GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · MARSEILLE 54% · Value: Over 2.5 61%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SAT, 02 MAY · 13:00 LOCAL
NANTES
17TH · 23 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L D D
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
MARSEILLE
W D L W L
· 6TH · 56 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 50' Ignatius Ganago ⚽ 54' Rémy Cabella ⚽ 58' Matthis Abline
GOALS
Patrik Carlgren
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Patrik Carlgren
Nantes · 91 mins
· 16% pass acc
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Ligue 1: Nantes vs Marseille
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

82%
BALL POSSESSION %
91%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
16
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
260%
PASS ACCURACY %
384%
7
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 18'
    Card · Foul
    Matthis Abline
    NAN
  2. 26'
    Subst
    Mathieu Acapandié · assist Deiver Machado
    NAN
  3. 31'
    Card · Off the ball foul
    MAR
  4. 46'
    Subst
    MAR
  5. 46'
    Subst
    MAR
  6. 49'
    Card · Foul
    MAR
  7. 50'
    Goal · 1-0
    Ignatius Ganago · assist Matthis Abline
    NAN
  8. 54'
    Goal · 2-0
    Rémy Cabella · assist Ignatius Ganago
    NAN
  9. 58'
    Goal · 3-0
    Matthis Abline · assist Mohamed Kaba
    NAN
  10. 65'
    Subst
    MAR
  11. 69'
    Subst
    Francis Coquelin · assist Mohamed Kaba
    NAN
  12. 69'
    Subst
    Louis Leroux · assist Rémy Cabella
    NAN
  13. 79'
    Subst
    Uros Radakovic · assist Ibrahima Sissoko
    NAN
  14. 79'
    Subst
    Ali Youssef · assist Frédéric Guilbert
    NAN
  15. 81'
    Card · Foul
    MAR
  16. 88'
    Subst
    MAR
  17. 90'+4
    Subst
    MAR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NANTES AVG 8.1
MARSEILLE AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
5.0
ON TARGET
8.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
3.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
82.0%
POSSESSION %
91.0%
328.0
PASSES
452.0
260.0%
PASS ACCURACY
384.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
8.0
22.0
OFFSIDES
22.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
11.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
8.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NANTES 8 shots
Rémy Cabella
2/3
Matthis Abline
1/2
Ignatius Kpene Ganago
1/2
Frédéric Guilbert
0/1
MARSEILLE 5 shots
Ange Lago
2/2
Igor Paixão
1/2
A. Gouiri
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 100%
0% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
0
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
9.3
30
PATRIK CA
27
DEIVER MA
3
NICOLAS C
6
CHIDOZIE
 7.3
24
FRéDéRIC
28
IBRAHIMA
8
JOHANN LE
 7.6
20
RéMY CABE
21
MOHAMED K
 8.3
10
MATTHIS A
 8.2
37
IGNATIUS
12
J. DE LAN
33
EMERSON
 6.6
32
FACUNDO M
5
L. BALERD
6
T. NNADI
23
PIERRE-EM
18
ARTHUR VE
 6.7
20
HAMED JUN
27
QUINTEN T
10
MASON GRE
17
P. AUBAME
SUBSTITUTES · NANTES
11
Bahereba Gui...
F
19
Youssef El A...
F
66
Louis Leroux
M
13
Francis Coqu...
M
2
Ali Youssef
D
26
Uroš Radakov...
D
22
Mathieu Acap...
D
31
Mostafa Moha...
F
COACH: Vahid Halilhodzic
SUBSTITUTES · MARSEILLE
70
Ugo Lamare E...
F
9
A. Gouiri
F
14
Igor Paixão
F
71
Nouhoum Kami...
M
11
Ethan Nwaner...
M
72
Hilan Hamzao...
D
35
Kelyann Beza...
D
92
Théo Vermot
G
78
Ange Lago
F
COACH: Habib Beye
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Pignard
—
NAN MANAGER
Vahid Halilhodzic
head coach
MAR MANAGER
Habib Beye
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
NAN WINS
2
DRAWS
7
MAR WINS
10%
20%
70%
8 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
04 Jan 2026
Marseille
0 – 2
Nantes
W
02 Mar 2025
Marseille
2 – 0
Nantes
L
03 Nov 2024
Nantes
1 – 2
Marseille
L
10 Mar 2024
Marseille
2 – 0
Nantes
L
01 Sep 2023
Nantes
1 – 1
Marseille
D
NANTES LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D D
MARSEILLE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
NANTES #17
Won · already at 23 pts
Relegation
MARSEILLE #6
Lost · already at 56 pts
Conference League Qualification
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain 33 24 4 5 +46 76
W W D W W
2 Lens 33 21 4 8 +27 67
L W D D W
3 Lille 33 18 7 8 +17 61
W D W D W
4 Lyon 33 18 6 9 +17 60
L W W W W
5 Rennes 33 17 8 8 +11 59
W L W W W
6 Marseille 33 17 5 11 +16 56
W L D L W
7 Monaco 33 16 6 11 +7 54
L W D D L
8 Strasbourg 33 14 8 11 +10 50
W D L W L
9 Lorient 33 11 12 10 -1 45
W D L W L
10 Toulouse 33 12 8 13 +1 44
W W D L L
11 Paris FC 33 10 11 12 -4 41
L W L W W
12 Stade Brestois 29 33 10 8 15 -12 38
L L L D D
13 Angers 33 9 8 16 -19 35
D L L D L
14 Le Havre 33 6 14 13 -14 32
L D D D D
15 Auxerre 33 7 10 16 -12 31
W W L D D
16 Nice 33 7 10 16 -23 31
L D D D D
17 Nantes 33 5 8 20 -23 23
L W L L D
18 Metz 33 3 7 23 -44 16
L L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Subst
    10th Substitution
  • 88'
    Subst
    9th Substitution
  • 81'
    Card · Foul
    4th Yellowcard
  • 79'
    Subst · Ali Youssef
    8th Substitution
  • 79'
    Subst · Uros Radakovic
    7th Substitution
  • 69'
    Subst · Louis Leroux
    6th Substitution
  • 69'
    Subst · Francis Coquelin
    5th Substitution
  • 65'
    Subst
    4th Substitution
  • 58'
    Goal · 3-0 · Matthis Abline
    3rd Goal
  • 54'
    Goal · 2-0 · Rémy Cabella
    2nd Goal
  • 50'
    Goal · 1-0 · Ignatius Ganago
    1st Goal
  • 49'
    Card · Foul
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst
    3rd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst
    2nd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 31'
    Card · Off the ball foul
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 26'
    Subst · Mathieu Acapandié
    1st Substitution
  • 18'
    Card · Foul · Matthis Abline
    1st Yellowcard
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NANTES WIN
3.99
25.1% implied
↑ best 4.37
DRAW
3.92
25.5% implied
↑ best 4.13
MARSEILLE WIN
1.82
54.9% implied
↑ best 1.91

Market favors Marseille. AI projects MARSEILLE 54% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MARSEILLE 54% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.80 3.80 1.83 -0.6%
1xBet 4.04 4.11 1.91 +1.6%
888Sport 3.90 3.80 1.75 -2.3%
Bet365 3.90 3.80 1.90 +1.4%
Betano 4.05 3.95 1.91 +1.6%
Betfair 4.00 3.90 1.73 -1.6%
BetVictor 3.80 3.90 1.85 -0.1%
Dafabet 4.30 4.10 1.77 -0.4%
Marathonbet 3.98 4.05 1.88 +0.8%
Pinnacle 4.37 4.13 1.78 -0.2%
SBO 3.54 3.67 1.87 +0.5%
Unibet 4.25 3.95 1.73 -1.3%
William Hill 4.00 3.80 1.75 -2.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.16 U 4.83
2.5 O 1.57 U 2.37
3.5 O 2.41 U 1.55
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.54 10 bks
NO
2.36 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.30
Away -0.5 1.23
Away -0.75 1.15
Away -1 1.05
Away -1.25 1.04
Away -1.5 1.03
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.