GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–1 · NEWCASTLE 97% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 16:30 LOCAL
NEWCASTLE
11TH · 49 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L L L
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
WEST HAM
L L W D W
· 18TH · 36 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 15' Nick Woltemade ⚽ 19' William Osula ⚽ 65' William Osula
GOALS
⚽ 69' Taty Castellanos
William Osula
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
William Osula
Newcastle · 85 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 6% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 5 CLIPS

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Premier League: Newcastle United vs West Ham
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Premier League: Newcastle United vs West Ham
Premier League: Newcastle United vs West Ham
Premier League: Newcastle United vs West Ham
Premier League: Newcastle United vs West Ham
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

94%
BALL POSSESSION %
101%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
15
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
408%
PASS ACCURACY %
332%
9
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 15'
    Goal · 1-0
    Nick Woltemade · assist Harvey Barnes
    NEW
  2. 19'
    Goal · 2-0
    William Osula · assist Jacob Ramsey
    NEW
  3. 26'
    Subst
    Taty Castellanos · assist Jean-Clair Todibo
    WES
  4. 53'
    Subst
    Joe Willock · assist Sandro Tonali
    NEW
  5. 59'
    Card · Argument
    Tomáš Souček
    WES
  6. 63'
    Subst
    Pablo  · assist Aaron Wan-Bissaka
    WES
  7. 63'
    Subst
    Mohamadou Kanté · assist Tomáš Souček
    WES
  8. 65'
    Goal · 3-0
    William Osula · assist Joe Willock
    NEW
  9. 67'
    Card · Foul
    El Hadji Malick Diouf
    WES
  10. 69'
    Goal · 3-1
    Taty Castellanos · assist Mads Hermansen
    WES
  11. 75'
    Subst
    Jacob Murphy · assist Harvey Barnes
    NEW
  12. 75'
    Subst
    Dan Burn · assist Nick Woltemade
    NEW
  13. 80'
    Card · Argument
    Mohamadou Kanté
    WES
  14. 83'
    Card · Foul
    Lewis Hall
    NEW
  15. 85'
    Subst
    Anthony Elanga · assist Kieran Trippier
    NEW
  16. 85'
    Subst
    Yoane Wissa · assist William Osula
    NEW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEWCASTLE AVG 8.1
WEST HAM AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
7.0
ON TARGET
8.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
6.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
94.0%
POSSESSION %
101.0%
497.0
PASSES
401.0
408.0%
PASS ACCURACY
332.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
1.0
24.0
OFFSIDES
19.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
11.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
7.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEWCASTLE 5 shots
William Osula
2/2
Bruno Guimarães
1/2
Nick Woltemade
1/1
WEST HAM 8 shots
Valentín Castellanos
4/6
Konstantinos Mavropanos
0/1
El Hadji Malick Diouf
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
8.2
1
NICK POPE
3
LEWIS HAL
 7.3
4
SVEN BOTM
12
MALICK TH
2
KIERAN TR
8
SANDRO TO
 8.2
39
BRUNO GUI
41
JACOB RAM
 7.7
27
NICK WOLT
11
HARVEY BA
 9.3
18
WILLIAM O
1
MADS HERM
25
JEAN-CLAI
 7.7
15
KONSTANTI
4
AXEL DISA
 6.7
12
EL HADJI
18
MATEUS FE
 6.9
28
TOMáš SOU
29
AARON WAN
 7.5
7
CRYSENCIO
20
JARROD BO
9
CALLUM WI
SUBSTITUTES · NEWCASTLE
23
Jacob Murphy
M
20
Anthony Elan...
F
10
Anthony Gord...
F
9
Yoane Wissa
F
28
Joe Willock
M
37
Alex Murphy
D
33
Dan Burn
D
32
Aaron Ramsda...
G
62
Sean Neave
F
COACH: Eddie Howe
SUBSTITUTES · WEST HAM
55
Mohamadou Ka...
M
27
Soungoutou M...
M
32
Freddie Pott...
M
30
Oliver Scarl...
D
3
Max Kilman
D
2
Kyle Walker-...
D
23
Alphonse Aré...
G
11
Valentín Cas...
F
19
Pablo Felipe
F
COACH: Nuno Espirito Santo
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

WES · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jarred Gillett, Australia
—
NEW MANAGER
Eddie Howe
head coach
WES MANAGER
Nuno Espirito Santo
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
NEW WINS
3
DRAWS
3
WES WINS
40%
30%
30%
20 – 19
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
02 Nov 2025
West Ham
3 – 1
Newcastle
L
10 Mar 2025
West Ham
0 – 1
Newcastle
W
25 Nov 2024
Newcastle
0 – 2
West Ham
L
30 Mar 2024
Newcastle
4 – 3
West Ham
W
08 Oct 2023
West Ham
2 – 2
Newcastle
D
NEWCASTLE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L L L
WEST HAM LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
NEWCASTLE #11
Won · already at 49 pts
WEST HAM #18
Lost · already at 36 pts
Relegation - Championship
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 36 24 7 5 +42 79
W W W L L
2 Manchester City 36 23 8 5 +43 77
W W D W W
3 Manchester United 37 19 11 7 +16 68
W D W W W
4 Aston Villa 37 18 8 11 +6 62
W D L L W
5 Liverpool 37 17 8 12 +10 59
L D L W W
6 Bournemouth 36 13 16 7 +4 55
W W D W W
7 Brighton 37 14 11 12 +9 53
L W L W D
8 Brentford 37 14 10 13 +3 52
D L W L D
9 Sunderland 37 13 12 12 -7 51
W D D L L
10 Chelsea 36 13 10 13 +6 49
D L L L L
11 Newcastle 37 14 7 16 0 49
W D W L L
12 Everton 37 13 10 14 -2 49
L D D L L
13 Fulham 37 14 7 16 -6 49
D L L W D
14 Leeds 37 11 14 12 -4 47
W D W D W
15 Crystal Palace 37 11 12 14 -9 45
D L D L L
16 Nottingham Forest 37 11 10 16 -3 43
L D W W W
17 Tottenham 36 9 11 16 -9 38
D W W D L
18 West Ham 37 9 9 19 -22 36
L L L W D
19 Burnley 36 4 9 23 -36 21
D L L L L
20 Wolves 37 3 10 24 -41 19
D L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Subst · Yoane Wissa
    8th Substitution
  • 85'
    Subst · Anthony Elanga
    7th Substitution
  • 83'
    Card · Foul · Lewis Hall
    4th Yellowcard
  • 80'
    Card · Argument · Mohamadou Kanté
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 75'
    Subst · Dan Burn
    5th Substitution
  • 75'
    Subst · Jacob Murphy
    6th Substitution
  • 69'
    Goal · 3-1 · Taty Castellanos
    4th Goal
  • 67'
    Card · Foul · El Hadji Malick Diouf
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 65'
    Goal · 3-0 · William Osula
    3rd Goal
  • 63'
    Subst · Mohamadou Kanté
    3rd Substitution
  • 63'
    Subst · Pablo 
    4th Substitution
  • 59'
    Card · Argument · Tomáš Souček
    1st Yellowcard
  • 53'
    Subst · Joe Willock
    2nd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 26'
    Subst · Taty Castellanos
    1st Substitution
  • 19'
    Goal · 2-0 · William Osula
    2nd Goal
  • 15'
    Goal · 1-0 · Nick Woltemade
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NEWCASTLE WIN
2.22
45% implied
↑ best 2.31
DRAW
3.76
26.6% implied
↑ best 3.90
WEST HAM WIN
2.99
33.4% implied
↑ best 3.13

Market favors Newcastle. AI projects NEWCASTLE 97% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NEWCASTLE 97% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.16 3.75 2.94 +50.7%
1xBet 2.31 3.81 3.13 +53.7%
888Sport 2.20 3.60 2.90 +51.5%
Bet365 2.20 3.80 3.00 +51.5%
Betano 2.22 3.80 2.95 +52.0%
Betfair 2.20 3.90 3.00 +51.5%
BetVictor 2.20 3.80 3.00 +51.5%
Dafabet 2.20 3.80 3.10 +51.5%
Marathonbet 2.27 3.75 3.08 +52.9%
Pinnacle 2.25 3.90 3.05 +52.6%
SBO 2.20 3.61 2.88 +51.5%
Unibet 2.23 3.70 3.00 +52.2%
William Hill 2.20 3.60 2.90 +51.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.14 U 5.23
2.5 O 1.51 U 2.49
3.5 O 2.29 U 1.63
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.44 10 bks
NO
2.64 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.90
Away -0.5 1.68
Away -0.75 1.50
Away -1 1.33
Away -1.25 1.26
Away -1.5 1.21
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.