GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 45%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 36 · SUN, 10 MAY · 13:00 LOCAL
NOTTINGHAM FOREST
16TH · 43 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W W W
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
NEWCASTLE
W L L L L
· 13TH · 46 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 88' Elliot Anderson
GOALS
⚽ 74' Harvey Barnes
Elliot Anderson
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Elliot Anderson
Nottingham Forest · 95 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 57% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 7 CLIPS

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Premier League: Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United
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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

73%
BALL POSSESSION %
116%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
16
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
326%
PASS ACCURACY %
416%
2
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 46'
    Subst
    Ryan Yates  · assist Nicolás Domínguez
    NOT
  2. 49'
    Card · Foul
    Igor Jesus
    NOT
  3. 54'
    Card · Foul
    Ryan Yates 
    NOT
  4. 61'
    Subst
    Harvey Barnes · assist Jacob Murphy
    NEW
  5. 61'
    Subst
    Jacob Ramsey · assist Nick Woltemade
    NEW
  6. 64'
    Subst
    Omari Hutchinson  · assist Dilane Bakwa
    NOT
  7. 71'
    Subst
    Yoane Wissa · assist William Osula
    NEW
  8. 73'
    Subst
    Chris Wood  · assist Taiwo Awoniyi 
    NOT
  9. 74'
    Goal · 0-1
    Harvey Barnes · assist Jacob Ramsey
    NEW
  10. 83'
    Subst
    James McAtee · assist Luca Netz
    NOT
  11. 83'
    Subst
    Lorenzo Lucca · assist Igor Jesus
    NOT
  12. 88'
    Goal · 1-1
    Elliot Anderson · assist James McAtee
    NOT
  13. 90'+5
    Subst
    Kieran Trippier · assist Bruno Guimarães
    NEW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NOTTINGHAM FOREST AVG 7.1
NEWCASTLE AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
6.0
ON TARGET
6.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
6.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
73.0%
POSSESSION %
116.0%
404.0
PASSES
486.0
326.0%
PASS ACCURACY
416.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
1.0
17.0
OFFSIDES
17.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
11.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
5.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 3 shots
Elliot Anderson
1/3
NEWCASTLE 5 shots
Bruno Guimarães
3/4
Harvey Barnes
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 62%
38% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
26
MATZ SELS
 6.9
4
MORATO
23
JAIR
31
NIKOLA MI
 7.3
25
LUCA NETZ
 7.6
8
ELLIOT AN
16
NICOLáS D
3
NECO WILL
19
IGOR JESU
 6.9
29
DILANE BA
9
TAIWO AWO
1
NICK POPE
33
DAN BURN
 7.5
4
SVEN BOTM
 7.2
12
MALICK TH
 7.5
3
LEWIS HAL
 7.5
39
BRUNO GUI
8
SANDRO TO
7
JOELINTON
27
NICK WOLT
23
JACOB MUR
18
WILLIAM O
SUBSTITUTES · NOTTINGHAM FOREST
51
Archie White...
M
17
Eric da Silv...
F
27
Stefan Orteg...
G
20
Lorenzo Lucc...
F
24
James McAtee
M
11
Chris Wood
F
21
Omari Hutchi...
F
22
Ryan Yates
M
61
Jimmy Sincla...
M
COACH: Vitor Pereira
SUBSTITUTES · NEWCASTLE
10
Anthony Gord...
F
28
Joe Willock
M
37
Alex Murphy
D
2
Kieran Tripp...
D
32
Aaron Ramsda...
G
9
Yoane Wissa
F
11
Harvey Barne...
M
41
Jacob Ramsey
M
20
Anthony Elan...
F
COACH: Eddie Howe
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NOT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Paul Tierney, England
—
NOT MANAGER
Vitor Pereira
head coach
NEW MANAGER
Eddie Howe
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
NOT WINS
1
DRAWS
6
NEW WINS
30%
10%
60%
17 – 21
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
05 Oct 2025
Newcastle
2 – 0
Nottingham Forest
L
23 Feb 2025
Newcastle
4 – 3
Nottingham Forest
L
10 Nov 2024
Nottingham Forest
1 – 3
Newcastle
L
10 Feb 2024
Nottingham Forest
2 – 3
Newcastle
L
26 Dec 2023
Newcastle
1 – 3
Nottingham Forest
W
NOTTINGHAM FOREST LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W W
NEWCASTLE LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
NOTTINGHAM FOREST #16
Lost · already at 43 pts
NEWCASTLE #13
Lost · already at 46 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 36 24 7 5 +42 79
W W W L L
2 Manchester City 36 23 8 5 +43 77
W W D W W
3 Manchester United 36 18 11 7 +15 65
D W W W L
4 Liverpool 36 17 8 11 +12 59
D L W W W
5 Aston Villa 36 17 8 11 +4 59
D L L W D
6 Bournemouth 36 13 16 7 +4 55
W W D W W
7 Brighton 36 14 11 11 +10 53
W L W D W
8 Brentford 36 14 9 13 +3 51
L W L D D
9 Chelsea 36 13 10 13 +6 49
D L L L L
10 Everton 36 13 10 13 0 49
D D L L D
11 Fulham 36 14 6 16 -6 48
L L W D L
12 Sunderland 36 12 12 12 -9 48
D D L L W
13 Newcastle 36 13 7 16 -2 46
D W L L L
14 Leeds 36 10 14 12 -5 44
D W D W W
15 Crystal Palace 36 11 11 14 -9 44
L D L L D
16 Nottingham Forest 36 11 10 15 -2 43
D W W W D
17 Tottenham 36 9 11 16 -9 38
D W W D L
18 West Ham 36 9 9 18 -20 36
L L W D W
19 Burnley 36 4 9 23 -36 21
D L L L L
20 Wolves 36 3 9 24 -41 18
L D L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Kieran Trippier
    9th Substitution
  • 88'
    Goal · 1-1 · Elliot Anderson
    2nd Goal
  • 83'
    Subst · Lorenzo Lucca
    7th Substitution
  • 83'
    Subst · James McAtee
    8th Substitution
  • 74'
    Goal · 0-1 · Harvey Barnes
    1st Goal
  • 73'
    Subst · Chris Wood 
    6th Substitution
  • 71'
    Subst · Yoane Wissa
    5th Substitution
  • 64'
    Subst · Omari Hutchinson 
    4th Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst · Jacob Ramsey
    3rd Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst · Harvey Barnes
    2nd Substitution
  • 54'
    Card · Foul · Ryan Yates 
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 49'
    Card · Foul · Igor Jesus
    1st Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst · Ryan Yates 
    1st Substitution
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NOTTINGHAM FORES WIN
2.95
33.9% implied
↑ best 3.13
DRAW
3.51
28.5% implied
↑ best 3.64
NEWCASTLE WIN
2.33
42.9% implied
↑ best 2.55

Market favors Newcastle. AI projects DRAW 45%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.55 3.50 2.55 +16.4%
1xBet 3.13 3.60 2.39 +17.2%
888Sport 2.90 3.30 2.30 +14.7%
Bet365 3.00 3.60 2.25 +17.2%
Betano 2.90 3.50 2.37 +16.4%
Betfair 3.00 3.50 2.30 +16.4%
BetVictor 3.00 3.60 2.25 +17.2%
Dafabet 2.95 3.55 2.36 +16.8%
Marathonbet 3.08 3.55 2.35 +16.8%
Pinnacle 3.10 3.64 2.32 +17.5%
SBO 2.91 3.38 2.28 +15.4%
Unibet 2.95 3.50 2.33 +16.4%
William Hill 2.90 3.40 2.30 +15.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.09
2.5 O 1.72 U 2.13
3.5 O 2.75 U 1.43
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.57 10 bks
NO
2.29 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.52
Away -0.5 1.42
Away -0.75 1.27
Away -1 1.15
Away -1.25 1.14
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.