GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 4–0 · LECH POZNAN 99% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Ekstraklasa · REGULAR SEASON - 30 · SUN, 26 APR · 15:30 LOCAL
LECH POZNAN
LAST 5:
W L W W D
FT
4 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 4-0
LEGIA WARSZAWA
D L L W D
· LAST 5
⚽ 3' A. Gholizadeh ⚽ 31' M. Ishak ⚽ 38' M. Gurgul ⚽ 42' M. Ishak
GOALS
A. Gholizadeh
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
A. Gholizadeh
Lech Poznan · 65 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 48% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap

awaiting upload
Goals, key moments, post-match interviews
Highlightly publishes 30 min – 6 h after final whistle
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.94
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.27
67%
BALL POSSESSION %
33%
24
TOTAL SHOTS
5
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
0
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
5
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 3'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Gholizadeh · assist P. Wålemark
    LEC
  2. 21'
    Card · Red Card
    R. Augustyniak
    LEG
  3. 22'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    R. Adamski · assist A. Jędrzejczyk
    LEG
  4. 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    M. Ishak · assist M. Gurgul
    LEC
  5. 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    M. Gurgul
    LEC
  6. 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    M. Ishak · assist Joel Pereira
    LEC
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    K. Urbański · assist B. Kapustka
    LEG
  8. 61'
    Card · Yellow Card
    B. Kapustka
    LEG
  9. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    A. Kozubal · assist F. Jagiełło
    LEC
  10. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    P. Wålemark · assist D. Håkans
    LEC
  11. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    A. Gholizadeh · assist L. Palma
    LEC
  12. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    D. Szymański · assist Artur
    LEG
  13. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    P. Kun · assist W. Urbański
    LEG
  14. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    M. Čupić · assist A. Reca
    LEG
  15. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    T. Ouma · assist Radoslaw Murawski
    LEC
  16. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Joel Pereira · assist H. Janyszka
    LEC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LECH POZNAN AVG 8.5
LEGIA WARSZAWA AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.9
xG
0.3
24.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
7.0
ON TARGET
0.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
8.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
67.0%
POSSESSION %
33.0%
595.0
PASSES
285.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
2.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
14.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LECH POZNAN 9 shots
M. Ishak
4/6
M. Gurgul
1/2
A. Gholizadeh
1/1
LEGIA WARSZAWA 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.94 – 0.27
2.4 1.8 1.2 0.6 2.9 0.0 HT 3' 31' 38' 42' H 2.94 A 0.27 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 5-3-2
4-2-3-1
5-3-2
41
B. MROZEK
 8.2
15
M. GURGUL
 8.3
27
W. MOńKA
20
R. GUMNY
 8.6
2
JOEL PERE
43
A. KOZUBA
6
T. OUMA
14
L. BENGTS
10
P. WåLEMA
 9.2
8
A. GHOLIZ
 8.3
9
M. ISHAK
 6.9
89
O. HINDRI
23
P. KUN
12
M. ČUPIć
8
R. AUGUST
91
K. PIąTKO
7
P. WSZOłE
44
D. SZYMAń
 6.6
22
J. ELITIM
82
K. URBAń
9
R. ADAMSK
29
M. RAJOVI
SUBSTITUTES · LECH POZNAN
1
P. Andreev
G
4
João Moutinh...
D
16
A. Milić
D
88
T. Ismaheel
M
33
M. Pruchniew...
G
90
H. Janyszka
D
22
Radoslaw Mur...
M
24
F. Jagiełło
M
77
L. Palma
M
11
D. Håkans
M
7
Y. Agnero
F
COACH: Niels Frederiksen
SUBSTITUTES · LEGIA WARSZAWA
56
J. Leszczyńs...
D
77
E. Krasniqi
F
20
J. Żewłakow
F
6
Henrique Arr...
M
1
K. Tobiasz
G
13
A. Reca
D
53
W. Urbański
M
99
Artur
F
67
B. Kapustka
M
55
A. Jędrzejcz...
D
18
J. Nsame
F
COACH: Marek Papszun
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LEC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LEG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Piotr Lasyk, Poland
—
LEC MANAGER
Niels Frederiksen
head coach
LEG MANAGER
Marek Papszun
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
LEC WINS
5
DRAWS
2
LEG WINS
30%
50%
20%
15 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
26 Oct 2025
Legia Warszawa
0 – 0
Lech Poznan
D
11 May 2025
Legia Warszawa
0 – 1
Lech Poznan
W
10 Nov 2024
Lech Poznan
5 – 2
Legia Warszawa
W
12 May 2024
Lech Poznan
1 – 2
Legia Warszawa
L
12 Nov 2023
Legia Warszawa
0 – 0
Lech Poznan
D
LECH POZNAN LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W W D
LEGIA WARSZAWA LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L W D
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Joel Pereira
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · T. Ouma
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · M. Čupić
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · P. Kun
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · D. Szymański
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · A. Gholizadeh
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · P. Wålemark
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · A. Kozubal
  • 61'
    Card · Yellow Card · B. Kapustka
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · K. Urbański
  • HALF TIME · 4 – 0
  • 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal · M. Ishak
  • 38'
    Goal · Normal Goal · M. Gurgul
  • 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal · M. Ishak
  • 22'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · R. Adamski
  • 21'
    Card · Red Card · R. Augustyniak
  • 3'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Gholizadeh
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
LECH POZNAN WIN
1.94
51.5% implied
↑ best 2.01
DRAW
3.53
28.3% implied
↑ best 3.72
LEGIA WARSZAWA WIN
3.58
27.9% implied
↑ best 3.82

Market favors Lech Poznan. AI projects LECH POZNAN 99% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LECH POZNAN 99% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.97 3.60 3.55 +48.2%
1xBet 1.92 3.58 3.66 +46.9%
888Sport 2.00 3.30 3.30 +49.0%
Bet365 1.90 3.50 3.60 +46.4%
Betano 2.00 3.55 3.45 +49.0%
Betfair 1.91 3.50 3.70 +46.6%
BetVictor 1.87 3.60 3.50 +45.5%
Dafabet 2.01 3.65 3.60 +49.2%
Marathonbet 1.90 3.58 3.65 +46.4%
Pinnacle 1.96 3.72 3.82 +48.0%
SBO 1.94 3.35 3.40 +47.5%
Unibet 1.90 3.60 3.65 +46.4%
William Hill 1.91 3.40 3.60 +46.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.03
2.5 O 1.69 U 2.10
3.5 O 2.69 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.60 10 bks
NO
2.20 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.13
Away -0.5 1.85
Away -0.75 1.62
Away -1 1.42
Away -1.25 1.34
Away -1.5 1.28
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.