GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · STRASBOURG 48% · Value: BTTS Yes 61%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SUN, 03 MAY · 15:15 LOCAL
STRASBOURG
8TH · 50 PTS · LAST 5:
W D L L W
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
TOULOUSE
W D L L L
· 10TH · 44 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 27' Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
GOALS
⚽ 43' Dayann Methalie ⚽ 84' Emersonn
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
Toulouse · 95 mins
🅰 2 assists · 38% pass acc
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Ligue 1: Strasbourg vs Toulouse
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

82%
BALL POSSESSION %
97%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
16
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
415%
PASS ACCURACY %
343%
8
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 20'
    Card · Foul
    Yaya Diémé
    STR
  2. 27'
    Goal · 1-0
    Samuel Amo-Ameyaw · assist Ismaël Doukouré
    STR
  3. 43'
    Goal · 1-1
    Dayann Methalie · assist Cristian Cásseres Jr.
    TOU
  4. 46'
    Subst
    Samir El Mourabet · assist Abdoul Ouattara
    STR
  5. 56'
    Card · Persistent fouling
    Dayann Methalie
    TOU
  6. 63'
    Subst
    Emersonn · assist Jacen Russell-Rowe
    TOU
  7. 63'
    Subst
    Diego Moreira · assist Mathis Amougou
    STR
  8. 71'
    Subst
    Andrew Omobamidele · assist Ismaël Doukouré
    STR
  9. 72'
    Subst
    Julio Enciso · assist Yaya Diémé
    STR
  10. 75'
    Card · Foul
    Alexis Vossah
    TOU
  11. 78'
    Subst
    Warren Kamanzi · assist Dayann Methalie
    TOU
  12. 78'
    Subst
    Djibril Sidibé · assist Santiago Hidalgo
    TOU
  13. 82'
    Subst
    Emmanuel Emegha · assist Sebastian Nanasi
    STR
  14. 82'
    Subst
    Ilyas Azizi · assist Yann Gboho
    TOU
  15. 82'
    Subst
    Mario Sauer · assist Alexis Vossah
    TOU
  16. 84'
    Goal · 1-2
    Emersonn · assist Cristian Cásseres Jr.
    TOU
  17. 90'+7
    Card · Foul
    Aron Dønnum
    TOU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
STRASBOURG AVG 7.3
TOULOUSE AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
4.0
ON TARGET
6.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
4.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
82.0%
POSSESSION %
97.0%
472.0
PASSES
396.0
415.0%
PASS ACCURACY
343.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
3.0
24.0
OFFSIDES
24.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
15.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
4.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
STRASBOURG 2 shots
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
2/2
TOULOUSE 6 shots
Emersonn
1/3
Yann Gboho
1/2
Dayann Methalie
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 41%
59% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-1-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-4-1-1
3-4-2-1
39
MIKE PEND
42
ABDOUL OU
 7.3
24
LUCAS HøG
 7.2
6
ISMAEL DO
 6.9
8
MAXI OYED
80
GESSIME Y
83
RAFAEL LU
17
MATHIS AM
 7.9
27
SAMUEL AM
11
SEBASTIAN
34
YAYA DIéM
1
GUILLAUME
 7.3
2
RASMUS NI
4
CHARLIE C
3
MARK MCKE
 7.7
24
DAYANN ME
 8.0
23
CRISTIAN
45
ALEXIS VO
15
ARON DøNN
 7.3
10
YANN GBOH
11
SANTIAGO
13
JACEN RUS
SUBSTITUTES · STRASBOURG
18
Junior Mwang...
M
7
Diego Moreir...
F
28
Tyrese Noubi...
M
19
Julio Enciso
M
2
Andrew Omoba...
D
45
Amadou Cissé
D
1
Karl-Johan J...
G
29
Samir El Mou...
M
10
Emmanuel Eme...
F
COACH: Gary O'Neil
SUBSTITUTES · TOULOUSE
7
Julian Vigno...
F
20
Emersonn
F
12
Waren Kamanz...
D
77
Mario Sauer
M
35
Seny Koumbas...
D
44
Gaëtan Bakho...
D
19
Djibril Sidi...
D
16
Kjetil Haug
G
37
Ilyas Azizi
F
COACH: Carles Martinez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
STR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
G. Angoula
—
STR MANAGER
Gary O'Neil
head coach
TOU MANAGER
Carles Martinez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
STR WINS
2
DRAWS
2
TOU WINS
60%
20%
20%
16 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
06 Dec 2025
Toulouse
1 – 0
Strasbourg
L
16 Mar 2025
Strasbourg
2 – 1
Toulouse
W
12 Jan 2025
Toulouse
1 – 2
Strasbourg
W
07 Apr 2024
Toulouse
0 – 0
Strasbourg
D
27 Aug 2023
Strasbourg
2 – 0
Toulouse
W
STRASBOURG LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L L W
TOULOUSE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
STRASBOURG #8
Lost · already at 50 pts
TOULOUSE #10
Won · already at 44 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain 33 24 4 5 +46 76
W W D W W
2 Lens 33 21 4 8 +27 67
L W D D W
3 Lille 33 18 7 8 +17 61
W D W D W
4 Lyon 33 18 6 9 +17 60
L W W W W
5 Rennes 33 17 8 8 +11 59
W L W W W
6 Marseille 33 17 5 11 +16 56
W L D L W
7 Monaco 33 16 6 11 +7 54
L W D D L
8 Strasbourg 33 14 8 11 +10 50
W D L W L
9 Lorient 33 11 12 10 -1 45
W D L W L
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 +1 44
W W D L L
11 Paris FC 33 10 11 12 -4 41
L W L W W
12 Stade Brestois 29 33 10 8 15 -12 38
L L L D D
13 Angers 33 9 8 16 -19 35
D L L D L
14 Le Havre 33 6 14 13 -14 32
L D D D D
15 Auxerre 33 7 10 16 -12 31
W W L D D
16 Nice 33 7 10 16 -23 31
L D D D D
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 -23 23
L W L L D
18 Metz 33 3 7 23 -44 16
L L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Card · Foul · Aron Dønnum
    4th Yellowcard
  • 84'
    Goal · 1-2 · Emersonn
    3rd Goal
  • 82'
    Subst · Mario Sauer
    10th Substitution
  • 82'
    Subst · Ilyas Azizi
    8th Substitution
  • 82'
    Subst · Emmanuel Emegha
    9th Substitution
  • 78'
    Subst · Djibril Sidibé
    7th Substitution
  • 78'
    Subst · Warren Kamanzi
    6th Substitution
  • 75'
    Card · Foul · Alexis Vossah
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 72'
    Subst · Julio Enciso
    5th Substitution
  • 71'
    Subst · Andrew Omobamidele
    4th Substitution
  • 63'
    Subst · Diego Moreira
    3rd Substitution
  • 63'
    Subst · Emersonn
    2nd Substitution
  • 56'
    Card · Persistent fouling · Dayann Methalie
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst · Samir El Mourabet
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 43'
    Goal · 1-1 · Dayann Methalie
    2nd Goal
  • 27'
    Goal · 1-0 · Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
    1st Goal
  • 20'
    Card · Foul · Yaya Diémé
    1st Yellowcard
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
STRASBOURG WIN
2.91
34.4% implied
↑ best 3.07
DRAW
3.47
28.8% implied
↑ best 3.62
TOULOUSE WIN
2.36
42.4% implied
↑ best 2.42

Market favors Toulouse. AI projects STRASBOURG 48% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS STRASBOURG 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.85 3.50 2.30 +12.9%
1xBet 3.07 3.62 2.42 +15.4%
888Sport 2.80 3.30 2.38 +12.3%
Bet365 2.88 3.50 2.35 +13.3%
Betano 2.95 3.45 2.37 +14.1%
Betfair 2.88 3.40 2.30 +13.3%
BetVictor 2.90 3.60 2.30 +13.5%
Dafabet 2.95 3.55 2.39 +14.1%
Marathonbet 3.02 3.56 2.38 +14.9%
Pinnacle 3.05 3.58 2.38 +15.2%
SBO 2.83 3.29 2.31 +12.7%
Unibet 2.85 3.40 2.38 +12.9%
William Hill 2.80 3.30 2.38 +12.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.87
2.5 O 1.80 U 2.01
3.5 O 2.94 U 1.38
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.63 10 bks
NO
2.19 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.53
Away -0.5 1.43
Away -0.75 1.27
Away -1 1.15
Away -1.25 1.14
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.