GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–2 · ASTON VILLA 54% · Value: Over 2.5 72%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 36 · SUN, 10 MAY · 13:00 LOCAL
BURNLEY
19TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L L L
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
ASTON VILLA
W L L L W
· 5TH · 59 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 8' Jaidon Anthony ⚽ 58' Zian Flemming
GOALS
⚽ 42' — ⚽ 56' Ollie Watkins
Youri Tielemans
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Youri Tielemans
Aston Villa · 97 mins
· 54% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 8 CLIPS

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Burnley 2-2 Aston Villa | Premier League Highlights
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Premier League: Burnley vs Aston Villa
Premier League: Burnley vs Aston Villa
Premier League: Burnley vs Aston Villa
Premier League: Burnley vs Aston Villa
Premier League: Burnley vs Aston Villa
Premier League: Burnley vs Aston Villa
Premier League: Burnley vs Aston Villa
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

68%
BALL POSSESSION %
92%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
18
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
186%
PASS ACCURACY %
439%
2
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · 1-0
    Jaidon Anthony
    BUR
  2. 40'
    Var
    Ollie Watkins
    AST
  3. 42'
    Goal · 1-1
    AST
  4. 49'
    Card · Foul
    AST
  5. 56'
    Goal · 1-2
    Ollie Watkins · assist Emiliano Martínez
    AST
  6. 58'
    Goal · 2-2
    Zian Flemming · assist Hannibal
    BUR
  7. 60'
    Card · Persistent fouling
    Zian Flemming
    BUR
  8. 69'
    Subst
    Lyle Foster · assist Hannibal
    BUR
  9. 74'
    Subst
    Emiliano Buendía · assist Victor Lindelöf
    AST
  10. 74'
    Subst
    Lucas Digne · assist Ian Maatsen
    AST
  11. 79'
    Subst
    Josh Laurent · assist Lesley Ugochukwu
    BUR
  12. 79'
    Subst
    Zeki Amdouni · assist Zian Flemming
    BUR
  13. 80'
    Subst
    Lamare Bogarde · assist Matty Cash
    AST
  14. 80'
    Subst
    Douglas Luiz
    AST
  15. 85'
    Subst
    Leon Bailey · assist John McGinn
    AST
  16. 87'
    Subst
    James Ward-Prowse · assist Florentino
    BUR
  17. 87'
    Subst
    Jacob Bruun Larsen · assist Jaidon Anthony
    BUR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BURNLEY AVG 7.1
ASTON VILLA AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
18.0
6.0
ON TARGET
7.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
5.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
68.0%
POSSESSION %
92.0%
255.0
PASSES
511.0
186.0%
PASS ACCURACY
439.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
8.0
21.0
OFFSIDES
13.0
DISCIPLINE
17.0
FOULS
8.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
5.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BURNLEY 5 shots
Zian Flemming
1/3
Lesley Ugochukwu
1/1
Loum Tchaouna
1/1
ASTON VILLA 4 shots
Youri Tielemans
1/2
Ollie Watkins
1/1
Emiliano Buendía
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
13
MAX WEISS
23
LUCAS PIR
5
MAXIME ES
6
AXEL TUAN
 7.2
2
KYLE WALK
 7.2
8
LESLEY UG
16
FLORENTIN
11
JAIDON AN
 7.2
28
HANNIBAL
 7.0
17
LOUM TCHA
 7.0
19
ZIAN FLEM
23
EMILIANO
22
IAN MAATS
5
TYRONE MI
 7.2
4
E. KONSA
2
MATTY CAS
 7.6
8
YOURI TIE
3
VICTOR LI
27
MORGAN RO
6
R. BARKLE
7
JOHN MCGI
 7.2
11
OLLIE WAT
SUBSTITUTES · BURNLEY
7
Jacob Bruun...
F
20
James Ward-P...
M
12
Bashir Humph...
D
3
Quilindschy...
D
1
Martin Dúbra...
G
25
Zeki Amdouni
F
29
Josh Laurent
M
9
Lyle Foster
F
27
Armando Broj...
F
COACH: Mike Jackson
SUBSTITUTES · ASTON VILLA
31
Leon Bailey
F
19
Jadon Sancho
F
14
Pau Torres
D
40
Marco Bizot
G
26
L. Bogarde
M
21
Douglas Luiz
M
10
Emiliano Bue...
M
12
L. Digne
D
18
Tammy Abraha...
F
COACH: Unai Emery
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BUR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Anthony Taylor, England
—
BUR MANAGER
Mike Jackson
head coach
AST MANAGER
Unai Emery
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
BUR WINS
3
DRAWS
5
AST WINS
20%
30%
50%
13 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
05 Oct 2025
Aston Villa
2 – 1
Burnley
L
30 Dec 2023
Aston Villa
3 – 2
Burnley
L
27 Aug 2023
Burnley
1 – 3
Aston Villa
L
19 May 2022
Aston Villa
1 – 1
Burnley
D
07 May 2022
Burnley
1 – 3
Aston Villa
L
BURNLEY LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
ASTON VILLA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
BURNLEY #19
Lost · already at 21 pts
Relegation - Championship
ASTON VILLA #5
Lost · already at 59 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 36 24 7 5 +42 79
W W W L L
2 Manchester City 36 23 8 5 +43 77
W W D W W
3 Manchester United 36 18 11 7 +15 65
D W W W L
4 Liverpool 36 17 8 11 +12 59
D L W W W
5 Aston Villa 36 17 8 11 +4 59
D L L W D
6 Bournemouth 36 13 16 7 +4 55
W W D W W
7 Brighton 36 14 11 11 +10 53
W L W D W
8 Brentford 36 14 9 13 +3 51
L W L D D
9 Chelsea 36 13 10 13 +6 49
D L L L L
10 Everton 36 13 10 13 0 49
D D L L D
11 Fulham 36 14 6 16 -6 48
L L W D L
12 Sunderland 36 12 12 12 -9 48
D D L L W
13 Newcastle 36 13 7 16 -2 46
D W L L L
14 Leeds 36 10 14 12 -5 44
D W D W W
15 Crystal Palace 36 11 11 14 -9 44
L D L L D
16 Nottingham Forest 36 11 10 15 -2 43
D W W W D
17 Tottenham 36 9 11 16 -9 38
D W W D L
18 West Ham 36 9 9 18 -20 36
L L W D W
19 Burnley 36 4 9 23 -36 21
D L L L L
20 Wolves 36 3 9 24 -41 18
L D L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 87'
    Subst · Jacob Bruun Larsen
    9th Substitution
  • 87'
    Subst · James Ward-Prowse
    10th Substitution
  • 85'
    Subst · Leon Bailey
    8th Substitution
  • 80'
    Subst · Douglas Luiz
    7th Substitution
  • 80'
    Subst · Lamare Bogarde
    6th Substitution
  • 79'
    Subst · Zeki Amdouni
    4th Substitution
  • 79'
    Subst · Josh Laurent
    5th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Lucas Digne
    3rd Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Emiliano Buendía
    2nd Substitution
  • 69'
    Subst · Lyle Foster
    1st Substitution
  • 60'
    Card · Persistent fouling · Zian Flemming
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 58'
    Goal · 2-2 · Zian Flemming
    4th Goal
  • 56'
    Goal · 1-2 · Ollie Watkins
    3rd Goal
  • 49'
    Card · Foul
    1st Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 42'
    Goal · 1-1
    2nd Goal
  • 40'
    Var · Ollie Watkins
    Goal disallowed
  • 8'
    Goal · 1-0 · Jaidon Anthony
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BURNLEY WIN
5.90
16.9% implied
↑ best 6.35
DRAW
4.33
23.1% implied
↑ best 4.62
ASTON VILLA WIN
1.54
64.9% implied
↑ best 1.64

Market favors Aston Villa. AI projects ASTON VILLA 54% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ASTON VILLA 54% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.75 4.00 1.64 +3.0%
1xBet 6.35 4.62 1.56 +6.4%
888Sport 5.50 4.00 1.53 +3.0%
Bet365 6.00 4.33 1.50 +4.9%
Betano 6.30 4.50 1.55 +5.8%
Betfair 6.00 4.40 1.53 +5.3%
BetVictor 6.00 4.40 1.50 +5.3%
Dafabet 6.00 4.30 1.56 +4.7%
Marathonbet 6.30 4.55 1.53 +6.0%
Pinnacle 6.04 4.59 1.53 +6.2%
SBO 5.90 4.24 1.49 +4.4%
Unibet 6.10 4.30 1.52 +4.7%
William Hill 5.50 4.00 1.55 +3.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 4.04
2.5 O 1.73 U 2.14
3.5 O 2.81 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.80 10 bks
NO
1.95 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.16
Away -0.5 1.13
Away -0.75 1.06
Away -1 1.01
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.