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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · PORTSMOUTH 38%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 46 · SAT, 02 MAY · 11:30 LOCAL
PORTSMOUTH
18TH · 55 PTS · LAST 5:
W L W W W
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
BIRMINGHAM
W W D W L
· 10TH · 64 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 8' Adrian Segecic
GOALS
⚽ 19' August Priske
Adrian Segečić
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Adrian Segečić
Portsmouth · 93 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 12% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Championship: Portsmouth FC vs Birmingham
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Championship: Portsmouth FC vs Birmingham
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

66%
BALL POSSESSION %
80%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
12
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
191%
PASS ACCURACY %
157%
3
CORNERS
9
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · 1-0
    Adrian Segecic · assist Jordan Williams
    POR
  2. 17'
    Subst
    Seung-ho Paik · assist Jay Stansfield
    BIR
  3. 19'
    Goal · 1-1
    August Priske · assist Kai Wagner
    BIR
  4. 21'
    Subst
    Conor Chaplin · assist John Swift
    POR
  5. 39'
    Card · Foul
    Luke Le Roux
    POR
  6. 46'
    Subst
    Regan Poole · assist Connor Ogilvie
    POR
  7. 54'
    Subst
    Tommy Doyle · assist Jhon Solís
    BIR
  8. 63'
    Card · Foul
    Carlos Vicente
    BIR
  9. 71'
    Subst
    Conor Shaughnessy · assist Hayden Matthews
    POR
  10. 71'
    Subst
    Thomas Waddingham · assist Millenic Alli
    POR
  11. 81'
    Card · Argument
    Adrian Segecic
    POR
  12. 82'
    Card · Argument
    BIR
  13. 82'
    Card · Argument
    Bright Osayi-Samuel
    BIR
  14. 84'
    Subst
    Marlon Pack · assist Luke Le Roux
    POR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PORTSMOUTH AVG 7.4
BIRMINGHAM AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
2.0
ON TARGET
5.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
6.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
66.0%
POSSESSION %
80.0%
267.0
PASSES
243.0
191.0%
PASS ACCURACY
157.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
9.0
15.0
OFFSIDES
16.0
DISCIPLINE
19.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
4.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PORTSMOUTH 6 shots
Adrian Segečić
1/3
Conor Chaplin
1/3
BIRMINGHAM 4 shots
Ibrahim Osman
2/3
Kai Wagner
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.3
30
BEN KILLI
3
CONNOR OG
 7.3
17
IBANE BOW
14
HAYDEN MA
2
JORDAN LE
21
ANDRE DOZ
 7.0
16
LUKE LE R
27
MILLENIC
8
JOHN SWIF
 7.9
10
ADRIAN SE
40
JACOB BRO
25
JAMES BEA
 7.7
31
KAI WAGNE
 7.5
4
CHRISTOPH
 7.0
5
PHIL NEUM
 7.0
26
BRIGHT OS
24
TOMOKI IW
14
JHON SOLí
 7.3
17
IBRAHIM O
28
JAY STANS
23
CARLOS VI
29
AUGUST PR
SUBSTITUTES · PORTSMOUTH
25
Makenzie Kir...
F
28
Reuben Swann
M
7
Marlon Pack
M
38
Ebou Adams
M
6
Conor Shaugh...
D
5
Regan Poole
D
1
Nicolas Schm...
G
36
Conor Chapli...
F
20
Thomas Waddi...
F
COACH: John Mousinho
SUBSTITUTES · BIRMINGHAM
10
Demarai Gray
F
16
Patrick Robe...
M
7
Tommy Doyle
M
20
Alex Cochran...
D
2
Ethan Laird
D
37
Jonathan Pan...
D
21
Ryan Allsop
G
8
Seung Ho Pai...
M
33
Marvin Ducks...
F
COACH: Chris Davies
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BIR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
John Brooks, England
—
POR MANAGER
John Mousinho
head coach
BIR MANAGER
Chris Davies
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
POR WINS
0
DRAWS
2
BIR WINS
50%
50%
7 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
3.25
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 4
01 Nov 2025
Birmingham
4 – 0
Portsmouth
L
20 Mar 2012
Portsmouth
4 – 1
Birmingham
W
07 Feb 2012
Birmingham
1 – 0
Portsmouth
L
PORTSMOUTH LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W W W
BIRMINGHAM LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
PORTSMOUTH #18
Lost · already at 55 pts
BIRMINGHAM #10
Lost · already at 64 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
W D W W D
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D D W W
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
D W W D L
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W L D D L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 84'
    Subst · Marlon Pack
    7th Substitution
  • 82'
    Card · Argument · Bright Osayi-Samuel
    4th Yellowcard
  • 82'
    Card · Argument
    5th Yellowcard
  • 81'
    Card · Argument · Adrian Segecic
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 71'
    Subst · Thomas Waddingham
    6th Substitution
  • 71'
    Subst · Conor Shaughnessy
    5th Substitution
  • 63'
    Card · Foul · Carlos Vicente
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 54'
    Subst · Tommy Doyle
    4th Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Regan Poole
    3rd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 39'
    Card · Foul · Luke Le Roux
    1st Yellowcard
  • 21'
    Subst · Conor Chaplin
    2nd Substitution
  • 19'
    Goal · 1-1 · August Priske
    2nd Goal
  • 17'
    Subst · Seung-ho Paik
    1st Substitution
  • 8'
    Goal · 1-0 · Adrian Segecic
    1st Goal
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
PORTSMOUTH WIN
2.97
33.7% implied
↑ best 3.10
DRAW
3.47
28.8% implied
↑ best 3.60
BIRMINGHAM WIN
2.29
43.7% implied
↑ best 2.35

Market favors Birmingham. AI projects PORTSMOUTH 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PORTSMOUTH 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.10 3.45 2.18 +5.7%
1xBet 2.94 3.42 2.30 +4.0%
Bet365 2.90 3.50 2.30 +3.5%
Betano 3.00 3.45 2.35 +4.7%
Betfair 3.00 3.50 2.30 +4.7%
BetVictor 2.90 3.60 2.30 +3.5%
Dafabet 3.05 3.60 2.31 +5.2%
Marathonbet 2.93 3.42 2.28 +3.9%
Pinnacle 2.99 3.57 2.35 +4.6%
SBO 2.95 3.37 2.20 +4.1%
Unibet 3.00 3.45 2.28 +4.7%
William Hill 2.90 3.30 2.30 +3.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.84
2.5 O 1.75 U 2.03
3.5 O 2.84 U 1.39
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.60 9 bks
NO
2.23 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.53
Away -0.5 1.40
Away -0.75 1.27
Away -1 1.14
Away -1.25 1.11
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.