GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · IPSWICH 72% · Value: Over 2.5 61%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 46 · SAT, 02 MAY · 11:30 LOCAL
IPSWICH
2ND · 84 PTS · LAST 5:
D D W D L
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
QPR
L L L D D
· 15TH · 58 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 3' George Hirst ⚽ 9' Jaden Philogene-Bidace ⚽ 85' Kasey McAteer
GOALS
George Hirst
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
George Hirst
Ipswich · 70 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 10% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.05
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.68
53%
BALL POSSESSION %
47%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
12
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
4
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 3'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    George Hirst
    IPS
  2. 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jaden Philogene-Bidace · assist George Hirst
    IPS
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Nicolas Madsen · assist Paul Smyth
    QPR
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jake Clarke-Salter · assist Tylon Smith
    QPR
  5. 46'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Darnell Furlong
    IPS
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jaden Philogene-Bidace · assist Jack Clarke
    IPS
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Wes Burns · assist Kasey McAteer
    IPS
  8. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ilias Chair · assist Koki Saito
    QPR
  9. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    George Hirst · assist Ivan Azón
    IPS
  10. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Marcelino Núñez · assist Anis Mehmeti
    IPS
  11. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Leif Davis
    IPS
  12. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Paul Smyth
    QPR
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kieran Morgan · assist Isak Alemayehu Mulugeta
    QPR
  14. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Daniel Bennie · assist Leon Scarlett
    QPR
  15. 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kasey McAteer
    IPS
  16. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jack Taylor · assist Dan Neil
    IPS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
IPSWICH AVG 7.7
QPR AVG 6.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.1
xG
0.7
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
7.0
ON TARGET
4.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
53.0%
POSSESSION %
47.0%
404.0
PASSES
362.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
2.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
16.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
IPSWICH 7 shots
Jaden Philogene-Bidace
3/3
George Hirst
2/2
Kasey McAteer
1/1
Dara O'Shea
0/1
QPR 3 shots
Paul Smyth
2/2
Daniel Bennie
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.05 – 0.68
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.1 0.0 HT 3' 9' 85' H 2.05 A 0.68 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 63%
37% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
28
CHRISTIAN
3
LEIF DAVI
24
JACOB GRE
 7.5
26
DARA O'SH
19
DARNELL F
14
JACK TAYL
 7.7
5
AZOR MATU
 7.9
11
JADEN PHI
32
MARCELINO
7
WES BURNS
 7.9
9
GEORGE HI
13
JOE WALSH
18
RHYS NORR
6
JAKE CLAR
37
RONNIE ED
27
AMADOU SA
10
ILIAS CHA
 6.5
21
KIERAN MO
40
JONATHAN
20
HARVEY VA
24
NICOLAS M
 6.5
23
DANIEL BE
SUBSTITUTES · IPSWICH
33
Anis Mehmeti
M
29
Chuba Akpom
F
20
Kasey McAtee...
M
47
Jack Clarke
F
6
Dan Neil
M
18
Ben Johnson
D
4
Cédric Kipré
D
1
Alex Palmer
G
31
Ivan Azón
F
COACH: Kieran McKenna
SUBSTITUTES · QPR
11
Paul Smyth
F
14
Koki Saito
F
48
Isak Alemaye...
M
15
Isaac Hayden
M
2
Kealey Adams...
D
28
Esquerdinha
D
30
Tylon Smith
D
32
Matteo Salam...
G
52
Leon Scarlet...
F
COACH: Julien Stephan
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
IPS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

QPR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Gavin Ward, England
—
IPS MANAGER
Kieran McKenna
head coach
QPR MANAGER
Julien Stephan
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
IPS WINS
2
DRAWS
5
QPR WINS
30%
20%
50%
10 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 Nov 2025
QPR
1 – 4
Ipswich
W
29 Dec 2023
Ipswich
0 – 0
QPR
D
19 Aug 2023
QPR
0 – 1
Ipswich
W
26 Dec 2018
QPR
3 – 0
Ipswich
L
20 Oct 2018
Ipswich
0 – 2
QPR
L
IPSWICH LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W D L
QPR LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
IPSWICH #2
Won · already at 84 pts
Promotion
QPR #15
Lost · already at 58 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
W D W W D
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D D W W
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
D W W D L
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W L D D L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jack Taylor
  • 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kasey McAteer
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Daniel Bennie
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kieran Morgan
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Paul Smyth
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · Leif Davis
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Marcelino Núñez
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · George Hirst
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ilias Chair
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Wes Burns
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jaden Philogene-Bidace
  • 46'
    Card · Yellow Card · Darnell Furlong
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jake Clarke-Salter
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Nicolas Madsen
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jaden Philogene-Bidace
  • 3'
    Goal · Normal Goal · George Hirst
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
IPSWICH WIN
1.25
80% implied
↑ best 1.31
DRAW
6.06
16.5% implied
↑ best 6.52
QPR WIN
10.62
9.4% implied
↑ best 12.00

Market favors Ipswich. AI projects IPSWICH 72% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS IPSWICH 72% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.24 5.90 10.75 +1.1%
1xBet 1.24 6.05 10.50 +1.5%
Bet365 1.25 6.00 10.00 +1.3%
Betano 1.28 5.70 11.00 +0.9%
Betfair 1.20 6.50 12.00 +2.6%
BetVictor 1.22 6.50 11.50 +2.6%
Dafabet 1.31 5.80 9.40 +0.8%
Marathonbet 1.23 6.05 10.75 +1.5%
Pinnacle 1.24 6.52 11.22 +2.7%
SBO 1.25 5.90 9.26 +1.1%
Unibet 1.24 6.00 11.00 +1.3%
William Hill 1.25 5.80 10.00 +0.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.50
2.5 O 1.45 U 2.62
3.5 O 2.15 U 1.67
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.87 9 bks
NO
1.85 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 5.04
Away -0.5 3.79
Away -0.75 3.46
Away -1 3.10
Away -1.25 2.46
Away -1.5 2.11
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.