GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · MONACO 64% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 72 FULL ANALYSIS →
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SAT, 02 MAY · 17:00 LOCAL
METZ
18TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5:
D L L D D
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
MONACO
D D L W W
· 6TH · 54 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 49' Jessy Deminguet
GOALS
⚽ 61' Folarin Balogun ⚽ 90+1' Ansu Fati
Jessy Deminguet
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jessy Deminguet
Metz · 81 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 15% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Ligue 1: Metz vs Monaco
Open in Youtube ↗
Metz - Monaco 1:2 | LIGUE 1 (32. kolo) | 02. maj…
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

85%
BALL POSSESSION %
125%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
15
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
234%
PASS ACCURACY %
494%
5
CORNERS
9
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 49'
    Goal · 1-0
    Jessy Deminguet · assist Tae Hee Nam
    MET
  2. 58'
    Subst
    Aladji Bamba · assist Paul Pogba
    MON
  3. 58'
    Subst
    Ansu Fati · assist Simon Adingra
    MON
  4. 58'
    Subst
    Mamadou Coulibaly · assist Lamine Camara
    MON
  5. 61'
    Goal · 1-1
    Folarin Balogun · assist Maghnes Akliouche
    MON
  6. 62'
    Card · Foul
    Mamadou Coulibaly
    MON
  7. 73'
    Subst
    Giorgi Abuashvili · assist Nathan Mbala
    MET
  8. 74'
    Subst
    MON
  9. 74'
    Subst
    MET
  10. 81'
    Subst
    Habib Diallo · assist Giorgi Kvilitaia
    MET
  11. 81'
    Subst
    Jahyann Pandore · assist Jessy Deminguet
    MET
  12. 81'
    Card · Foul
    Christian Mawissa
    MON
  13. 84'
    Subst
    Caio Henrique · assist Christian Mawissa
    MON
  14. 90'+1
    Goal · 1-2
    Ansu Fati · assist Caio Henrique
    MON
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
METZ AVG 7.4
MONACO AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
1.0
ON TARGET
3.0
10.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
2.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
85.0%
POSSESSION %
125.0%
295.0
PASSES
579.0
234.0%
PASS ACCURACY
494.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
9.0
10.0
OFFSIDES
12.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
15.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
METZ 6 shots
Jessy Deminguet
1/2
Gauthier Hein
0/2
Bouna Sarr
0/2
MONACO 5 shots
Maghnes Akliouche
1/2
Ansu Fati
1/1
Thilo Kehrer
0/1
Denis Zakaria
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 36%
64% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
61
PAPE SY
 7.0
7
GIORGI TS
15
TERRY YEG
 7.0
38
SADIBOU S
 7.0
70
BOUNA SAR
5
JEAN-PHIL
21
BENJAMIN
34
NATHAN MB
 8.3
20
JESSY DEM
 7.7
10
GAUTHIER
11
GIORGI KV
1
LUKáš HRá
13
CHRISTIAN
 7.2
5
THILO KEH
 7.0
6
DENIS ZAK
24
SIMON ADI
8
PAUL POGB
15
LAMINE CA
4
JORDAN TE
10
ALEKSANDR
 7.5
11
MAGHNES A
9
FOLARIN B
SUBSTITUTES · METZ
3
Moustapha Di...
D
2
Maxime Colin
D
4
Urie-Michel...
D
1
Jonathan Fis...
G
30
Habibou Dial...
F
35
Jahyann Pand...
F
9
Giorgi Abuas...
F
33
Believe Muno...
M
29
Ismaël Guert...
M
COACH: Benoit Tavenot
SUBSTITUTES · MONACO
3
Eric Dier
D
12
Caio Henriqu...
D
25
Wout Faes
D
16
Philipp Köhn
G
14
Mika Biereth
F
31
Ansu Fati
F
28
Mamadou Coul...
M
23
Aladji Bamba
M
49
Ilane Toure
M
COACH: Sebastien Pocognoli
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MET · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MON · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ruddy Buquet, France
—
MET MANAGER
Benoit Tavenot
head coach
MON MANAGER
Sebastien Pocognoli
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
MET WINS
1
DRAWS
7
MON WINS
11.1%
11.1%
77.8%
9 – 23
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
3.56
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
21 Sep 2025
Monaco
5 – 2
Metz
L
30 Mar 2024
Metz
2 – 5
Monaco
L
22 Oct 2023
Monaco
2 – 1
Metz
L
03 Apr 2022
Metz
1 – 2
Monaco
L
05 Dec 2021
Monaco
4 – 0
Metz
L
METZ LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L D D
MONACO LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
METZ #18
Lost · already at 16 pts
Relegation
MONACO #6
Won · already at 54 pts
Conference League Qualification
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Paris Saint Germain 31 22 4 5 +43 70
D W W L W
2 Lens 31 20 4 7 +28 64
D D W L W
3 Lyon 32 18 6 8 +18 60
W W W W D
4 Lille 32 17 7 8 +16 58
D W D W W
5 Rennes 32 16 8 8 +10 56
L W W W W
6 Monaco 32 16 6 10 +8 54
W D D L W
7 Marseille 32 16 5 11 +15 53
L D L W L
8 Strasbourg 31 13 7 11 +9 46
L W L W W
9 Lorient 32 10 12 10 -5 42
D L W L D
10 Toulouse 32 11 8 13 0 41
W D L L L
11 Paris FC 32 10 11 11 -3 41
W L W W D
12 Stade Brestois 29 31 10 8 13 -10 38
L D D L L
13 Angers 32 9 7 16 -19 34
L L D L D
14 Le Havre 32 6 14 12 -13 32
D D D D D
15 Nice 32 7 10 15 -22 31
D D D D L
16 Auxerre 32 6 10 16 -13 28
W L D D D
17 Nantes 32 5 8 19 -22 23
W L L D D
18 Metz 32 3 7 22 -40 16
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Goal · 1-2 · Ansu Fati
    3rd Goal
  • 84'
    Subst · Caio Henrique
    9th Substitution
  • 81'
    Card · Foul · Christian Mawissa
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 81'
    Subst · Jahyann Pandore
    8th Substitution
  • 81'
    Subst · Habib Diallo
    7th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst
    5th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst
    6th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Giorgi Abuashvili
    4th Substitution
  • 62'
    Card · Foul · Mamadou Coulibaly
    1st Yellowcard
  • 61'
    Goal · 1-1 · Folarin Balogun
    2nd Goal
  • 58'
    Subst · Mamadou Coulibaly
    2nd Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Ansu Fati
    3rd Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Aladji Bamba
    1st Substitution
  • 49'
    Goal · 1-0 · Jessy Deminguet
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
METZ WIN
7.37
13.6% implied
↑ best 7.91
DRAW
5.62
17.8% implied
↑ best 6.04
MONACO WIN
1.35
74.1% implied
↑ best 1.38

Market favors Monaco. AI projects MONACO 64% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MONACO 64% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 7.50 5.10 1.35 +2.7%
1xBet 7.90 6.04 1.38 +3.4%
888Sport 6.50 5.00 1.33 +0.6%
Bet365 7.50 5.75 1.33 +2.7%
Betano 7.80 5.80 1.38 +3.2%
Betfair 7.50 5.50 1.33 +2.7%
BetVictor 7.50 5.75 1.33 +2.7%
Dafabet 7.00 6.00 1.37 +3.3%
Marathonbet 7.80 5.95 1.36 +3.2%
Pinnacle 7.91 5.94 1.35 +3.4%
SBO 6.38 5.51 1.34 +1.9%
Unibet 7.50 5.75 1.32 +2.7%
William Hill 7.00 5.00 1.36 +1.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.06 U 7.91
2.5 O 1.27 U 3.53
3.5 O 1.73 U 2.11
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.44 10 bks
NO
2.60 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.13
Away -0.5 1.11
Away -0.75 1.00
Away -1 1.01
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.11
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.