GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · MANCHESTER UNITED 88% · Value: Over 2.5 72%
CONF 79 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 11:30 LOCAL
MANCHESTER UNITED
3RD · 68 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W W L
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
NOTTINGHAM FOREST
D L W W W
· 16TH · 43 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 5' Luke Shaw ⚽ 55' Matheus Cunha ⚽ 76' Bryan Mbeumo
GOALS
⚽ 53' Morato ⚽ 78' Morgan Gibbs-White
Elliot Anderson
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Elliot Anderson
Nottingham Forest · 94 mins
🅰 2 assists · 66% pass acc
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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Premier League: Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest
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Premier League: Manchester United vs Nottingham F…
Manchester United - Nottingham Forest 3:2 | PREMI…
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

77%
BALL POSSESSION %
74%
29
TOTAL SHOTS
11
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
376%
PASS ACCURACY %
375%
7
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 5'
    Goal · 1-0
    Luke Shaw
    MAN
  2. 53'
    Goal · 1-1
    Morato · assist Elliot Anderson
    NOT
  3. 55'
    Goal · 2-1
    Matheus Cunha
    MAN
  4. 57'
    Var
    Matheus Cunha
    MAN
  5. 70'
    Subst
    Taiwo Awoniyi  · assist Chris Wood 
    NOT
  6. 70'
    Subst
    Dilane Bakwa · assist Omari Hutchinson 
    NOT
  7. 70'
    Subst
    Ibrahim Sangaré · assist Nicolás Domínguez
    NOT
  8. 76'
    Goal · 3-1
    Bryan Mbeumo · assist Bruno Fernandes
    MAN
  9. 78'
    Goal · 3-2
    Morgan Gibbs-White · assist Elliot Anderson
    NOT
  10. 78'
    Card · Foul
    Casemiro
    MAN
  11. 80'
    Subst
    Patrick Dorgu · assist Matheus Cunha
    MAN
  12. 80'
    Subst
    Joshua Zirkzee · assist Bryan Mbeumo
    MAN
  13. 81'
    Subst
    Mason Mount · assist Casemiro
    MAN
  14. 84'
    Subst
    Jair Cunha  · assist Luca Netz
    NOT
  15. 84'
    Subst
    James McAtee · assist Igor Jesus
    NOT
  16. 90'+3
    Card · Foul
    Luke Shaw
    MAN
  17. 90'+4
    Card · Foul
    Elliot Anderson
    NOT
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MANCHESTER UNITED AVG 7.6
NOTTINGHAM FOREST AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
29.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
8.0
ON TARGET
4.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
12.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
77.0%
POSSESSION %
74.0%
427.0
PASSES
447.0
376.0%
PASS ACCURACY
375.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
6.0
15.0
OFFSIDES
20.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
5.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MANCHESTER UNITED 6 shots
Bruno Fernandes
1/3
Matheus Cunha
1/1
Casemiro
0/1
Luke Shaw
1/1
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 5 shots
Morgan Gibbs-White
3/3
Morato
1/1
N. Domínguez
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
31
SENNE LAM
 7.2
23
LUKE SHAW
 7.2
6
LISANDRO
5
HARRY MAG
2
DIOGO DAL
37
KOBBIE MA
 7.2
18
CASEMIRO
 8.3
10
MATHEUS C
 8.3
8
BRUNO FER
16
AMAD DIAL
19
BRYAN MBE
26
MATZ SELS
25
LUCA NETZ
 7.3
4
MORATO
31
NIKOLA MI
 6.9
3
NECO WILL
 7.9
10
MORGAN GI
 9.0
8
ELLIOT AN
 7.2
16
N. DOMíNG
21
OMARI HUT
11
CHRIS WOO
19
IGOR JESU
SUBSTITUTES · MANCHESTER UNITED
7
Mason Mount
M
25
Manuel Ugart...
M
13
Patrick Dorg...
D
15
Leny Yoro
D
3
Noussair Maz...
D
12
Tyrell Malac...
D
26
Ayden Heaven
D
1
Altay Bayınd...
G
11
Joshua Zirkz...
F
COACH: Michael Carrick
SUBSTITUTES · NOTTINGHAM FOREST
29
Dilane Bakwa
F
24
James McAtee
M
22
Ryan Yates
M
6
Ibrahim Sang...
M
44
Zach Abbott
D
23
Jair
D
27
Stefan Orteg...
G
13
John Victor
G
9
Taiwo Awoniy...
F
COACH: Vitor Pereira
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NOT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Michael Salisbury, England
—
MAN MANAGER
Michael Carrick
head coach
NOT MANAGER
Vitor Pereira
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
MAN WINS
1
DRAWS
3
NOT WINS
60%
10%
30%
19 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 Nov 2025
Nottingham Forest
2 – 2
Manchester United
D
01 Apr 2025
Nottingham Forest
1 – 0
Manchester United
L
07 Dec 2024
Manchester United
2 – 3
Nottingham Forest
L
30 Dec 2023
Nottingham Forest
2 – 1
Manchester United
L
26 Aug 2023
Manchester United
3 – 2
Nottingham Forest
W
MANCHESTER UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W L
NOTTINGHAM FOREST LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
MANCHESTER UNITED #3
Won · already at 68 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
NOTTINGHAM FOREST #16
Lost · already at 43 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 36 24 7 5 +42 79
W W W L L
2 Manchester City 36 23 8 5 +43 77
W W D W W
3 Manchester United 37 19 11 7 +16 68
W D W W W
4 Aston Villa 37 18 8 11 +6 62
W D L L W
5 Liverpool 37 17 8 12 +10 59
L D L W W
6 Bournemouth 36 13 16 7 +4 55
W W D W W
7 Brighton 37 14 11 12 +9 53
L W L W D
8 Brentford 37 14 10 13 +3 52
D L W L D
9 Sunderland 37 13 12 12 -7 51
W D D L L
10 Chelsea 36 13 10 13 +6 49
D L L L L
11 Newcastle 37 14 7 16 0 49
W D W L L
12 Everton 37 13 10 14 -2 49
L D D L L
13 Fulham 37 14 7 16 -6 49
D L L W D
14 Leeds 37 11 14 12 -4 47
W D W D W
15 Crystal Palace 37 11 12 14 -9 45
D L D L L
16 Nottingham Forest 37 11 10 16 -3 43
L D W W W
17 Tottenham 36 9 11 16 -9 38
D W W D L
18 West Ham 37 9 9 19 -22 36
L L L W D
19 Burnley 36 4 9 23 -36 21
D L L L L
20 Wolves 37 3 10 24 -41 19
D L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Foul · Elliot Anderson
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 90'+3
    Card · Foul · Luke Shaw
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 84'
    Subst · James McAtee
    8th Substitution
  • 84'
    Subst · Jair Cunha 
    7th Substitution
  • 81'
    Subst · Mason Mount
    6th Substitution
  • 80'
    Subst · Joshua Zirkzee
    5th Substitution
  • 80'
    Subst · Patrick Dorgu
    4th Substitution
  • 78'
    Card · Foul · Casemiro
    1st Yellowcard
  • 78'
    Goal · 3-2 · Morgan Gibbs-White
    5th Goal
  • 76'
    Goal · 3-1 · Bryan Mbeumo
    4th Goal
  • 70'
    Subst · Ibrahim Sangaré
    3rd Substitution
  • 70'
    Subst · Dilane Bakwa
    2nd Substitution
  • 70'
    Subst · Taiwo Awoniyi 
    1st Substitution
  • 57'
    Var · Matheus Cunha
    Goal confirmed
  • 55'
    Goal · 2-1 · Matheus Cunha
    3rd Goal
  • 53'
    Goal · 1-1 · Morato
    2nd Goal
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 5'
    Goal · 1-0 · Luke Shaw
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
MANCHESTER UNITE WIN
1.62
61.7% implied
↑ best 1.67
DRAW
4.28
23.4% implied
↑ best 4.50
NOTTINGHAM FORES WIN
5.00
20% implied
↑ best 5.31

Market favors Manchester United. AI projects MANCHESTER UNITED 88% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MANCHESTER UNITED 88% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.59 4.20 4.90 +25.1%
1xBet 1.67 4.46 5.23 +28.1%
888Sport 1.62 4.00 4.80 +26.3%
Bet365 1.60 4.33 5.00 +25.5%
Betano 1.65 4.50 5.20 +27.4%
Betfair 1.62 4.33 5.00 +26.3%
BetVictor 1.60 4.33 5.00 +25.5%
Dafabet 1.63 4.40 5.00 +26.7%
Marathonbet 1.64 4.40 5.15 +27.0%
Pinnacle 1.63 4.30 5.31 +26.7%
SBO 1.60 3.97 4.55 +25.5%
Unibet 1.60 4.40 5.10 +25.5%
William Hill 1.62 4.00 4.80 +26.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.14
2.5 O 1.52 U 2.48
3.5 O 2.31 U 1.62
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.56 10 bks
NO
2.31 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.81
Away -0.5 2.35
Away -0.75 2.09
Away -1 1.83
Away -1.25 1.63
Away -1.5 1.51
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.