GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–1 · NEWCASTLE 96% · Value: Over 2.5 95%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 35 · SAT, 02 MAY · 14:00 LOCAL
NEWCASTLE
13TH · 45 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L L L
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
BRIGHTON
W D W W W
· 8TH · 50 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 12' William Osula ⚽ 24' Dan Burn ⚽ 90+5' Harvey Barnes
GOALS
⚽ 61' Jack Hinshelwood
Sven Botman
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Sven Botman
Newcastle · 96 mins
· 21% pass acc
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

59%
BALL POSSESSION %
110%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
13
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
157%
PASS ACCURACY %
393%
2
CORNERS
10
KEY EVENTS 20 events
  1. 12'
    Goal · 1-0
    William Osula · assist Jacob Murphy
    NEW
  2. 18'
    Subst
    Joël Veltman · assist Mats Wieffer
    BRI
  3. 22'
    Card · Argument
    Joël Veltman
    BRI
  4. 24'
    Goal · 2-0
    Dan Burn · assist Bruno Guimarães
    NEW
  5. 39'
    Card · Foul
    Kaoru Mitoma
    BRI
  6. 53'
    Card · Foul
    Dan Burn
    NEW
  7. 61'
    Goal · 2-1
    Jack Hinshelwood
    BRI
  8. 68'
    Subst
    Harvey Barnes · assist Jacob Murphy
    NEW
  9. 68'
    Subst
    Lewis Hall · assist Joe Willock
    NEW
  10. 68'
    Subst
    Yoane Wissa · assist William Osula
    NEW
  11. 80'
    Subst
    Charalampos Kostoulas · assist Carlos Baleba
    BRI
  12. 80'
    Subst
    Georginio Rutter
    BRI
  13. 81'
    Subst
    Maxim De Cuyper · assist Joël Veltman
    BRI
  14. 85'
    Card · Time wasting
    Sandro Tonali
    NEW
  15. 86'
    Card · Argument
    BRI
  16. 87'
    Card · Foul
    Yoane Wissa
    NEW
  17. 88'
    Subst
    BRI
  18. 90'+1
    Subst
    Jacob Ramsey · assist Bruno Guimarães
    NEW
  19. 90'+2
    Card · Foul
    Jan Paul van Hecke
    BRI
  20. 90'+5
    Goal · 3-1
    Harvey Barnes · assist Yoane Wissa
    NEW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEWCASTLE AVG 7.5
BRIGHTON AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
6.0
ON TARGET
4.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
1.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
59.0%
POSSESSION %
110.0%
229.0
PASSES
472.0
157.0%
PASS ACCURACY
393.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
10.0
11.0
OFFSIDES
10.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
12.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEWCASTLE 5 shots
William Osula
2/4
Sven Botman
0/1
BRIGHTON 7 shots
Jack Hinshelwood
3/4
Danny Welbeck
0/2
Carlos Baleba
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.5
1
NICK POPE
33
DAN BURN
 7.6
4
SVEN BOTM
12
MALICK TH
67
LEWIS MIL
8
SANDRO TO
 7.5
39
BRUNO GUI
7
JOELINTON
28
JOE WILLO
 7.5
23
JACOB MUR
 7.6
18
WILLIAM O
 7.2
1
BART VERB
24
FERDI KAD
21
OLIVIER B
6
JAN PAUL
27
MATS WIEF
 7.0
17
CARLOS BA
30
PASCAL GR
22
KAORU MIT
 7.5
13
JACK HINS
11
YANKUBA M
 6.9
18
DANNY WEL
SUBSTITUTES · NEWCASTLE
20
Anthony Elan...
F
10
Anthony Gord...
F
41
Jacob Ramsey
M
2
Kieran Tripp...
D
32
Aaron Ramsda...
G
11
Harvey Barne...
M
9
Yoane Wissa
F
3
Lewis Hall
D
27
Nick Woltema...
F
COACH: Eddie Howe
SUBSTITUTES · BRIGHTON
26
Yasin Ayari
M
5
Lewis Dunk
D
3
Igor Júlio
D
23
Jason Steele
G
29
Maxim De Cuy...
D
19
Charalampos...
F
10
Georginio Ru...
F
34
Joël Veltman
D
33
Matt O'Riley
M
COACH: Fabian Hurzeler
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BRI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Chris Kavanagh, England
—
NEW MANAGER
Eddie Howe
head coach
BRI MANAGER
Fabian Hurzeler
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
NEW WINS
3
DRAWS
4
BRI WINS
30%
30%
40%
13 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
18 Oct 2025
Brighton
2 – 1
Newcastle
L
04 May 2025
Brighton
1 – 1
Newcastle
D
19 Oct 2024
Newcastle
0 – 1
Brighton
L
11 May 2024
Newcastle
1 – 1
Brighton
D
02 Sep 2023
Brighton
3 – 1
Newcastle
L
NEWCASTLE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
BRIGHTON LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
NEWCASTLE #13
Won · already at 45 pts
BRIGHTON #8
Lost · already at 50 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 35 23 7 5 +41 76
W W L L W
2 Manchester City 33 21 7 5 +37 70
W W W D D
3 Manchester United 35 18 10 7 +15 64
W W W L D
4 Liverpool 35 17 7 11 +12 58
L W W W L
5 Aston Villa 34 17 7 10 +5 58
L W D W L
6 Bournemouth 35 12 16 7 +3 52
W D W W D
7 Brentford 35 14 9 12 +6 51
W L D D D
8 Brighton 35 13 11 11 +7 50
L W D W W
9 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 +8 48
L L L L L
10 Fulham 35 14 6 15 -5 48
L W D L W
11 Everton 34 13 8 13 0 47
L L D W L
12 Sunderland 35 12 11 12 -9 47
D L L W W
13 Newcastle 35 13 6 16 -2 45
W L L L L
14 Leeds 35 10 13 12 -5 43
W D W W D
15 Crystal Palace 34 11 10 13 -6 43
L L D W D
16 Nottingham Forest 34 10 9 15 -4 39
W W D W D
17 West Ham 35 9 9 17 -19 36
L W D W L
18 Tottenham 34 8 10 16 -10 34
W D L L D
19 Burnley 35 4 8 23 -36 20
L L L L L
20 Wolves 35 3 9 23 -38 18
D L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Goal · 3-1 · Harvey Barnes
    4th Goal
  • 90'+2
    Card · Foul · Jan Paul van Hecke
    6th Yellowcard
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Jacob Ramsey
    9th Substitution
  • 88'
    Subst
    8th Substitution
  • 87'
    Card · Foul · Yoane Wissa
    5th Yellowcard
  • 86'
    Card · Argument
    7th Yellowcard
  • 85'
    Card · Time wasting · Sandro Tonali
    4th Yellowcard
  • 81'
    Subst · Maxim De Cuyper
    7th Substitution
  • 80'
    Subst · Georginio Rutter
    6th Substitution
  • 80'
    Subst · Charalampos Kostoulas
    5th Substitution
  • 68'
    Subst · Yoane Wissa
    4th Substitution
  • 68'
    Subst · Lewis Hall
    3rd Substitution
  • 68'
    Subst · Harvey Barnes
    2nd Substitution
  • 61'
    Goal · 2-1 · Jack Hinshelwood
    3rd Goal
  • 53'
    Card · Foul · Dan Burn
    3rd Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 39'
    Card · Foul · Kaoru Mitoma
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 24'
    Goal · 2-0 · Dan Burn
    2nd Goal
  • 22'
    Card · Argument · Joël Veltman
    1st Yellowcard
  • 18'
    Subst · Joël Veltman
    1st Substitution
  • 12'
    Goal · 1-0 · William Osula
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NEWCASTLE WIN
2.56
39.1% implied
↑ best 2.65
DRAW
3.57
28% implied
↑ best 3.75
BRIGHTON WIN
2.59
38.6% implied
↑ best 2.70

Market favors Newcastle. AI projects NEWCASTLE 96% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NEWCASTLE 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.52 3.55 2.55 +56.3%
1xBet 2.65 3.72 2.70 +58.3%
888Sport 2.50 3.40 2.50 +56.0%
Bet365 2.55 3.75 2.55 +56.8%
Betano 2.57 3.55 2.62 +57.1%
Betfair 2.60 3.60 2.63 +57.5%
BetVictor 2.55 3.60 2.60 +56.8%
Dafabet 2.60 3.70 2.60 +57.5%
Marathonbet 2.61 3.66 2.66 +57.7%
Pinnacle 2.60 3.65 2.67 +57.5%
SBO 2.56 3.24 2.42 +56.9%
Unibet 2.50 3.60 2.65 +56.0%
William Hill 2.50 3.40 2.50 +56.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.30
2.5 O 1.67 U 2.21
3.5 O 2.61 U 1.46
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.54 10 bks
NO
2.37 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.67
Away -0.5 1.52
Away -0.75 1.37
Away -1 1.23
Away -1.25 1.19
Away -1.5 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.