Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SAT, 25 APR · 11:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
FULHAM
FT
1 0
FULL TIME
ASTON VILLA
⚽ 43' R. Sessegnon
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 51/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
FUL
1 1
AST
most likely scoreline · 13.8% probability
AI PICKS FULHAM TO WIN 38%
FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
FUL WIN 38%
DRAW 28%
AST WIN 34%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 66% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 66% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Even match with slight edge to Fulham at home, but Aston Villa's superior league position and recent form make this a toss-up.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY FULHAM FAVORED
38%
Fulham home form mixed (WWLWL) vs Villa away form inconsistent (LDWLW) — cancel out
+20.0%
H2H split (1W Fulham, 1W Villa in last 2) and BTTS in 4 of 5 recent meetings
+15.0%
WHY ASTON VILLA CHALLENGED
34%
Aston Villa 10 pts clear in table (58 vs 48) — quality advantage despite home venue
+25.0%
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 43' R. SESSEGN
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.3
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
1
13.8
13.5
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.0
6.9
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.4
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 13.8%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.3%
2 — 0 7.0%
Top 5 = 61.2% · rest 38.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.59
38.0%
2.63
-1.6%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.50
28.0%
3.57
-2.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.46
66.0%
1.52
-3.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.58
61.0%
1.64
-3.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.50
62.0%
1.61
-7.2%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.29
72.0%
1.39
-7.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.74
52.0%
1.92
-9.4%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.61
34.0%
2.94
-11.3%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.