GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · EXCELSIOR 51% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 33 · SUN, 10 MAY · 14:45 LOCAL
EXCELSIOR
14TH · 35 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D L D
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
FC VOLENDAM
L W L D L
· 16TH · 32 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 38' Gibson Yah (OG)
GOALS
⚽ 2' Benjamin Pauwels
Casper Widell
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Casper Widell
Excelsior · Captain · 83 mins
· 66% pass acc
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Eredivisie: Excelsior vs FC Volendam
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

62%
BALL POSSESSION %
38%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
9
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
62%
5
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Benjamin Pauwels · assist Juninho Bacuna
    FC
  2. 38'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Gibson Yah
    EXC
  3. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nick Verschuren
    FC
  4. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Robert Mühren · assist Henk Veerman
    FC
  5. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Emil Hansson · assist Szymon Włodarczyk
    EXC
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Rick Meissen · assist Ilias Bronkhorst
    EXC
  7. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Noah Naujoks · assist Adam Carlén
    EXC
  8. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Benjamin Pauwels · assist Aurelio Oehlers
    FC
  9. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Anthony Descotte · assist Brandley Kuwas
    FC
  10. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Bilal Ould-Chikh · assist R. van Cruijsen
    FC
  11. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Irakli Yegoian
    EXC
  12. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Henk Veerman
    FC
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Juninho Bacuna · assist Alex Plat
    FC
  14. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Alex Plat
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
EXCELSIOR AVG 7.0
FC VOLENDAM AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
2.0
ON TARGET
2.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
4.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
62.0%
POSSESSION %
38.0%
398.0
PASSES
246.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
62.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
0.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
7.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
EXCELSIOR 2 shots
Casper Widell
0/1
Rick Meissen
1/1
FC VOLENDAM 2 shots
Benjamin Pauwels
1/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 36%
64% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
1
STIJN VAN
12
ARTHUR ZA
 6.9
14
LEWIS SCH
 7.7
4
CASPER WI
 6.9
3
RICK MEIS
 6.7
23
IRAKLI YE
 6.9
20
LENNARD H
10
NOAH NAUJ
7
EMIL HANS
11
GYAN DE R
30
DERENSILI
16
ROY STEUR
 6.9
32
YANNICK L
20
NICK VERS
 6.6
3
MAWOUNA A
5
PRECIOUS
8
GIBSON YA
 7.3
4
JUNINHO B
 7.6
29
BENJAMIN
 6.7
21
ROBERT Mü
77
BILAL OUL
99
ANTHONY D
SUBSTITUTES · EXCELSIOR
9
Szymon Włoda...
F
29
Mike van Dui...
F
6
Adam Carlén
M
8
Mathijs Tiel...
M
24
Giuliano Cai...
M
2
Ilias Bronkh...
D
15
Simon Jansse...
D
16
Calvin Raats...
G
33
Jerolldino B...
F
COACH: Ruben den Uil
SUBSTITUTES · FC VOLENDAM
17
Joel Ideho
F
11
Aurelio Oehl...
F
6
Alex Plat
M
40
Robin van Cr...
M
7
Ozan Kökçü
F
10
Brandley Kuw...
F
25
Luca Blondea...
D
2
Deron Payne
D
14
Aaron Meijer...
D
22
Dion Vlak
G
30
Yaell Samson
G
9
Henk Veerman
F
COACH: Rick Kruys
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
EXC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
—
EXC MANAGER
Ruben den Uil
head coach
FC MANAGER
Rick Kruys
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
EXC WINS
2
DRAWS
2
FC WINS
60%
20%
20%
23 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
20 Sep 2025
FC Volendam
1 – 2
Excelsior
W
12 Apr 2024
Excelsior
4 – 0
FC Volendam
W
29 Oct 2023
FC Volendam
3 – 1
Excelsior
L
28 May 2023
FC Volendam
3 – 2
Excelsior
L
20 Jan 2023
Excelsior
2 – 0
FC Volendam
W
EXCELSIOR LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D L D
FC VOLENDAM LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
EXCELSIOR #14
Lost · already at 35 pts
FC VOLENDAM #16
Lost · already at 32 pts
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 33 26 3 4 +52 81
W D W W W
2 Feyenoord 33 18 8 7 +24 62
D W W D D
3 Twente 33 15 13 5 +23 58
W D D W W
4 NEC Nijmegen 33 15 11 7 +23 56
L D D D W
5 Ajax 33 14 13 6 +21 55
L D W W L
6 AZ Alkmaar 33 14 9 10 +7 51
D D D W W
7 Utrecht 33 14 8 11 +11 50
W W L W L
8 Heerenveen 33 14 8 11 +4 50
L W W L W
9 Groningen 33 13 6 14 +3 45
W L L D W
10 Sparta Rotterdam 33 12 7 14 -21 43
L D L L D
11 Fortuna Sittard 33 11 6 16 -12 39
W L L D L
12 GO Ahead Eagles 33 8 14 11 +2 38
L D D D W
13 PEC Zwolle 33 9 10 14 -25 37
L W L D L
14 Excelsior 33 9 8 16 -14 35
D W W D L
15 Telstar 33 8 10 15 -7 34
W D W L L
16 FC Volendam 33 8 8 17 -19 32
D L W L D
17 NAC Breda 33 6 10 17 -23 28
W L L D D
18 Heracles 33 5 4 24 -49 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Alex Plat
    Roughing
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Juninho Bacuna
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · Henk Veerman
    Roughing
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Irakli Yegoian
    Tripping
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Bilal Ould-Chikh
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Anthony Descotte
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Benjamin Pauwels
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Noah Naujoks
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Rick Meissen
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Emil Hansson
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Robert Mühren
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nick Verschuren
    Roughing
  • 38'
    Goal · Own Goal · Gibson Yah
  • 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Benjamin Pauwels
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
EXCELSIOR WIN
1.74
57.5% implied
↑ best 1.78
DRAW
3.82
26.2% implied
↑ best 4.10
FC VOLENDAM WIN
4.41
22.7% implied
↑ best 4.95

Market favors Excelsior. AI projects EXCELSIOR 51% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS EXCELSIOR 51% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.75 3.90 4.10 -0.4%
1xBet 1.77 3.72 4.78 +3.1%
888Sport 1.73 3.80 4.00 -1.0%
Bet365 1.73 4.00 4.33 +0.9%
Betano 1.75 3.65 4.85 +3.4%
Betfair 1.70 3.75 4.60 +2.3%
BetVictor 1.73 3.90 4.33 +0.9%
Dafabet 1.78 4.10 4.20 +0.6%
Marathonbet 1.72 3.62 4.65 +2.5%
Pinnacle 1.76 3.65 4.95 +3.8%
SBO 1.73 3.72 4.20 +0.2%
Unibet 1.70 4.00 4.35 +1.0%
William Hill 1.73 3.80 4.00 -1.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.59
2.5 O 1.62 U 2.26
3.5 O 2.50 U 1.49
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.58 10 bks
NO
2.26 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.49
Away -0.5 2.10
Away -0.75 1.86
Away -1 1.62
Away -1.25 1.48
Away -1.5 1.40
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.