GOALSENSE
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Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 33 · SUN, 10 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
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RENNES
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME
PARIS FC
⚽ 74' Esteban Lepaul ⚽ 75' Breel Embolo
GOALS
⚽ 53' Willem Geubbels
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 62/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
REN
2 – 1
PAR
most likely scoreline · 11.6% probability
AI PICKS RENNES TO WIN 58%
FT 2 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
REN WIN 58%
DRAW 24%
PAR WIN 18%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.39% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 79% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Rennes clear home favourites with stronger league position and home form; Paris FC's road weakness limits upset odds.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY RENNES FAVORED
58%
SportMonks (52.4% home) slightly underweights Rennes' positional advantage; bookmaker odds (61.7%) reasonable but slightly generous to away upset
+15.0%
WHY PARIS FC CHALLENGED
18%
Rennes 5th (56 pts) vs Paris FC 11th (41 pts) — 15-point gap with better GD (+10 vs 0)
+25.0%
Rennes home form WWDLW solid; Paris FC away form WDDDD shows road struggles (1W in 5)
+20.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Rennes 5th (56 pts) vs Paris FC 11th (41 pts) — 15-point gap with better GD (+10 vs 0)
  • Rennes home form WWDLW solid; Paris FC away form WDDDD shows road struggles (1W in 5)
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 53' WILLEM GEU ⚽ 74' ESTEBAN LE ⚽ 75' BREEL EMBO
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 11.6%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
4.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
·
·
1
10.8
9.0
3.8
1.1
0.2
·
·
2
11.6
9.8
4.1
1.2
0.2
·
·
3
8.4
7.0
3.0
0.8
0.2
·
·
4
4.5
3.8
1.6
0.5
0.1
·
·
5
2.0
1.6
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 11.6%
1 — 0 10.8%
2 — 1 9.8%
1 — 1 9.0%
3 — 0 8.4%
Top 5 = 49.5% · rest 50.5%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.65
24.0%
4.17
+11.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.41
42.0%
2.38
+1.0%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.16
82.0%
1.22
-4.7%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.09
18.0%
5.56
-8.3%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.55
58.0%
1.72
-9.8%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.18
76.0%
1.32
-10.3%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.38
62.0%
1.61
-14.2%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.46
58.0%
1.72
-15.3%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.