GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · SUNDERLAND 93% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 14:00 LOCAL
EVERTON
12TH · 49 PTS · LAST 5:
D D L L D
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
SUNDERLAND
D D L L W
· 9TH · 51 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 43' Merlin Röhl
GOALS
⚽ 59' Brian Brobbey ⚽ 81' Enzo Le Fée ⚽ 90+1' Wilson Isidor
Enzo Le Fée
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Enzo Le Fée
Sunderland · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 23% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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Premier League: Everton vs Sunderland
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Premier League: Everton vs Sunderland
Everton - Sunderland 1:2 | PREMIER LEAGUE (37. ko…
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.07
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.73
49%
BALL POSSESSION %
51%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
7
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
85%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 23'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Omar Alderete · assist Luke O'Nien
    SUN
  2. 25'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tim Iroegbunam
    EVE
  3. 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Merlin Röhl · assist Michael Keane
    EVE
  4. 47'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jake O'Brien
    EVE
  5. 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Brian Brobbey · assist Enzo Le Fée
    SUN
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Trai Hume · assist Chemsdine Talbi
    SUN
  7. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tim Iroegbunam · assist Tyrique George
    EVE
  8. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Beto · assist Thierno Barry
    EVE
  9. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nilson Angulo · assist Chris Rigg
    SUN
  10. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Brian Brobbey · assist Wilson Isidor
    SUN
  11. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Noah Sadiki · assist Habib Diarra
    SUN
  12. 81'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Enzo Le Fée · assist Chris Rigg
    SUN
  13. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Merlin Röhl · assist Dwight McNeil
    EVE
  14. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jake O'Brien · assist Séamus Coleman
    EVE
  15. 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Wilson Isidor · assist Habib Diarra
    SUN
  16. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    James Garner
    EVE
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
EVERTON AVG 7.2
SUNDERLAND AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.1
xG
0.7
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
4.0
ON TARGET
3.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
49.0%
POSSESSION %
51.0%
406.0
PASSES
430.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
85.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
9.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
0.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
EVERTON 4 shots
Merlin Röhl
1/2
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
0/1
James Garner
1/1
SUNDERLAND 5 shots
Enzo Le Fée
1/2
Wilson Isidor
1/1
Brian Brobbey
1/1
Luke O'Nien
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.07 – 0.73
0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.0 HT 43' 59' 81' 90' H 1.07 A 0.73 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
JORDAN PI
16
VITALIY M
5
MICHAEL K
6
JAMES TAR
15
JAKE O'BR
42
TIM IROEG
 7.3
37
JAMES GAR
10
ILIMAN ND
 7.7
22
KIERNAN D
 7.2
34
MERLIN Rö
9
BETO
22
ROBIN ROE
 7.0
17
REINILDO
15
OMAR ALDE
20
NORDI MUK
6
LUTSHAREL
27
NOAH SADI
34
GRANIT XH
10
NILSON AN
 8.2
28
ENZO LE F
32
TRAI HUME
 7.2
9
BRIAN BRO
SUBSTITUTES · EVERTON
24
Carlos Alcar...
M
20
Tyler Diblin...
M
2
Nathan Patte...
D
12
Mark Travers
G
7
Dwight McNei...
F
23
Séamus Colem...
D
19
Tyrique Geor...
F
11
Thierno Barr...
F
45
Harrison Arm...
M
COACH: Leighton Baines
SUBSTITUTES · SUNDERLAND
37
Jocelin Ta B...
F
3
Dennis Cirki...
D
31
Melker Ellbo...
G
18
Wilson Isido...
F
11
Chris Rigg
M
19
Habib Diarra
M
7
Chemsdine Ta...
F
13
Luke O'Nien
M
12
Eliezer Maye...
F
COACH: Regis Le Bris
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
EVE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SUN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
John Brooks, England
—
EVE MANAGER
Leighton Baines
head coach
SUN MANAGER
Regis Le Bris
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
EVE WINS
3
DRAWS
3
SUN WINS
40%
30%
30%
18 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
03 Nov 2025
Sunderland
1 – 1
Everton
D
25 Feb 2017
Everton
2 – 0
Sunderland
W
12 Sep 2016
Sunderland
0 – 3
Everton
W
11 May 2016
Sunderland
3 – 0
Everton
L
01 Nov 2015
Everton
6 – 2
Sunderland
W
EVERTON LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L L D
SUNDERLAND LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
EVERTON #12
Lost · already at 49 pts
SUNDERLAND #9
Won · already at 51 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 36 24 7 5 +42 79
W W W L L
2 Manchester City 36 23 8 5 +43 77
W W D W W
3 Manchester United 37 19 11 7 +16 68
W D W W W
4 Aston Villa 37 18 8 11 +6 62
W D L L W
5 Liverpool 37 17 8 12 +10 59
L D L W W
6 Bournemouth 36 13 16 7 +4 55
W W D W W
7 Brighton 37 14 11 12 +9 53
L W L W D
8 Brentford 37 14 10 13 +3 52
D L W L D
9 Sunderland 37 13 12 12 -7 51
W D D L L
10 Chelsea 36 13 10 13 +6 49
D L L L L
11 Newcastle 37 14 7 16 0 49
W D W L L
12 Everton 37 13 10 14 -2 49
L D D L L
13 Fulham 37 14 7 16 -6 49
D L L W D
14 Leeds 37 11 14 12 -4 47
W D W D W
15 Crystal Palace 37 11 12 14 -9 45
D L D L L
16 Nottingham Forest 37 11 10 16 -3 43
L D W W W
17 Tottenham 36 9 11 16 -9 38
D W W D L
18 West Ham 37 9 9 19 -22 36
L L L W D
19 Burnley 36 4 9 23 -36 21
D L L L L
20 Wolves 37 3 10 24 -41 19
D L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · James Garner
    Tripping
  • 90'+1
    Goal · Normal Goal · Wilson Isidor
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jake O'Brien
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Merlin Röhl
  • 81'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Enzo Le Fée
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Noah Sadiki
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Brian Brobbey
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nilson Angulo
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Beto
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tim Iroegbunam
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Trai Hume
  • 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Brian Brobbey
  • 47'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jake O'Brien
    Holding
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Merlin Röhl
  • 25'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tim Iroegbunam
    Tripping
  • 23'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Omar Alderete
33 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 33 BOOKMAKERS
EVERTON WIN
1.84
54.3% implied
↑ best 1.90
DRAW
3.65
27.4% implied
↑ best 3.88
SUNDERLAND WIN
4.19
23.9% implied
↑ best 4.51

Market favors Everton. AI projects SUNDERLAND 93% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SUNDERLAND 93% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.85 3.50 4.10 +68.6%
10Bet 1.81 3.60 4.10 +68.6%
1xbet 1.87 3.74 4.36 +70.1%
1xBet 1.89 3.88 4.37 +70.1%
888Sport 1.85 3.40 4.00 +68.0%
888Sport 1.85 3.50 3.90 +67.4%
Bet365 1.80 3.40 3.80 +66.7%
Betano 1.87 3.80 4.45 +70.5%
Betfair 1.80 3.60 4.33 +69.9%
Betfair 1.85 3.75 4.20 +69.2%
BetVictor 1.80 3.70 4.33 +69.9%
BetVictor 1.80 3.80 4.20 +69.2%
bwin 1.85 3.60 4.10 +68.6%
Cashpoint 1.85 3.80 4.14 +68.8%
CloudBet 1.87 3.65 4.45 +70.5%
Coral 1.85 3.60 4.00 +68.0%
Dafabet 1.85 3.75 4.30 +69.7%
Dafabet 1.85 3.75 4.30 +69.7%
Interwetten 1.85 3.60 4.20 +69.2%
Ladbrokes 1.85 3.60 4.00 +68.0%
Macauslot 1.82 3.40 3.75 +66.3%
MansionBet 1.83 3.80 4.20 +69.2%
Marathonbet 1.86 3.70 4.50 +70.8%
Marathonbet 1.86 3.82 4.30 +69.7%
MelBet 1.83 3.66 4.26 +69.5%
Pinnacle 1.88 3.70 4.51 +70.8%
Pinnacle 1.85 3.82 4.37 +70.1%
Sbo 1.81 3.62 4.06 +68.4%
SBO 1.81 3.62 4.06 +68.4%
Unibet 1.90 3.55 4.10 +68.6%
Unibet 1.83 3.60 4.40 +70.3%
William Hill 1.85 3.60 4.00 +68.0%
WilliamHill 1.83 3.50 4.20 +69.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.24 U 3.83
2.5 O 1.80 U 2.03
3.5 O 2.94 U 1.38
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.72 18 bks
NO
2.05 18 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.35
Away -0.5 2.00
Away -0.75 1.76
Away -1 1.53
Away -1.25 1.42
Away -1.5 1.33
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.