GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · LIVERPOOL 54% · Value: Over 2.5 64%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 36 · SAT, 09 MAY · 11:30 LOCAL
LIVERPOOL
4TH · 59 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W L W
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
CHELSEA
L L L L L
· 9TH · 49 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 6' Ryan Gravenberch
GOALS
⚽ 35' Enzo Fernández
Ryan Gravenberch
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ryan Gravenberch
Liverpool · 96 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 35% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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Premier League: Liverpool vs Chelsea
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Premier League: Liverpool vs Chelsea
Premier League: Liverpool vs Chelsea
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

85%
BALL POSSESSION %
93%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
6
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
388%
PASS ACCURACY %
432%
5
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 6'
    Goal · 1-0
    Ryan Gravenberch · assist Rio Ngumoha
    LIV
  2. 35'
    Goal · 1-1
    Enzo Fernández
    CHE
  3. 50'
    Var
    Cole Palmer
    CHE
  4. 63'
    Subst
    Reece James  · assist Andrey Santos
    CHE
  5. 67'
    Subst
    Alexander Isak · assist Rio Ngumoha
    LIV
  6. 67'
    Card · Foul
    Jorrel Hato
    CHE
  7. 72'
    Card · Argument
    CHE
  8. 73'
    Card · Foul
    Enzo Fernández
    CHE
  9. 77'
    Subst
    Joe Gomez · assist Ibrahima Konaté
    LIV
  10. 77'
    Subst
    Federico Chiesa · assist Cody Gakpo
    LIV
  11. 83'
    Card · Foul
    Marc Cucurella
    CHE
  12. 88'
    Card · Time wasting
    Joe Gomez
    LIV
  13. 89'
    Card · Handball
    Moisés Caicedo
    CHE
  14. 90'+4
    Card · Persistent fouling
    Alexis Mac Allister
    LIV
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LIVERPOOL AVG 7.2
CHELSEA AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs CHE
ATTACK
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
3.0
ON TARGET
3.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
1.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
85.0%
POSSESSION %
93.0%
462.0
PASSES
501.0
388.0%
PASS ACCURACY
432.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
2.0
10.0
OFFSIDES
19.0
DISCIPLINE
17.0
FOULS
17.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
2.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LIVERPOOL 1 shots
Ryan Gravenberch
1/1
CHELSEA 4 shots
Enzo Fernández
2/2
João Pedro
0/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 43%
57% CHE
6
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
6.9
25
GIORGI MA
6
MILOš KER
4
VIRGIL VA
5
IBRAHIMA
 7.2
17
CURTIS JO
10
ALEXIS MA
 7.9
38
RYAN GRAV
 7.2
73
RIO NGUMO
8
D. SZOBOS
30
JEREMIE F
18
C. GAKPO
12
FILIP JøR
21
J. HATO
6
LEVI COLW
29
WESLEY FO
27
MALO GUST
 7.5
25
MOISéS CA
17
ANDREY SA
3
MARC CUCU
 7.2
8
ENZO FERN
 7.0
10
COLE PALM
 6.9
20
JOãO PEDR
SUBSTITUTES · LIVERPOOL
14
Federico Chi...
F
9
Alexander Is...
F
68
K. Morrison
M
42
Trey Nyoni
M
75
Mor Talla Nd...
D
26
A. Robertson
D
2
Joe Gomez
D
28
Freddie Wood...
G
79
Will Wright
F
COACH: Arne Slot
SUBSTITUTES · CHELSEA
9
L. Delap
F
72
Mathis Eboue
M
45
Roméo Lavia
M
23
Trevoh Chalo...
D
4
Tosin Adarab...
D
34
Josh Acheamp...
D
24
Reece James
D
44
Gabriel Słon...
G
76
Ryan Kavuma-...
F
COACH: Calum McFarlane
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LIV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CHE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Craig Pawson, England
—
LIV MANAGER
Arne Slot
head coach
CHE MANAGER
Calum McFarlane
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
LIV WINS
5
DRAWS
2
CHE WINS
30%
50%
20%
10 – 8
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
04 Oct 2025
Chelsea
2 – 1
Liverpool
L
04 May 2025
Chelsea
3 – 1
Liverpool
L
20 Oct 2024
Liverpool
2 – 1
Chelsea
W
31 Jan 2024
Liverpool
4 – 1
Chelsea
W
13 Aug 2023
Chelsea
1 – 1
Liverpool
D
LIVERPOOL LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W L W
CHELSEA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
LIVERPOOL #4
Lost · already at 59 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
CHELSEA #9
Lost · already at 49 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 36 24 7 5 +42 79
W W W L L
2 Manchester City 36 23 8 5 +43 77
W W D W W
3 Manchester United 36 18 11 7 +15 65
D W W W L
4 Liverpool 36 17 8 11 +12 59
D L W W W
5 Aston Villa 36 17 8 11 +4 59
D L L W D
6 Bournemouth 36 13 16 7 +4 55
W W D W W
7 Brighton 36 14 11 11 +10 53
W L W D W
8 Brentford 36 14 9 13 +3 51
L W L D D
9 Chelsea 36 13 10 13 +6 49
D L L L L
10 Everton 36 13 10 13 0 49
D D L L D
11 Fulham 36 14 6 16 -6 48
L L W D L
12 Sunderland 36 12 12 12 -9 48
D D L L W
13 Newcastle 36 13 7 16 -2 46
D W L L L
14 Leeds 36 10 14 12 -5 44
D W D W W
15 Crystal Palace 36 11 11 14 -9 44
L D L L D
16 Nottingham Forest 36 11 10 15 -2 43
D W W W D
17 Tottenham 36 9 11 16 -9 38
D W W D L
18 West Ham 36 9 9 18 -20 36
L L W D W
19 Burnley 36 4 9 23 -36 21
D L L L L
20 Wolves 36 3 9 24 -41 18
L D L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Persistent fouling · Alexis Mac Allister
    6th Yellowcard
  • 89'
    Card · Handball · Moisés Caicedo
    5th Yellowcard
  • 88'
    Card · Time wasting · Joe Gomez
    4th Yellowcard
  • 83'
    Card · Foul · Marc Cucurella
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 77'
    Subst · Federico Chiesa
    3rd Substitution
  • 77'
    Subst · Joe Gomez
    4th Substitution
  • 73'
    Card · Foul · Enzo Fernández
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 72'
    Card · Argument
    7th Yellowcard
  • 67'
    Card · Foul · Jorrel Hato
    1st Yellowcard
  • 67'
    Subst · Alexander Isak
    2nd Substitution
  • 63'
    Subst · Reece James 
    1st Substitution
  • 50'
    Var · Cole Palmer
    Goal disallowed
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 35'
    Goal · 1-1 · Enzo Fernández
    2nd Goal
  • 6'
    Goal · 1-0 · Ryan Gravenberch
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
LIVERPOOL WIN
1.94
51.5% implied
↑ best 2.00
DRAW
3.79
26.4% implied
↑ best 4.10
CHELSEA WIN
3.71
27% implied
↑ best 3.90

Market favors Liverpool. AI projects LIVERPOOL 54% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS LIVERPOOL 54% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X CHE EDGE
10Bet 1.89 3.80 3.60 +1.1%
1xBet 2.00 3.88 3.88 +4.0%
888Sport 1.95 3.60 3.50 +2.7%
Bet365 1.91 3.75 3.75 +1.6%
Betano 1.95 3.85 3.90 +2.7%
Betfair 1.95 3.90 3.80 +2.7%
BetVictor 1.91 3.75 3.75 +1.6%
Dafabet 1.88 4.10 3.80 +0.8%
Marathonbet 1.99 3.85 3.85 +3.7%
Pinnacle 1.97 3.78 3.87 +3.2%
SBO 1.93 3.61 3.29 +2.2%
Unibet 1.90 3.85 3.75 +1.4%
William Hill 1.95 3.60 3.50 +2.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 4.97
2.5 O 1.53 U 2.42
3.5 O 2.33 U 1.60
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.49 10 bks
NO
2.52 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.18
Away -0.5 1.90
Away -0.75 1.67
Away -1 1.48
Away -1.25 1.39
Away -1.5 1.31
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.