GOALSENSE
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Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 38 · SUN, 24 MAY · 15:00 LOCAL
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NOTTINGHAM FOREST
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME
BOURNEMOUTH
⚽ 34' Morgan Gibbs-White
GOALS
⚽ 54' Marcus Tavernier
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 72/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
NOT
1 – 1
BOU
most likely scoreline · 13.8% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 48%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
NOT WIN 28%
DRAW 48%
BOU WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 12

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 52% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 52% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

1-1 at 90' with no shots on target recently — extra time most likely, draw probable if no sudden breakthrough.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHALLENGED
28%
Match at full-time (90') with 1-1 scoreline — momentum stalled; extra time incoming
+25.0%
Nottingham Forest form collapsing (LDLWW, 16th place, -3 GD) vs Bournemouth's comfort (6th, +4 GD)
+20.0%
WHY BOURNEMOUTH CHALLENGED
24%
Bournemouth triple substitution at 73' signals defensive set-up; low recent chance creation
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Match at full-time (90') with 1-1 scoreline — momentum stalled; extra time incoming
  • Nottingham Forest form collapsing (LDLWW, 16th place, -3 GD) vs Bournemouth's comfort (6th, +4 GD)
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 34' MORGAN GIB ⚽ 54' MARCUS TAV
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.3
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
1
13.8
13.5
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.0
6.9
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.4
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 13.8%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.3%
2 — 0 7.0%
Top 5 = 61.2% · rest 38.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.74
48.0%
2.08
+79.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.79
76.0%
1.32
+36.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.52
64.0%
1.56
-2.8%
—
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.46
28.0%
3.57
-3.1%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
72.0%
1.39
-6.4%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.25
52.0%
1.92
-35.0%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.01
24.0%
4.17
-51.7%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.59
18.0%
5.56
-71.3%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.