GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · BRISTOL CITY 48%
CONF 46 FULL ANALYSIS →
Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 46 · SAT, 02 MAY · 11:30 LOCAL
BRISTOL CITY
12TH · 62 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L D W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
STOKE CITY
L L L D L
· 17TH · 55 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 1' Delano Burgzorg ⚽ 88' Sam Bell
GOALS
Sam Bell
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Sam Bell
Bristol City · 9 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 0% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

56%
BALL POSSESSION %
101%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
17
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
321%
PASS ACCURACY %
392%
2
CORNERS
15
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 1'
    Goal · 1-0
    Delano Burgzorg
    BRI
  2. 35'
    Card · Argument
    STO
  3. 46'
    Subst
    Tatsuki Seko
    STO
  4. 59'
    Subst
    Sam Gallagher · assist Lamine Cissé
    STO
  5. 59'
    Subst
    Jesurun Rak-Sakyi · assist Jun-ho Bae
    STO
  6. 60'
    Card · Argument
    Junior Tchamadeu
    STO
  7. 63'
    Card · Foul
    Ross McCrorie
    BRI
  8. 71'
    Subst
    Syd Agina · assist Junior Tchamadeu
    STO
  9. 74'
    Subst
    Mark Sykes · assist Sam Morsy
    BRI
  10. 81'
    Subst
    Sam Bell · assist Tomi Horvat
    BRI
  11. 84'
    Subst
    Emil Riis · assist Delano Burgzorg
    BRI
  12. 87'
    Subst
    Milan Smit · assist Million Manhoef
    STO
  13. 88'
    Goal · 2-0
    Sam Bell · assist Rob Dickie
    BRI
  14. 90'+5
    Card · Simulation
    Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
    STO
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BRISTOL CITY AVG 7.6
STOKE CITY AVG 6.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
17.0
5.0
ON TARGET
2.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
1.0
BLOCKED
10.0
POSSESSION
56.0%
POSSESSION %
101.0%
398.0
PASSES
452.0
321.0%
PASS ACCURACY
392.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
15.0
16.0
OFFSIDES
11.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
13.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BRISTOL CITY 4 shots
Rob Dickie
0/2
Sam Bell
1/1
Delano Burgzorg
1/1
STOKE CITY 2 shots
Steven​ N'Zonzi
1/1
Sorba Thomas
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 43%
57% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.6
23
RADEK VIT
 7.6
21
NETO BORG
 7.3
16
ROB DICKI
38
NOAH EILE
2
ROSS MCCR
40
SAM MORSY
4
ADAM RAND
10
SCOTT TWI
14
TOMI HORV
12
JASON KNI
 7.5
11
DELANO BU
1
VIKTOR JO
17
ERIC BOCA
23
BEN GIBSO
26
ASHLEY PH
22
JUNIOR TC
4
BEN PEARS
 7.2
15
STEVEN​ N
 6.5
7
SORBA THO
10
JUN-HO BA
42
MILLION M
 6.7
29
LAMINE CI
SUBSTITUTES · BRISTOL CITY
20
Sam Bell
F
18
Emil Riis Ja...
F
42
Daniel Ezend...
M
44
George Earth...
M
17
Mark Sykes
M
24
Seb Naylor
D
19
George Tanne...
D
32
Lewis Thomas
G
30
Sinclair Arm...
F
COACH: Roy Hodgson
SUBSTITUTES · STOKE CITY
11
Róbert Božen...
F
49
Milan Smit
F
8
Lewis Baker
M
21
Jesurun Rak-...
F
50
Sydney Agina
M
3
Aaron Cressw...
D
25
Tommy Simkin
G
12
Tatsuki Seko
M
20
Sam Gallaghe...
F
COACH: Mark Robins
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BRI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

STO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ben Toner, England
—
BRI MANAGER
Roy Hodgson
head coach
STO MANAGER
Mark Robins
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
BRI WINS
1
DRAWS
5
STO WINS
40%
10%
50%
12 – 19
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 Nov 2025
Stoke City
5 – 1
Bristol City
L
12 Feb 2025
Bristol City
2 – 0
Stoke City
W
22 Oct 2024
Stoke City
2 – 2
Bristol City
D
04 May 2024
Stoke City
4 – 0
Bristol City
L
30 Sep 2023
Bristol City
2 – 3
Stoke City
L
BRISTOL CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L D W
STOKE CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
BRISTOL CITY #12
Won · already at 62 pts
STOKE CITY #17
Lost · already at 55 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
W D W W D
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D D W W
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
D W W D L
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W L D D L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Simulation · Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
    4th Yellowcard
  • 88'
    Goal · 2-0 · Sam Bell
    2nd Goal
  • 87'
    Subst · Milan Smit
    8th Substitution
  • 84'
    Subst · Emil Riis
    7th Substitution
  • 81'
    Subst · Sam Bell
    6th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Mark Sykes
    5th Substitution
  • 71'
    Subst · Syd Agina
    4th Substitution
  • 63'
    Card · Foul · Ross McCrorie
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 60'
    Card · Argument · Junior Tchamadeu
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 59'
    Subst · Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
    3rd Substitution
  • 59'
    Subst · Sam Gallagher
    2nd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Tatsuki Seko
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 35'
    Card · Argument
    1st Yellowcard
  • 1'
    Goal · 1-0 · Delano Burgzorg
    1st Goal
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
BRISTOL CITY WIN
1.95
51.3% implied
↑ best 2.01
DRAW
3.71
27% implied
↑ best 3.80
STOKE CITY WIN
3.57
28% implied
↑ best 3.70

Market favors Bristol City. AI projects BRISTOL CITY 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BRISTOL CITY 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.96 3.75 3.45 +0.3%
1xBet 1.94 3.68 3.57 -0.2%
Bet365 1.91 3.70 3.70 0.0%
Betano 1.95 3.75 3.65 +0.3%
Betfair 1.95 3.80 3.60 +0.7%
BetVictor 1.95 3.80 3.50 +0.7%
Dafabet 2.01 3.80 3.60 +0.7%
Marathonbet 1.92 3.68 3.58 -0.2%
Pinnacle 1.97 3.80 3.70 +0.7%
SBO 1.94 3.58 3.41 -0.9%
Unibet 1.94 3.70 3.60 0.0%
William Hill 1.95 3.50 3.50 -1.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.18 U 4.50
2.5 O 1.61 U 2.26
3.5 O 2.49 U 1.49
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.52 9 bks
NO
2.39 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.13
Away -0.5 1.86
Away -0.75 1.64
Away -1 1.43
Away -1.25 1.35
Away -1.5 1.28
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.