GOALSENSE
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Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SUN, 17 MAY · 12:30 LOCAL
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PEC ZWOLLE
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME
FEYENOORD
GOALS
⚽ 79' Anis Hadj Moussa ⚽ 87' Anis Hadj Moussa
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
PEC
1 – 2
FEY
most likely scoreline · 11.2% probability
AI PICKS FEYENOORD TO WIN 55%
FT 0 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
PEC WIN 24%
DRAW 21%
FEY WIN 55%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.48% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 79% OVER 1.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Feyenoord clear away favourite but PEC's home form and market BTTS overpricing (69% vs 66% AI) suggest slight value in backing under.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY PEC ZWOLLE CHALLENGED
24%
Market BTTS at 69% appears overpriced — SportMonks 59.5%, AI 66% — modest value in Under 2.5
+15.0%
WHY FEYENOORD FAVORED
55%
Feyenoord clear away favourite but PEC's home form and market BTTS overpricing (69% vs 66% AI) suggest slight value in backing under.
+30.0%
Feyenoord 25-point table lead + strong away form (WD wins at road venues) vs PEC's relegation-zone weakness (13th, -25 GD)
+25.0%
PEC home form (WDWDD) provides modest cushion but inconsistent; Feyenoord away form (WDDDL) more reliable
+20.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Market BTTS at 69% appears overpriced — SportMonks 59.5%, AI 66% — modest value in Under 2.5
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 79' ANIS HADJ ⚽ 87' ANIS HADJ
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 11.2%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
10.6
11.2
7.9
4.2
1.8
0.6
1
4.4
9.3
9.9
7.0
3.7
1.6
0.6
2
1.9
4.1
4.3
3.1
1.6
0.7
0.2
3
0.6
1.2
1.3
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
·
·
5
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 2 11.2%
0 — 1 10.6%
1 — 2 9.9%
1 — 1 9.3%
0 — 3 7.9%
Top 5 = 48.8% · rest 51.2%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.07
24.0%
4.17
+21.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.36
45.0%
2.22
+6.3%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.52
21.0%
4.76
-5.1%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.18
79.0%
1.27
-6.6%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.41
66.0%
1.52
-6.9%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.17
76.0%
1.32
-11.2%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.56
55.0%
1.82
-14.3%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.35
62.0%
1.61
-16.1%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.