GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · GRONINGEN 38% · Value: BTTS Yes 62%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 33 · SUN, 10 MAY · 14:45 LOCAL
GRONINGEN
9TH · 45 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D W W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
NEC NIJMEGEN
D D D W D
· 4TH · 56 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 45+3' Marco Rente ⚽ 51' Tygo Land
GOALS
⚽ 76' Darko Nejašmić
Darko Nejašmić
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Darko Nejašmić
NEC Nijmegen · 94 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 40% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
FC Groningen - NEC | Summary
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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

50%
BALL POSSESSION %
50%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
9
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
72%
PASS ACCURACY %
74%
5
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 14'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    NEC
  2. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tika de Jonge
    GRO
  3. 45'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Marco Rente · assist Younes Taha
    GRO
  4. 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tygo Land · assist Younes Taha
    GRO
  5. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Bram Nuytinck · assist Danilo
    NEC
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Eli Dasa · assist Başar Önal
    NEC
  7. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Philippe Sandler · assist Brayann Pereira
    NEC
  8. 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Bryan Linssen
    NEC
  9. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Younes Taha · assist Travis Hernes
    GRO
  10. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    David van der Werff · assist Wouter Prins
    GRO
  11. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Bryan Linssen · assist Youssef el Kachati
    NEC
  12. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Tjaronn Chery · assist Koki Ogawa
    NEC
  13. 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Darko Nejašmić · assist Sami Ouaissa
    NEC
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tygo Land · assist Ryan Metu
    GRO
  15. 83'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Başar Önal
    NEC
  16. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Thijmen Blokzijl
    GRO
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
GRONINGEN AVG 7.7
NEC NIJMEGEN AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
7.0
ON TARGET
3.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
50.0%
POSSESSION %
50.0%
355.0
PASSES
354.0
72.0%
PASS ACCURACY
74.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
5.0
6.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
12.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
GRONINGEN 4 shots
Marco Rente
1/1
Tygo Land
1/1
Younes Taha
1/1
Thom van Bergen
1/1
NEC NIJMEGEN 2 shots
Darko Nejašmić
1/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-1-2
4-2-3-1
3-4-1-2
1
ETIENNE V
43
MARVIN PE
4
DIES JANS
 7.9
3
THIJMEN B
 8.2
5
MARCO REN
 8.0
18
TYGO LAND
8
TIKA DE J
14
JORG SCHR
17
DAVID VAN
 7.5
10
YOUNES TA
 7.0
26
THOM VAN
 7.3
1
GONZALO C
24
DEVERON F
17
BRAM NUYT
14
ELI DASA
20
NOE LEBRE
 6.9
3
PHILIPPE
 8.7
6
DARKO NEJ
25
SAMI OUAI
 7.0
23
KODAI SAN
30
BRYAN LIN
10
TJARONN C
SUBSTITUTES · GRONINGEN
7
Travis Herne...
M
20
Mats Seuntje...
M
34
Ryan Metu
F
9
Brynjólfur D...
F
44
Jismerai Dil...
M
16
Tyrique Merc...
D
15
Elvis Van de...
D
2
Wouter Prins
D
22
Sven Bouland
D
21
Hidde Jurjus
G
13
Lovro Štublj...
G
27
Rui Mendes
F
COACH: Dick Lukkien
SUBSTITUTES · NEC NIJMEGEN
71
Dirk Wanner...
M
9
Danilo
F
18
Koki Ogawa
F
7
Virgil Misid...
F
8
Isak Hansen...
M
11
Başar Önal
F
19
Willum Thor...
M
15
Jetro Willem...
D
2
Brayann Pere...
D
5
Thomas Ouwej...
D
22
Jasper Cille...
G
34
Youssef el K...
F
COACH: Dick Schreuder
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
GRO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NEC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Alex Bos, Netherlands
—
GRO MANAGER
Dick Lukkien
head coach
NEC MANAGER
Dick Schreuder
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
GRO WINS
2
DRAWS
6
NEC WINS
20%
20%
60%
12 – 24
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
09 Nov 2025
NEC Nijmegen
2 – 0
Groningen
L
08 Feb 2025
Groningen
2 – 1
NEC Nijmegen
W
03 Nov 2024
NEC Nijmegen
6 – 0
Groningen
L
25 Apr 2023
Groningen
0 – 1
NEC Nijmegen
L
26 Aug 2022
NEC Nijmegen
1 – 1
Groningen
D
GRONINGEN LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D W W
NEC NIJMEGEN LAST 5 OVERALL
D D D W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
GRONINGEN #9
Won · already at 45 pts
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
NEC NIJMEGEN #4
Lost · already at 56 pts
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 33 26 3 4 +52 81
W D W W W
2 Feyenoord 33 18 8 7 +24 62
D W W D D
3 Twente 33 15 13 5 +23 58
W D D W W
4 NEC Nijmegen 33 15 11 7 +23 56
L D D D W
5 Ajax 33 14 13 6 +21 55
L D W W L
6 AZ Alkmaar 33 14 9 10 +7 51
D D D W W
7 Utrecht 33 14 8 11 +11 50
W W L W L
8 Heerenveen 33 14 8 11 +4 50
L W W L W
9 Groningen 33 13 6 14 +3 45
W L L D W
10 Sparta Rotterdam 33 12 7 14 -21 43
L D L L D
11 Fortuna Sittard 33 11 6 16 -12 39
W L L D L
12 GO Ahead Eagles 33 8 14 11 +2 38
L D D D W
13 PEC Zwolle 33 9 10 14 -25 37
L W L D L
14 Excelsior 33 9 8 16 -14 35
D W W D L
15 Telstar 33 8 10 15 -7 34
W D W L L
16 FC Volendam 33 8 8 17 -19 32
D L W L D
17 NAC Breda 33 6 10 17 -23 28
W L L D D
18 Heracles 33 5 4 24 -49 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Thijmen Blokzijl
    Roughing
  • 83'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Başar Önal
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tygo Land
  • 76'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Darko Nejašmić
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Tjaronn Chery
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Bryan Linssen
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · David van der Werff
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Younes Taha
  • 66'
    Card · Yellow Card · Bryan Linssen
    Roughing
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Philippe Sandler
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Eli Dasa
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Bram Nuytinck
  • 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tygo Land
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal · Marco Rente
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tika de Jonge
    Tripping
  • 14'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
GRONINGEN WIN
2.75
36.4% implied
↑ best 2.88
DRAW
3.70
27% implied
↑ best 3.90
NEC NIJMEGEN WIN
2.31
43.3% implied
↑ best 2.37

Market favors NEC Nijmegen. AI projects GRONINGEN 38% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS GRONINGEN 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.75 3.90 2.22 +1.6%
1xBet 2.84 3.76 2.36 +2.8%
888Sport 2.63 3.50 2.30 0.0%
Bet365 2.80 3.70 2.35 +2.3%
Betano 2.82 3.65 2.35 +2.5%
Betfair 2.70 3.70 2.30 +1.0%
BetVictor 2.70 3.80 2.30 +1.0%
Dafabet 2.80 3.80 2.36 +2.3%
Marathonbet 2.76 3.66 2.29 +1.8%
Pinnacle 2.83 3.80 2.37 +2.7%
SBO 2.66 3.59 2.30 +0.4%
Unibet 2.88 3.80 2.23 +3.3%
William Hill 2.62 3.50 2.30 -0.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.45
2.5 O 1.47 U 2.58
3.5 O 2.19 U 1.66
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.40 10 bks
NO
2.74 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.55
Away -0.5 1.46
Away -0.75 1.31
Away -1 1.16
Away -1.25 1.14
Away -1.5 1.12
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.