fails to offset Lyon's away record (WDDDL); Lyon W-W-W-W-D overall vs Toulouse W-D-L-L-L
+20.0%
WHY LYON FAVORED
46%
Bookmaker odds (Away 1.88, Home 4.60) align with quality gap; SportMonks slightly favours away (44.4%) — AI agrees Lyon value
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Lyon 3rd (60 pts) vs Toulouse 10th (41 pts) — 19-point gulf dominates
  • Toulouse home form mixed (DLWLD) fails to offset Lyon's away record (WDDDL); Lyon W-W-W-W-D overall vs Toulouse W-D-L-L-L
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 10' DAYANN MET ⚽ 78' WARREN KAM
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 10.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
10.3
10.7
7.4
3.8
1.6
0.5
1
4.6
9.6
9.9
6.8
3.5
1.5
0.5
2
2.2
4.5
4.6
3.2
1.7
0.7
0.2
3
0.7
1.4
1.4
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
·
·
5
·
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 2 10.7%
0 — 1 10.3%
1 — 2 9.9%
1 — 1 9.6%
0 — 3 7.4%
Top 5 = 47.8% · rest 52.2%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.25
28.0%
3.57
+19.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.03
54.0%
1.85
+9.4%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.95
26.0%
3.85
+2.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.23
74.0%
1.35
-8.9%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.70
52.0%
1.92
-11.8%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.21
72.0%
1.39
-12.8%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.65
51.0%
1.96
-16.0%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.77
46.0%
2.17
-18.6%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.