GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · UTRECHT 60% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SUN, 17 MAY · 12:30 LOCAL
UTRECHT
6TH · 53 PTS · LAST 5:
W W L W L
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
FORTUNA SITTARD
W L L D L
· 11TH · 39 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 39' Dani de Wit ⚽ 65' David Min
GOALS
Gjivai Zechiël
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Gjivai Zechiël
Utrecht · 90 mins
🅰 2 assists · 55% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Eredivisie: Utrecht vs Fortuna Sittard
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

90%
BALL POSSESSION %
93%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
13
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
421%
PASS ACCURACY %
280%
2
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 39'
    Goal · 1-0
    Dani de Wit · assist Gjivai Zechiël
    UTR
  2. 46'
    Subst
    Ivo Pinto · assist Justin Hubner
    FOR
  3. 46'
    Subst
    Mohamed Ihattaren · assist Dimitrios Limnios
    FOR
  4. 55'
    Card · Foul
    Yassin Oukili
    FOR
  5. 63'
    Subst
    David Min · assist Sébastien Haller
    UTR
  6. 64'
    Subst
    Adrian Blake · assist Jesper Karlsson
    UTR
  7. 64'
    Subst
    Nick Viergever · assist Mike Eerdhuijzen
    UTR
  8. 65'
    Goal · 2-0
    David Min · assist Gjivai Zechiël
    UTR
  9. 72'
    Subst
    Siebe Horemans · assist Niklas Vesterlund
    UTR
  10. 79'
    Subst
    Alen Halilovic · assist Kaj Sierhuis
    FOR
  11. 79'
    Subst
    Tristan Schenkhuizen · assist Philip Brittijn
    FOR
  12. 79'
    Subst
    Moussa Gbemou · assist Yassin Oukili
    FOR
  13. 82'
    Subst
    Rafik El Arguioui · assist Dani de Wit
    UTR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
UTRECHT AVG 7.5
FORTUNA SITTARD AVG 6.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
5.0
ON TARGET
2.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
5.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
90.0%
POSSESSION %
93.0%
487.0
PASSES
352.0
421.0%
PASS ACCURACY
280.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
5.0
14.0
OFFSIDES
16.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
8.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
UTRECHT 8 shots
Gjivai Zechiël
1/3
Dani De Wit
1/3
David Min
1/1
Jesper Karlsson
1/1
FORTUNA SITTARD 6 shots
Syb Van Ottele
1/2
Lance Duijvestijn
0/2
Neraysho Kasanwirjo
0/1
Ivo Pinto
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 54%
46% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-3
4-2-3-1
3-4-3
1
VASILIS B
16
SOUFFIAN
44
MIKE EERD
3
MIKE VAN
23
NIKLAS VE
 8.2
21
GJIVAI ZE
 7.3
27
ALONZO EN
10
YOANN CAT
 7.3
20
DANI DE W
 7.3
11
JESPER KA
91
SéBASTIEN
 7.2
31
MATTIJS B
23
PHILIP BR
28
JUSTIN HU
 6.9
6
SYB VAN O
8
JASPER DA
 6.7
70
LANCE DUI
5
YASSIN OU
 6.7
21
NERAYSHO
7
KRISTOFFE
9
KAJ SIERH
18
DIMITRIS
SUBSTITUTES · UTRECHT
43
Rafik El Arg...
M
8
Can Bozdoğan
M
9
David Min
F
15
Adrian Blake
F
5
Emeka Adeile
D
53
Neal Viereck
D
24
Nick Viergev...
D
2
Siebe Horema...
D
57
Per Klooster...
D
33
Kevin Gadell...
G
51
Mees Eppink
G
18
Artem Stepan...
F
COACH: Ron Jans
SUBSTITUTES · FORTUNA SITTARD
10
Alen Halilov...
M
46
Moussa Gbemo...
M
40
Ganni Buyukh...
M
52
Mohamed Ihat...
M
38
Tristan Sche...
M
12
Ivo Pinto
D
42
Daan Bisscho...
D
1
Luuk Koopman...
G
25
Niels Marten...
G
41
Alhaji Bah
D
COACH: Danny Buijs
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
UTR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ingmar Oostrom, Netherlands
—
UTR MANAGER
Ron Jans
head coach
FOR MANAGER
Danny Buijs
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
UTR WINS
4
DRAWS
4
FOR WINS
20%
40%
40%
16 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
20 Sep 2025
Fortuna Sittard
1 – 0
Utrecht
L
18 May 2025
Fortuna Sittard
0 – 0
Utrecht
D
22 Dec 2024
Utrecht
2 – 5
Fortuna Sittard
L
11 Feb 2024
Utrecht
4 – 0
Fortuna Sittard
W
28 Oct 2023
Fortuna Sittard
0 – 0
Utrecht
D
UTRECHT LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L W L
FORTUNA SITTARD LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
UTRECHT #6
Won · already at 53 pts
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
FORTUNA SITTARD #11
Lost · already at 39 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 +56 84
W W D W W
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 +26 65
W D W W D
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 +24 59
W L D D D
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 +19 58
L W D D W
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 +21 56
D L D W W
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 +13 53
W W W L W
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 +7 52
D D D D W
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 +4 51
D L W W L
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 +4 48
W W L L D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 -22 43
L L D L L
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 -14 39
L W L L D
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 +1 38
L L D D D
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 -13 38
W D W W D
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 -6 37
W W D W L
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 -27 37
L L W L D
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 -20 32
L D L W L
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 -23 29
D W L L D
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 -50 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 82'
    Subst · Rafik El Arguioui
    10th Substitution
  • 79'
    Subst · Moussa Gbemou
    7th Substitution
  • 79'
    Subst · Tristan Schenkhuizen
    9th Substitution
  • 79'
    Subst · Alen Halilovic
    8th Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Siebe Horemans
    6th Substitution
  • 65'
    Goal · 2-0 · David Min
    2nd Goal
  • 64'
    Subst · Nick Viergever
    5th Substitution
  • 64'
    Subst · Adrian Blake
    4th Substitution
  • 63'
    Subst · David Min
    3rd Substitution
  • 55'
    Card · Foul · Yassin Oukili
    1st Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst · Mohamed Ihattaren
    1st Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Ivo Pinto
    2nd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 39'
    Goal · 1-0 · Dani de Wit
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
UTRECHT WIN
1.51
66.2% implied
↑ best 1.55
DRAW
4.66
21.5% implied
↑ best 4.90
FORTUNA SITTARD WIN
5.43
18.4% implied
↑ best 5.75

Market favors Utrecht. AI projects UTRECHT 60% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS UTRECHT 60% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.52 4.75 4.90 +0.9%
1xBet 1.53 4.73 5.60 +0.9%
888Sport 1.50 4.33 5.00 -1.1%
Bet365 1.53 4.75 5.50 +0.9%
Betano 1.55 4.90 5.70 +1.6%
Betfair 1.47 4.50 5.50 -0.2%
BetVictor 1.50 4.80 5.75 +1.2%
Dafabet 1.53 4.90 5.60 +1.6%
Marathonbet 1.49 4.60 5.45 +0.3%
Pinnacle 1.53 4.74 5.58 +0.9%
SBO 1.48 4.50 5.32 -0.2%
Unibet 1.46 4.70 5.75 +0.7%
William Hill 1.50 4.33 5.00 -1.1%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 5.95
2.5 O 1.41 U 2.77
3.5 O 2.07 U 1.72
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.50 10 bks
NO
2.39 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.12
Away -0.5 2.58
Away -0.75 2.28
Away -1 2.02
Away -1.25 1.77
Away -1.5 1.62
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.