GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · AZ ALKMAAR 65%
CONF 61 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SUN, 17 MAY · 12:30 LOCAL
AZ ALKMAAR
7TH · 52 PTS · LAST 5:
D D D D W
FT
3 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
NAC BREDA
W L L D D
· 17TH · 29 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 61' Moussa Soumano ⚽ 71' Moussa Soumano ⚽ 89' Juho Talvitie
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro
AZ Alkmaar · 91 mins
· 17% pass acc
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Eredivisie: AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

86%
BALL POSSESSION %
92%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
17
10
SHOTS ON TARGET
11
367%
PASS ACCURACY %
300%
7
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 9 events
  1. 54'
    Subst
    Jayden Candelaria · assist Kamal Sowah
    NAC
  2. 55'
    Subst
    Juho Talvitie · assist Enes Mahmutovic
    NAC
  3. 55'
    Subst
    Charles-Andreas Brym · assist Pepijn Reulen
    NAC
  4. 59'
    Card · Foul
    Rio Hillen
    NAC
  5. 61'
    Goal · 2-1
    Moussa Soumano · assist Cherrion Valerius
    NAC
  6. 68'
    Subst
    André Ayew · assist Clint Leemans
    NAC
  7. 68'
    Subst
    Lewis Holtby · assist Brahim Ghalidi
    NAC
  8. 71'
    Goal · 2-2
    Moussa Soumano · assist Fredrik Oldrup Jensen
    NAC
  9. 89'
    Goal · 2-3
    Juho Talvitie · assist Cherrion Valerius
    NAC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AZ ALKMAAR AVG 8.0
NAC BREDA AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
17.0
10.0
ON TARGET
11.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
86.0%
POSSESSION %
92.0%
430.0
PASSES
355.0
367.0%
PASS ACCURACY
300.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
6.0
18.0
OFFSIDES
19.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
6.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
7.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AZ ALKMAAR 5 shots
Sven Mijnans
2/3
Mateo Chávez
1/1
Jordy Clasie
0/1
NAC BREDA 9 shots
Moussa Soumano
5/5
Clint Leemans
2/3
Juho Talvitie
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 0%
100% A
0
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
9.2
1
ROME JAYD
 7.7
15
MATEO CHá
 7.2
5
ALEXANDRE
3
WOUTER GO
22
ELIJAH DI
6
PEER KOOP
 7.2
8
JORDY CLA
27
RO-ZANGEL
 8.7
10
SVEN MIJN
17
ISAK STEI
9
TROY PARR
 7.3
99
DANIEL BI
22
RIO HILLE
20
FREDRIK J
15
ENES MAHM
 7.6
25
CHERRION
14
KAMAL SOW
 7.3
8
CLINT LEE
16
MAXIMILIE
55
BRAHIM GH
 8.3
9
MOUSSA SO
26
PEPIJN RE
SUBSTITUTES · AZ ALKMAAR
7
Weslley Pata...
F
33
Matěj Šín
M
24
Ayoub Oufkir
F
45
Bendegúz Kov...
F
20
Kasper Booga...
M
2
Seiya Maikum...
D
18
Rion Ichihar...
D
30
Denso Kasius
D
23
Billy van Du...
D
41
Jeroen Zoet
G
35
Mexx Meerdin...
F
11
Ibrahim Sadi...
F
COACH: Leeroy Echteld
SUBSTITUTES · NAC BREDA
7
Charles-Andr...
F
24
André Ayew
F
32
Juho Talviti...
F
90
Lewis Holtby
M
21
Jayden Cande...
D
4
Boy Kemper
D
31
Kostas Lampr...
G
1
Roy Kortsmit
G
44
Thomas Goos
G
30
Luuk Brouwer...
D
COACH: Carl Hoefkens
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AZ · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NAC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Edwin Van de Graaf, Netherlands
—
AZ MANAGER
Leeroy Echteld
head coach
NAC MANAGER
Carl Hoefkens
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
8
AZ WINS
1
DRAWS
1
NAC WINS
80%
10%
10%
22 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
31 Aug 2025
NAC Breda
0 – 1
AZ Alkmaar
W
24 Apr 2025
AZ Alkmaar
1 – 1
NAC Breda
D
15 Dec 2024
NAC Breda
1 – 2
AZ Alkmaar
W
08 Feb 2019
NAC Breda
0 – 3
AZ Alkmaar
W
12 Aug 2018
AZ Alkmaar
5 – 0
NAC Breda
W
AZ ALKMAAR LAST 5 OVERALL
D D D D W
NAC BREDA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–3 · result locked
AZ ALKMAAR #7
Lost · already at 52 pts
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
NAC BREDA #17
Lost · already at 29 pts
Relegation - Eerste Divisie
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 +56 84
W W D W W
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 +26 65
W D W W D
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 +24 59
W L D D D
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 +19 58
L W D D W
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 +21 56
D L D W W
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 +13 53
W W W L W
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 +7 52
D D D D W
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 +4 51
D L W W L
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 +4 48
W W L L D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 -22 43
L L D L L
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 -14 39
L W L L D
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 +1 38
L L D D D
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 -13 38
W D W W D
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 -6 37
W W D W L
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 -27 37
L L W L D
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 -20 32
L D L W L
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 -23 29
D W L L D
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 -50 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Goal · 2-3 · Juho Talvitie
    5th Goal
  • 71'
    Goal · 2-2 · Moussa Soumano
    4th Goal
  • 68'
    Subst · Lewis Holtby
    8th Substitution
  • 68'
    Subst · André Ayew
    7th Substitution
  • 61'
    Goal · 2-1 · Moussa Soumano
    3rd Goal
  • 59'
    Card · Foul · Rio Hillen
    1st Yellowcard
  • 55'
    Subst · Charles-Andreas Brym
    3rd Substitution
  • 55'
    Subst · Juho Talvitie
    4th Substitution
  • 54'
    Subst · Jayden Candelaria
    2nd Substitution
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
AZ ALKMAAR WIN
1.29
77.5% implied
↑ best 1.39
DRAW
5.89
17% implied
↑ best 6.50
NAC BREDA WIN
8.61
11.6% implied
↑ best 10.00

Market favors AZ Alkmaar. AI projects AZ ALKMAAR 65%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AZ ALKMAAR 65% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.25 5.80 10.00 +4.8%
1xBet 1.29 6.39 9.25 +6.4%
888Sport 1.30 5.50 7.50 +3.8%
Bet365 1.28 5.75 9.50 +4.6%
Betano 1.31 6.30 10.00 +6.1%
Betfair 1.25 5.50 8.50 +3.8%
BetVictor 1.25 6.50 9.50 +6.6%
Dafabet 1.39 5.60 7.20 +4.1%
Marathonbet 1.26 6.05 8.80 +5.5%
Pinnacle 1.28 6.50 8.61 +6.6%
SBO 1.31 5.70 7.05 +4.5%
Unibet 1.30 5.50 8.00 +3.8%
William Hill 1.29 5.50 8.00 +3.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.07 U 7.36
2.5 O 1.29 U 3.33
3.5 O 1.78 U 2.00
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.53 10 bks
NO
2.33 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.37
Away -0.5 3.42
Away -0.75 3.12
Away -1 2.83
Away -1.25 2.31
Away -1.5 2.06
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.