GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · NEC NIJMEGEN 60% · Value: Over 2.5 65%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SAT, 02 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
NEC NIJMEGEN
4TH · 56 PTS · LAST 5:
L D D W D
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
TELSTAR
W W L L W
· 15TH · 34 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 85' J. Komar
GOALS
⚽ 32' Sem van Duijn
Ronald Koeman Jr
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ronald Koeman Jr
Telstar · 92 mins
· 27% pass acc
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

144%
BALL POSSESSION %
73%
21
TOTAL SHOTS
10
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
459%
PASS ACCURACY %
156%
9
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 21'
    Card · Foul
    Philippe Sandler
    NEC
  2. 30'
    Card · Foul
    Noe Lebreton
    NEC
  3. 32'
    Goal · 0-1
    Sem van Duijn · assist Cedric Hatenboer
    TEL
  4. 37'
    Card · Foul
    Guus Offerhaus
    TEL
  5. 52'
    Subst
    Soufiane Hetli · assist Tyrone Owusu
    TEL
  6. 66'
    Subst
    Danilo · assist Eli Dasa
    NEC
  7. 67'
    Subst
    Koki Ogawa · assist Bram Nuytinck
    NEC
  8. 67'
    Subst
    Youssef El Kachati · assist Noe Lebreton
    NEC
  9. 67'
    Subst
    Brayann Pereira · assist Bryan Linssen
    NEC
  10. 74'
    Subst
    Kay Tejan · assist Sem van Duijn
    TEL
  11. 74'
    Subst
    Jelani Seedorf · assist Tyrese Noslin
    TEL
  12. 82'
    Card · Time wasting
    Ronald Koeman Jr.
    TEL
  13. 85'
    Goal · 1-1
    J. Komar · assist Danilo
    NEC
  14. 89'
    Var
    Youssef El Kachati
    NEC
  15. 90'+1
    Card · Foul
    Deveron Fonville
    NEC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEC NIJMEGEN AVG 7.3
TELSTAR AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
21.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
7.0
ON TARGET
4.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
5.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
144.0%
POSSESSION %
73.0%
534.0
PASSES
242.0
459.0%
PASS ACCURACY
156.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
0.0
11.0
OFFSIDES
16.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
11.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEC NIJMEGEN 5 shots
Tjaronn Chery
2/2
Sami Ouaissa
0/2
Eli Dasa
1/1
TELSTAR 2 shots
Sem van Duijn
1/1
Patrick Brouwer
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-1-2 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-1-2
3-4-2-1
1
GONZALO C
 7.2
24
DEVERON F
17
BRAM NUYT
 7.0
14
ELI DASA
20
NOE LEBRE
3
PHILIPPE
 7.3
6
DARKO NEJ
 7.0
25
SAMI OUAI
23
KODAI SAN
30
BRYAN LIN
 8.0
10
TJARONN C
 8.6
1
RONALD KO
6
DANNY BAK
 6.9
21
DEVON KOS
14
NEVILLE N
2
JEFF HARD
23
CEDRIC HA
4
GUUS OFFE
 6.9
11
TYRESE NO
 7.2
27
PATRICK B
8
TYRONE OW
 7.7
37
SEM VAN D
SUBSTITUTES · NEC NIJMEGEN
71
Dirk Wanner...
M
7
Virgil Misid...
F
9
Danilo
F
34
Youssef el K...
F
8
Isak Hansen...
M
19
Willum Thor...
M
2
Brayann Pere...
D
15
Jetro Willem...
D
5
Thomas Ouwej...
D
31
Rijk Janse
G
22
Jasper Cille...
G
18
Koki Ogawa
F
COACH: Dick Schreuder
SUBSTITUTES · TELSTAR
30
Kay Tejan
F
28
Rojendro Oud...
F
5
Nigel Ogidi...
D
15
Amin Bouchou...
D
13
Finn Mulder
G
20
Daan Reizige...
G
7
Soufiane Het...
F
9
Jelani Seedo...
F
COACH: Anthony Correia
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TEL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Manschot
—
NEC MANAGER
Dick Schreuder
head coach
TEL MANAGER
Anthony Correia
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
NEC WINS
3
DRAWS
2
TEL WINS
44.4%
33.3%
22.2%
25 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
4.44
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 9
13 Dec 2025
Telstar
2 – 2
NEC Nijmegen
D
NEC NIJMEGEN LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D W D
TELSTAR LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
NEC NIJMEGEN #4
Lost · already at 56 pts
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
TELSTAR #15
Lost · already at 34 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 33 26 3 4 +52 81
W D W W W
2 Feyenoord 33 18 8 7 +24 62
D W W D D
3 Twente 33 15 13 5 +23 58
W D D W W
4 NEC Nijmegen 33 15 11 7 +23 56
L D D D W
5 Ajax 33 14 13 6 +21 55
L D W W L
6 AZ Alkmaar 33 14 9 10 +7 51
D D D W W
7 Utrecht 33 14 8 11 +11 50
W W L W L
8 Heerenveen 33 14 8 11 +4 50
L W W L W
9 Groningen 33 13 6 14 +3 45
W L L D W
10 Sparta Rotterdam 33 12 7 14 -21 43
L D L L D
11 Fortuna Sittard 33 11 6 16 -12 39
W L L D L
12 GO Ahead Eagles 33 8 14 11 +2 38
L D D D W
13 PEC Zwolle 33 9 10 14 -25 37
L W L D L
14 Excelsior 33 9 8 16 -14 35
D W W D L
15 Telstar 33 8 10 15 -7 34
W D W L L
16 FC Volendam 33 8 8 17 -19 32
D L W L D
17 NAC Breda 33 6 10 17 -23 28
W L L D D
18 Heracles 33 5 4 24 -49 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Card · Foul · Deveron Fonville
    5th Yellowcard
  • 89'
    Var · Youssef El Kachati
    Goal disallowed
  • 85'
    Goal · 1-1 · J. Komar
    2nd Goal
  • 82'
    Card · Time wasting · Ronald Koeman Jr.
    4th Yellowcard
  • 74'
    Subst · Jelani Seedorf
    6th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Kay Tejan
    7th Substitution
  • 67'
    Subst · Brayann Pereira
    5th Substitution
  • 67'
    Subst · Youssef El Kachati
    3rd Substitution
  • 67'
    Subst · Koki Ogawa
    4th Substitution
  • 66'
    Subst · Danilo
    2nd Substitution
  • 52'
    Subst · Soufiane Hetli
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 37'
    Card · Foul · Guus Offerhaus
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 32'
    Goal · 0-1 · Sem van Duijn
    1st Goal
  • 30'
    Card · Foul · Noe Lebreton
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 21'
    Card · Foul · Philippe Sandler
    1st Yellowcard
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NEC NIJMEGEN WIN
1.55
64.5% implied
↑ best 1.60
DRAW
4.63
21.6% implied
↑ best 4.81
TELSTAR WIN
5.06
19.8% implied
↑ best 5.40

Market favors NEC Nijmegen. AI projects NEC NIJMEGEN 60% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NEC NIJMEGEN 60% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.55 4.55 4.85 +0.0%
1xBet 1.57 4.79 5.15 +1.1%
Bet365 1.53 4.60 5.00 +0.3%
Betano 1.60 4.70 5.40 +0.7%
Betfair 1.50 4.50 5.00 -0.2%
BetVictor 1.55 4.75 5.25 +0.9%
Dafabet 1.58 4.80 5.00 +1.2%
Marathonbet 1.52 4.65 5.00 +0.5%
Pinnacle 1.58 4.81 5.07 +1.2%
SBO 1.54 4.45 4.78 -0.5%
Unibet 1.52 4.60 5.40 +0.3%
William Hill 1.53 4.40 4.80 -0.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 6.68
2.5 O 1.36 U 3.00
3.5 O 1.94 U 1.84
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.43 9 bks
NO
2.64 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.91
Away -0.5 2.43
Away -0.75 2.16
Away -1 1.91
Away -1.25 1.71
Away -1.5 1.58
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.