GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · ARSENAL 92%
CONF 85 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · MON, 18 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
ARSENAL
1ST · 82 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W D W
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
BURNLEY
D L L L L
· 19TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 37' Kai Havertz
GOALS
Declan Rice
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Declan Rice
Arsenal · 95 mins
· 72% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

102%
BALL POSSESSION %
61%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
5
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
0
440%
PASS ACCURACY %
254%
3
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 28'
    Card · Time wasting
    Hannibal
    BUR
  2. 37'
    Goal · 1-0
    Kai Havertz · assist Bukayo Saka
    ARS
  3. 67'
    Card · Foul
    Kai Havertz
    ARS
  4. 70'
    Subst
    Zeki Amdouni · assist Hannibal
    BUR
  5. 71'
    Subst
    Josh Laurent · assist Lesley Ugochukwu
    BUR
  6. 72'
    Subst
    Piero Hincapié · assist Riccardo Calafiori
    ARS
  7. 73'
    Subst
    Viktor Gyökeres · assist Kai Havertz
    ARS
  8. 73'
    Subst
    Myles Lewis-Skelly · assist Eberechi Eze
    ARS
  9. 78'
    Subst
    James Ward-Prowse · assist Florentino
    BUR
  10. 82'
    Subst
    Jacob Bruun Larsen · assist Loum Tchaouna
    BUR
  11. 82'
    Subst
    Bashir Humphreys · assist Maxime Estève
    BUR
  12. 90'+1
    Card · Foul
    Zian Flemming
    BUR
  13. 90'+3
    Subst
    Gabriel Martinelli · assist Leandro Trossard
    ARS
  14. 90'+3
    Subst
    Martín Zubimendi
    ARS
  15. 90'+4
    Card · Foul
    Lucas Pires
    BUR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ARSENAL AVG 7.4
BURNLEY AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS ARS vs A
ATTACK
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
3.0
ON TARGET
0.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
102.0%
POSSESSION %
61.0%
510.0
PASSES
325.0
440.0%
PASS ACCURACY
254.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
3.0
16.0
OFFSIDES
21.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
16.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
0.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ARSENAL 7 shots
Kai Havertz
1/2
Bukayo Saka
0/2
Leandro Trossard
0/2
Gabriel Magalhães
0/1
BURNLEY 1 shots
Florentino Luís
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
ARS 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
1
DAVID RAY
33
RICCARDO
 7.0
6
GABRIEL M
2
WILLIAM S
3
CRISTHIAN
10
EBERECHI
 8.2
41
DECLAN RI
8
MARTIN ØD
 7.2
19
LEANDRO T
 7.3
29
KAI HAVER
 7.3
7
BUKAYO SA
 7.2
13
MAX WEISS
 6.9
23
LUCAS PIR
 7.0
5
MAXIME ES
6
AXEL TUAN
2
KYLE WALK
 7.2
8
LESLEY UG
 6.9
16
FLORENTIN
11
JAIDON AN
28
HANNIBAL
17
LOUM TCHA
19
ZIAN FLEM
SUBSTITUTES · ARSENAL
9
Gabriel Jesu...
F
56
Max Dowman
M
36
Martín Zubim...
M
20
Noni Madueke
F
13
Kepa Arrizab...
G
14
Viktor Gyöke...
F
49
Myles Lewis-...
D
5
Piero Hincap...
D
11
Gabriel Mart...
F
COACH: Mikel Arteta
SUBSTITUTES · BURNLEY
7
Jacob Bruun...
F
12
Bashir Humph...
D
4
Joe Worrall
D
3
Quilindschy...
D
1
Martin Dúbra...
G
20
James Ward-P...
M
29
Josh Laurent
M
25
Zeki Amdouni
F
10
Marcus Edwar...
F
COACH: Mike Jackson
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ARS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BUR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Paul Tierney, England
—
ARS MANAGER
Mikel Arteta
head coach
BUR MANAGER
Mike Jackson
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
ARS WINS
3
DRAWS
1
BUR WINS
60%
30%
10%
17 – 5
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 Nov 2025
Burnley
0 – 2
Arsenal
W
17 Feb 2024
Burnley
0 – 5
Arsenal
W
11 Nov 2023
Arsenal
3 – 1
Burnley
W
23 Jan 2022
Arsenal
0 – 0
Burnley
D
18 Sep 2021
Burnley
0 – 1
Arsenal
W
ARSENAL LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D W
BURNLEY LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
ARSENAL #1
Won · already at 82 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
BURNLEY #19
Lost · already at 21 pts
Relegation - Championship
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 37 25 7 5 +43 82
W W W W L
2 Manchester City 37 23 9 5 +43 78
D W W D W
3 Manchester United 37 19 11 7 +16 68
W D W W W
4 Aston Villa 37 18 8 11 +6 62
W D L L W
5 Liverpool 37 17 8 12 +10 59
L D L W W
6 Bournemouth 37 13 17 7 +4 56
D W W D W
7 Brighton 37 14 11 12 +9 53
L W L W D
8 Chelsea 37 14 10 13 +7 52
W D L L L
9 Brentford 37 14 10 13 +3 52
D L W L D
10 Sunderland 37 13 12 12 -7 51
W D D L L
11 Newcastle 37 14 7 16 0 49
W D W L L
12 Everton 37 13 10 14 -2 49
L D D L L
13 Fulham 37 14 7 16 -6 49
D L L W D
14 Leeds 37 11 14 12 -4 47
W D W D W
15 Crystal Palace 37 11 12 14 -9 45
D L D L L
16 Nottingham Forest 37 11 10 16 -3 43
L D W W W
17 Tottenham 37 9 11 17 -10 38
L D W W D
18 West Ham 37 9 9 19 -22 36
L L L W D
19 Burnley 37 4 9 24 -37 21
L D L L L
20 Wolves 37 3 10 24 -41 19
D L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Foul · Lucas Pires
    4th Yellowcard
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Martín Zubimendi
    10th Substitution
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Gabriel Martinelli
    9th Substitution
  • 90'+1
    Card · Foul · Zian Flemming
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 82'
    Subst · Bashir Humphreys
    7th Substitution
  • 82'
    Subst · Jacob Bruun Larsen
    8th Substitution
  • 78'
    Subst · James Ward-Prowse
    6th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Myles Lewis-Skelly
    5th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Viktor Gyökeres
    4th Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Piero Hincapié
    3rd Substitution
  • 71'
    Subst · Josh Laurent
    2nd Substitution
  • 70'
    Subst · Zeki Amdouni
    1st Substitution
  • 67'
    Card · Foul · Kai Havertz
    2nd Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 37'
    Goal · 1-0 · Kai Havertz
    1st Goal
  • 28'
    Card · Time wasting · Hannibal
    1st Yellowcard
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ARSENAL WIN
1.10
90.9% implied
↑ best 1.13
DRAW
10.52
9.5% implied
↑ best 12.30
BURNLEY WIN
25.48
3.9% implied
↑ best 31.00

Market favors Arsenal. AI projects ARSENAL 92%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ARSENAL 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER ARS X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.10 9.10 21.00 +1.1%
1xBet 1.11 12.30 31.00 +1.9%
888Sport 1.08 10.00 26.00 -0.6%
Bet365 1.09 10.00 26.00 +0.3%
Betano 1.13 9.75 27.00 +3.5%
Betfair 1.10 11.00 26.00 +1.1%
BetVictor 1.08 10.50 26.00 -0.6%
Dafabet 1.11 10.00 26.00 +1.9%
Marathonbet 1.10 11.50 28.00 +1.1%
Pinnacle 1.10 11.51 20.21 +1.1%
SBO 1.08 10.60 23.08 -0.6%
Unibet 1.10 10.50 25.00 +1.1%
William Hill 1.08 10.00 26.00 -0.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.10 U 6.39
2.5 O 1.40 U 2.88
3.5 O 2.05 U 1.78
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.62 10 bks
NO
1.44 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 16.75
Away -0.5 6.63
Away -0.75 6.60
Away -1 5.61
Away -1.25 4.00
Away -1.5 3.12
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.