GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · ASTON VILLA 80% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 38 · SUN, 24 MAY · 15:00 LOCAL
MANCHESTER CITY
2ND · 78 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W D W
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
ASTON VILLA
W W D W L
· 4TH · 65 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 23' Antoine Semenyo
GOALS
⚽ 47' Ollie Watkins ⚽ 61' Ollie Watkins
Ollie Watkins
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ollie Watkins
Aston Villa · 101 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 14% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 6 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Premier League: Manchester City vs Aston Villa
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HIGHLIGHTS | Man City 1-2 Aston Villa | City lose…
Premier League: Manchester City vs Aston Villa
Premier League: Manchester City vs Aston Villa
Premier League: Manchester City vs Aston Villa
Premier League: Manchester City vs Aston Villa
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

95%
BALL POSSESSION %
53%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
12
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
405%
PASS ACCURACY %
394%
9
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 23'
    Goal · 1-0
    Antoine Semenyo
    MAN
  2. 46'
    Subst
    Matty Cash · assist Andrés García
    AST
  3. 47'
    Goal · 1-1
    Ollie Watkins
    AST
  4. 58'
    Subst
    Rayan Cherki · assist Antoine Semenyo
    MAN
  5. 59'
    Subst
    Mateo Kovacic  · assist Bernardo Silva  
    MAN
  6. 61'
    Goal · 1-2
    Ollie Watkins
    AST
  7. 63'
    Var
    Phil Foden
    AST
  8. 73'
    Subst
    Youri Tielemans · assist Douglas Luiz
    AST
  9. 73'
    Subst
    Amadou Onana · assist Lamare Bogarde
    AST
  10. 73'
    Subst
    Pau Torres · assist Victor Lindelöf
    AST
  11. 77'
    Subst
    Rayan Aït-Nouri · assist Nathan Aké
    MAN
  12. 77'
    Subst
    Jérémy Doku · assist Tijjani Reijnders
    MAN
  13. 78'
    Subst
    Josko Gvardiol 
    MAN
  14. 82'
    Card · Foul
    Rico Lewis
    MAN
  15. 86'
    Subst
    John McGinn
    AST
  16. 90'+2
    Var
    Phil Foden
    MAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MANCHESTER CITY AVG 7.1
ASTON VILLA AVG 7.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
3.0
ON TARGET
5.0
13.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
6.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
95.0%
POSSESSION %
53.0%
458.0
PASSES
436.0
405.0%
PASS ACCURACY
394.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
4.0
10.0
OFFSIDES
28.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
4.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MANCHESTER CITY 2 shots
Antoine Semenyo
1/1
Bernardo Silva
1/1
ASTON VILLA 6 shots
Ollie Watkins
2/3
Emiliano Buendía
1/2
Youri Tielemans
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-2-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-2-2
4-2-3-1
1
JAMES TRA
6
NATHAN AK
3
RúBEN DIA
5
JOHN STON
82
RICO LEWI
 6.9
20
BERNARDO
 7.5
14
NICO GONZ
26
SAVINHO
 7.5
42
ANTOINE S
4
TIJJANI R
47
PHIL FODE
40
MARCO BIZ
22
IAN MAATS
 6.9
5
TYRONE MI
3
VICTOR LI
16
ANDRéS GA
 7.5
21
DOUGLAS L
26
LAMARE BO
 7.6
10
EMILIANO
6
ROSS BARK
31
LEON BAIL
 9.3
11
OLLIE WAT
SUBSTITUTES · MANCHESTER CITY
11
Jérémy Doku
F
21
R. Aït-Nouri
D
24
J. Gvardiol
D
27
Matheus Nune...
M
68
Max Alleyne
D
13
M. Bettinell...
G
8
Mateo Kovači...
M
10
Rayan Cherki
M
7
Omar Marmous...
F
COACH: Pep Guardiola
SUBSTITUTES · ASTON VILLA
83
Bradley Burr...
M
7
John McGinn
M
12
Lucas Digne
D
64
James Wright
G
24
Amadou Onana
M
8
Youri Tielem...
M
14
Pau Torres
D
2
Matty Cash
D
53
George Hemmi...
M
COACH: Unai Emery
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Andy Madley, England
—
MAN MANAGER
Pep Guardiola
head coach
AST MANAGER
Unai Emery
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
MAN WINS
1
DRAWS
3
AST WINS
60%
10%
30%
18 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
26 Oct 2025
Aston Villa
1 – 0
Manchester City
L
22 Apr 2025
Manchester City
2 – 1
Aston Villa
W
21 Dec 2024
Aston Villa
2 – 1
Manchester City
L
03 Apr 2024
Manchester City
4 – 1
Aston Villa
W
06 Dec 2023
Aston Villa
1 – 0
Manchester City
L
MANCHESTER CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W D W
ASTON VILLA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
MANCHESTER CITY #2
Lost · already at 78 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
ASTON VILLA #4
Won · already at 65 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 +44 85
W W W W W
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 +42 78
L D W W D
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 +19 71
W W D W W
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 +7 65
W W D L L
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 +10 60
D L D L W
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
D D W W D
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 -6 54
W W D D L
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 +6 53
L L W L W
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 +3 53
D D L W L
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 +6 52
L W D L L
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 -4 52
W D L L W
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 -2 49
L W D W L
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 -3 49
L L D D L
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 -7 47
L W D W D
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 -10 45
L D L D L
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 -3 44
D L D W W
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 -9 41
W L D W W
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 -19 39
W L L L W
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 -37 22
D L D L L
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 -41 20
D D L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Var · Phil Foden
    Goal disallowed
  • 86'
    Subst · John McGinn
    10th Substitution
  • 82'
    Card · Foul · Rico Lewis
    1st Yellowcard
  • 78'
    Subst · Josko Gvardiol 
    9th Substitution
  • 77'
    Subst · Jérémy Doku
    7th Substitution
  • 77'
    Subst · Rayan Aït-Nouri
    8th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Pau Torres
    6th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Amadou Onana
    4th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Youri Tielemans
    5th Substitution
  • 63'
    Var · Phil Foden
    Goal awarded
  • 61'
    Goal · 1-2 · Ollie Watkins
    3rd Goal
  • 59'
    Subst · Mateo Kovacic 
    3rd Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Rayan Cherki
    2nd Substitution
  • 47'
    Goal · 1-1 · Ollie Watkins
    2nd Goal
  • 46'
    Subst · Matty Cash
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 23'
    Goal · 1-0 · Antoine Semenyo
    1st Goal
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
MANCHESTER CITY WIN
1.32
75.8% implied
↑ best 1.39
DRAW
5.78
17.3% implied
↑ best 6.40
ASTON VILLA WIN
8.50
11.8% implied
↑ best 9.50

Market favors Manchester City. AI projects ASTON VILLA 80% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ASTON VILLA 80% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.31 5.50 8.00 +67.5%
1xBet 1.38 5.84 8.30 +68.0%
888Sport 1.29 5.50 8.50 +68.2%
Bet365 1.33 5.25 9.00 +68.9%
Betano 1.35 5.70 9.00 +68.9%
Betfair 1.29 6.00 9.50 +69.5%
BetVictor 1.30 6.00 8.50 +68.2%
Dafabet 1.32 6.40 8.20 +67.8%
Marathonbet 1.39 5.55 7.60 +66.8%
Pinnacle 1.33 5.76 9.04 +68.9%
SBO 1.22 5.90 7.62 +66.9%
Superbet 1.29 6.30 8.70 +68.5%
Unibet 1.33 5.75 8.50 +68.2%
William Hill 1.29 5.50 8.50 +68.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 6.99
2.5 O 1.35 U 3.11
3.5 O 1.89 U 1.92
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.60 11 bks
NO
2.25 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 4.09
Away -0.5 3.38
Away -0.75 3.02
Away -1 2.70
Away -1.25 2.25
Away -1.5 2.02
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.