GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · LORIENT 44%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 33 · SUN, 10 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
METZ
18TH · 17 PTS · LAST 5:
D L D L L
FT
0 – 4
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
LORIENT
L D L W L
· 9TH · 45 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 24' Jean-Victor Makengo ⚽ 84' Bamba Dieng ⚽ 90+7' Arthur Avom ⚽ 90+8' Noah Doriann Cadiou
Jean Victor Makengo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jean Victor Makengo
Lorient · 74 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 18% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Ligue 1: Metz vs Lorient
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

113%
BALL POSSESSION %
78%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
14
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
464%
PASS ACCURACY %
399%
7
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 9'
    Card · Foul
    Sadibou Sané
    MET
  2. 15'
    Card · Foul
    Abdoulaye Faye
    LOR
  3. 23'
    Card · Foul
    Giorgi Tsitaishvili
    MET
  4. 24'
    Goal · 0-1
    Jean-Victor Makengo · assist Arsène Kouassi
    LOR
  5. 40'
    Subst
    Giorgi Abuashvili · assist Nathan Mbala
    MET
  6. 42'
    Card · Foul
    Jean-Victor Makengo
    LOR
  7. 62'
    Subst
    Pablo Pagis · assist Karim Dermane
    LOR
  8. 62'
    Subst
    Isaak Touré · assist Abdoulaye Faye
    LOR
  9. 64'
    Subst
    Habib Diallo · assist Giorgi Kvilitaia
    MET
  10. 65'
    Subst
    Benjamin Stambouli · assist Koffi Kouao
    MET
  11. 74'
    Subst
    Arthur Avom · assist Jean-Victor Makengo
    LOR
  12. 74'
    Subst
    Bamba Dieng · assist Aiyegun Tosin
    LOR
  13. 76'
    Subst
    Believe Munongo · assist Jean-Philippe Gbamin
    MET
  14. 84'
    Goal · 0-2
    Bamba Dieng · assist Pablo Pagis
    LOR
  15. 90'+5
    Subst
    Igor Silva · assist Panos Katseris
    LOR
  16. 90'+7
    Goal · 0-3
    Arthur Avom · assist Pablo Pagis
    LOR
  17. 90'+8
    Goal · 0-4
    Noah Doriann Cadiou · assist Pablo Pagis
    LOR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
METZ AVG 7.0
LORIENT AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
2.0
ON TARGET
7.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
113.0%
POSSESSION %
78.0%
516.0
PASSES
464.0
464.0%
PASS ACCURACY
399.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
4.0
9.0
OFFSIDES
10.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
8.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
METZ 2 shots
Giorgi Kvilitaia
1/1
Terry Yegbe
1/1
LORIENT 6 shots
Jean Victor Makengo
2/3
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng
2/3
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 35%
65% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
7.5
61
PAPE SY
70
BOUNA SAR
 6.9
15
TERRY YEG
38
SADIBOU S
39
KOFFI KOU
 7.0
5
JEAN-PHIL
20
JESSY DEM
7
GIORGI TS
10
GAUTHIER
34
NATHAN MB
 7.0
11
GIORGI KV
 7.6
38
YVON MVOG
25
ABDOULAYE
 7.2
3
MONTASSAR
 7.2
32
NATHANIEL
43
ARSèNE KO
6
LAURENT A
8
NOAH CADI
77
PANOS KAT
29
KARIM DER
 8.0
17
JEAN VICT
15
AIYEGUN T
SUBSTITUTES · METZ
33
Believe Muno...
M
12
Alpha Touré
M
21
Benjamin Sta...
M
97
Fodé Ballo-T...
D
4
Urie-Michel...
D
2
Maxime Colin
D
1
Jonathan Fis...
G
9
Giorgi Abuas...
F
30
Habibou Dial...
F
COACH: Benoit Tavenot
SUBSTITUTES · LORIENT
10
Pablo Pagis
F
9
Mohamed Bamb...
F
28
Sambou Souma...
F
62
Arthur Avom...
M
2
Igor Silva
D
95
Souleymane I...
D
19
Isaac Monnie...
D
21
Bingourou Ka...
G
12
Ahmadou Bamb...
F
COACH: Olivier Pantaloni
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MET · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Stinat
—
MET MANAGER
Benoit Tavenot
head coach
LOR MANAGER
Olivier Pantaloni
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
MET WINS
3
DRAWS
3
LOR WINS
40%
30%
30%
16 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
04 Jan 2026
Lorient
1 – 1
Metz
D
04 Feb 2024
Metz
1 – 2
Lorient
L
26 Nov 2023
Lorient
2 – 3
Metz
W
20 Apr 2022
Lorient
1 – 0
Metz
L
12 Dec 2021
Metz
4 – 1
Lorient
W
METZ LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D L L
LORIENT LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–4 · result locked
METZ #18
Lost · already at 17 pts
Relegation
LORIENT #9
Won · already at 45 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain 34 24 4 6 +45 76
L W W D W
2 Lens 34 22 4 8 +31 70
W L W D D
3 Lille 34 18 7 9 +15 61
L W D W D
4 Lyon 34 18 6 10 +13 60
L L W W W
5 Marseille 34 18 5 11 +18 59
W W L D L
6 Rennes 34 17 8 9 +9 59
L W L W W
7 Monaco 34 16 6 12 +6 54
L L W D D
8 Strasbourg 34 15 8 11 +11 53
W W D L W
9 Lorient 34 11 12 11 -3 45
L W D L W
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 +1 44
W W D L L
11 Paris FC 34 11 11 12 -3 44
W L W L W
12 Stade Brestois 29 34 10 9 15 -12 39
D L L L D
13 Angers 34 9 9 16 -19 36
D D L L D
14 Le Havre 34 7 14 13 -12 35
W L D D D
15 Auxerre 34 8 10 16 -10 34
W W W L D
16 Nice 34 7 11 16 -23 32
D L D D D
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 -23 23
L W L L D
18 Metz 34 3 8 23 -44 17
D L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+8
    Goal · 0-4 · Noah Doriann Cadiou
    4th Goal
  • 90'+7
    Goal · 0-3 · Arthur Avom
    3rd Goal
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Igor Silva
    9th Substitution
  • 84'
    Goal · 0-2 · Bamba Dieng
    2nd Goal
  • 76'
    Subst · Believe Munongo
    8th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Bamba Dieng
    6th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Arthur Avom
    7th Substitution
  • 65'
    Subst · Benjamin Stambouli
    5th Substitution
  • 64'
    Subst · Habib Diallo
    4th Substitution
  • 62'
    Subst · Isaak Touré
    3rd Substitution
  • 62'
    Subst · Pablo Pagis
    2nd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 42'
    Card · Foul · Jean-Victor Makengo
    4th Yellowcard
  • 40'
    Subst · Giorgi Abuashvili
    1st Substitution
  • 24'
    Goal · 0-1 · Jean-Victor Makengo
    1st Goal
  • 23'
    Card · Foul · Giorgi Tsitaishvili
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 15'
    Card · Foul · Abdoulaye Faye
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 9'
    Card · Foul · Sadibou Sané
    1st Yellowcard
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
METZ WIN
3.08
32.5% implied
↑ best 3.23
DRAW
3.59
27.9% implied
↑ best 3.75
LORIENT WIN
2.21
45.2% implied
↑ best 2.30

Market favors Lorient. AI projects LORIENT 44%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LORIENT 44% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.15 3.60 2.10 +0.2%
1xBet 3.23 3.70 2.30 +1.0%
888Sport 3.00 3.40 2.15 -1.4%
Bet365 3.00 3.70 2.25 +1.0%
Betano 3.15 3.55 2.22 -0.2%
Betfair 3.10 3.50 2.20 -0.6%
BetVictor 3.00 3.70 2.20 +1.0%
Dafabet 3.10 3.75 2.24 +1.3%
Marathonbet 3.18 3.66 2.25 +0.7%
Pinnacle 3.16 3.70 2.26 +1.0%
SBO 2.87 3.42 2.23 -0.8%
Unibet 3.10 3.60 2.16 +0.2%
William Hill 3.00 3.40 2.20 -1.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.39
2.5 O 1.67 U 2.21
3.5 O 2.60 U 1.48
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.54 10 bks
NO
2.36 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.49
Away -0.5 1.39
Away -0.75 1.27
Away -1 1.13
Away -1.25 1.12
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.