GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · SUNDERLAND 45%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 35 · SAT, 02 MAY · 14:00 LOCAL
WOLVES
20TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L D W
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
SUNDERLAND
L L W W L
· 12TH · 47 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 54' Santiago Bueno
GOALS
⚽ 17' Nordi Mukiele
Santiago Bueno
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Santiago Bueno
Wolves · 83 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 30% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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Premier League: Wolves vs Sunderland
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Premier League: Wolves vs Sunderland
Premier League: Wolves vs Sunderland
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.78
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.64
58%
BALL POSSESSION %
42%
20
TOTAL SHOTS
10
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
76%
6
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Nordi Mukiele · assist Granit Xhaka
    SUN
  2. 24'
    Card · Red Card
    Daniel Ballard
    SUN
  3. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brian Brobbey
    SUN
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Pedro Lima · assist Rodrigo Gomes
    WOL
  5. 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Santiago Bueno · assist Hugo Bueno
    WOL
  6. 56'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Granit Xhaka
    SUN
  7. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Noah Sadiki · assist Habib Diarra
    SUN
  8. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Reinildo Mandava · assist Dennis Cirkin
    SUN
  9. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Brian Brobbey · assist Wilson Isidor
    SUN
  10. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Hugo Bueno · assist Angel Gomes
    WOL
  11. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dennis Cirkin
    SUN
  12. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Robin Roefs
    SUN
  13. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tolu Arokodare · assist T. Edozie
    WOL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
WOLVES AVG 7.6
SUNDERLAND AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.8
xG
0.6
20.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
7.0
ON TARGET
2.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
5.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
58.0%
POSSESSION %
42.0%
432.0
PASSES
318.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
76.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
3.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
11.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
WOLVES 6 shots
Santiago Bueno
1/2
Mateus Mané
1/2
Toti Gomes
1/1
Hugo Bueno
0/1
SUNDERLAND 2 shots
Nordi Mukiele
1/1
Granit Xhaka
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.78 – 0.64
1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT 54' 17' H 1.78 A 0.64 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 31%
69% A
4
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
7.2
25
DANIEL BE
 7.5
24
TOTI GOME
 8.7
4
SANTIAGO
15
YERSON MO
 7.2
3
HUGO BUEN
8
JOãO GOME
7
ANDRé
17
PEDRO LIM
9
ADAM ARMS
 7.2
36
MATEUS MA
14
TOLU AROK
 7.6
22
ROBIN ROE
17
REINILDO
15
OMAR ALDE
5
DANIEL BA
 7.9
20
NORDI MUK
 7.0
27
NOAH SADI
 7.6
34
GRANIT XH
7
CHEMSDINE
28
ENZO LE F
 7.2
32
TRAI HUME
9
BRIAN BRO
SUBSTITUTES · WOLVES
74
Tom Edozie
F
38
Jackson Tcha...
D
27
Jean-Ricner...
M
6
David Möller...
D
2
Matt Doherty
D
70
Josh Gracey
G
47
Angel Gomes
M
21
Rodrigo Gome...
D
11
Hee-Chan Hwa...
F
COACH: Rob Edwards
SUBSTITUTES · SUNDERLAND
37
Jocelin Ta B...
F
11
Chris Rigg
M
6
Lutsharel Ge...
D
13
Luke O'Nien
M
31
Melker Ellbo...
G
18
Wilson Isido...
F
19
Habib Diarra
M
3
Dennis Cirki...
D
12
Eliezer Maye...
F
COACH: Regis Le Bris
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
WOL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SUN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Paul Tierney, England
—
WOL MANAGER
Rob Edwards
head coach
SUN MANAGER
Regis Le Bris
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
WOL WINS
2
DRAWS
2
SUN WINS
42.9%
28.6%
28.6%
8 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 7 MEETINGS
2.43
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 7
18 Oct 2025
Sunderland
2 – 0
Wolves
L
06 May 2018
Sunderland
3 – 0
Wolves
L
09 Dec 2017
Wolves
0 – 0
Sunderland
D
14 Apr 2012
Sunderland
0 – 0
Wolves
D
04 Dec 2011
Wolves
2 – 1
Sunderland
W
WOLVES LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D W
SUNDERLAND LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
WOLVES #20
Lost · already at 18 pts
Relegation - Championship
SUNDERLAND #12
Lost · already at 47 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 35 23 7 5 +41 76
W W L L W
2 Manchester City 33 21 7 5 +37 70
W W W D D
3 Manchester United 35 18 10 7 +15 64
W W W L D
4 Liverpool 35 17 7 11 +12 58
L W W W L
5 Aston Villa 34 17 7 10 +5 58
L W D W L
6 Bournemouth 35 12 16 7 +3 52
W D W W D
7 Brentford 35 14 9 12 +6 51
W L D D D
8 Brighton 35 13 11 11 +7 50
L W D W W
9 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 +8 48
L L L L L
10 Fulham 35 14 6 15 -5 48
L W D L W
11 Everton 34 13 8 13 0 47
L L D W L
12 Sunderland 35 12 11 12 -9 47
D L L W W
13 Newcastle 35 13 6 16 -2 45
W L L L L
14 Leeds 35 10 13 12 -5 43
W D W W D
15 Crystal Palace 34 11 10 13 -6 43
L L D W D
16 Nottingham Forest 34 10 9 15 -4 39
W W D W D
17 West Ham 35 9 9 17 -19 36
L W D W L
18 Tottenham 34 8 10 16 -10 34
W D L L D
19 Burnley 35 4 8 23 -36 20
L L L L L
20 Wolves 35 3 9 23 -38 18
D L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tolu Arokodare
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Robin Roefs
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dennis Cirkin
    Foul
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Hugo Bueno
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Brian Brobbey
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Reinildo Mandava
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Noah Sadiki
  • 56'
    Card · Yellow Card · Granit Xhaka
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Santiago Bueno
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Pedro Lima
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Brian Brobbey
    Foul
  • 24'
    Card · Red Card · Daniel Ballard
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Nordi Mukiele
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
WOLVES WIN
3.68
27.2% implied
↑ best 3.86
DRAW
3.49
28.7% implied
↑ best 3.68
SUNDERLAND WIN
2.02
49.5% implied
↑ best 2.23

Market favors Sunderland. AI projects SUNDERLAND 45%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SUNDERLAND 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.75 3.45 1.96 +1.3%
1xBet 3.86 3.68 2.06 +2.1%
888Sport 3.60 3.40 1.95 +0.2%
Bet365 3.60 3.60 2.00 +0.2%
Betano 3.75 3.50 2.00 +1.3%
Betfair 3.75 3.60 2.00 +1.3%
BetVictor 3.75 3.50 2.00 +1.3%
Dafabet 3.35 3.45 2.23 +0.2%
Marathonbet 3.80 3.62 2.03 +1.7%
Pinnacle 3.82 3.60 2.02 +1.8%
SBO 3.42 3.17 2.00 -1.2%
Unibet 3.80 3.40 2.02 +1.7%
William Hill 3.60 3.40 1.95 +0.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.31 U 3.33
2.5 O 1.98 U 1.83
3.5 O 3.43 U 1.29
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.80 10 bks
NO
1.95 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.35
Away -0.5 1.29
Away -0.75 1.20
Away -1 1.09
Away -1.25 1.07
Away -1.5 1.06
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.