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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · FIORENTINA 38% · Value: BTTS Yes 61%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 38 · FRI, 22 MAY · 18:45 LOCAL
FIORENTINA
15TH · 42 PTS · LAST 5:
W D L D D
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
ATALANTA
L W D L D
· 7TH · 59 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 39' Roberto Piccoli
GOALS
⚽ 82' Pietro Comuzzo
Oliver Christensen
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Oliver Christensen
Fiorentina · 87 mins
· 31% pass acc
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Serie A: Fiorentina vs Atalanta
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

71%
BALL POSSESSION %
123%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
21
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
350%
PASS ACCURACY %
550%
3
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 39'
    Goal · 1-0
    Roberto Piccoli · assist Marco Brescianini
    FIO
  2. 46'
    Subst
    Davide Zappacosta · assist Raoul Bellanova
    ATA
  3. 47'
    Card · Foul
    Kamaldeen Sulemana
    ATA
  4. 60'
    Card · Foul
    Honest Ahanor
    ATA
  5. 62'
    Subst
    Charles De Ketelaere · assist Lazar Samardžić
    ATA
  6. 67'
    Subst
    Cher Ndour · assist Marco Brescianini
    FIO
  7. 67'
    Subst
    Marin Pongracic · assist Daniele Rugani
    FIO
  8. 67'
    Subst
    Berat Djimsiti · assist Giorgio Scalvini
    ATA
  9. 76'
    Subst
    Luís Balbo
    FIO
  10. 76'
    Subst
    Manor Solomon · assist Albert Gudmundsson
    FIO
  11. 81'
    Subst
    Gianluca Scamacca · assist L. Greiml
    ATA
  12. 81'
    Subst
    Dominic Vavassori · assist Kamaldeen Sulemana
    ATA
  13. 82'
    Goal · 1-1
    Pietro Comuzzo
    ATA
  14. 87'
    Subst
    Luca Lezzerini · assist Oliver Christensen
    FIO
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FIORENTINA AVG 7.6
ATALANTA AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
21.0
4.0
ON TARGET
6.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
12.0
3.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
71.0%
POSSESSION %
123.0%
410.0
PASSES
610.0
350.0%
PASS ACCURACY
550.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
3.0
9.0
OFFSIDES
8.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
14.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
6.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FIORENTINA 3 shots
Roberto Piccoli
1/2
Jack Harrison
1/1
ATALANTA 8 shots
Kamaldeen Sulemana
1/3
Lazar Samardžić
2/2
Marten de Roon
0/2
Isak Hien
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 43%
57% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 3-4-2-1
4-3-3
3-4-2-1
53
OLIVER CH
21
MARIUS Bü
15
PIETRO CO
2
DODô
3
DANIELE R
80
GIOVANNI
8
ROLANDO M
4
MARCO BRE
91
ROBERTO P
17
JACK HARR
10
ALBERT GU
57
MARCO SPO
4
ISAK HIEN
69
HONEST AH
42
GIORGIO S
16
RAOUL BEL
15
L. GREIML
8
MARIO PAš
6
YUNUS MUS
10
LAZAR SAM
7
KAMALDEEN
18
GIACOMO R
SUBSTITUTES · FIORENTINA
69
Giorgio Puzz...
F
62
Luís Balbo
D
61
Riccardo Bra...
F
44
Nicolò Fagio...
M
43
David de Gea
G
29
Niccolò Fort...
D
27
Cher Ndour
M
19
Manor Solomo...
F
5
Marin Pongra...
D
1
Luca Lezzeri...
G
COACH: Paolo Vanoli
SUBSTITUTES · ATALANTA
45
Dominic Vava...
F
59
Nicola Zalew...
M
77
Davide Zappa...
D
40
Relja Obric
D
31
Francesco Ro...
G
29
Marco Carnes...
G
23
Sead Kolasin...
D
19
Berat Djimsi...
D
17
Charles De K...
F
13
Éderson
M
9
Gianluca Sca...
F
5
Mitchel Bakk...
D
90
Nikola Krsto...
F
COACH: Raffaele Palladino
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FIO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ATA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Mario Perri, Italy
—
FIO MANAGER
Paolo Vanoli
head coach
ATA MANAGER
Raffaele Palladino
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
FIO WINS
1
DRAWS
4
ATA WINS
50%
10%
40%
13 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
30 Nov 2025
Atalanta
2 – 0
Fiorentina
L
30 Mar 2025
Fiorentina
1 – 0
Atalanta
W
15 Sep 2024
Atalanta
3 – 2
Fiorentina
L
02 Jun 2024
Atalanta
2 – 3
Fiorentina
W
24 Apr 2024
Atalanta
4 – 1
Fiorentina
L
FIORENTINA LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L D D
ATALANTA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
FIORENTINA #15
Lost · already at 42 pts
ATALANTA #7
Lost · already at 59 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 +54 87
D D W W D
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 +22 76
W W L D W
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 +28 73
W W W W W
4 Como 38 20 11 7 +36 71
W W W D W
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 +18 70
L W L L D
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 +27 69
D L W D D
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 +15 59
D L W D L
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 +3 56
D W W D L
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 +1 54
W L L W D
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 -3 50
L L W W D
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 -4 49
L L L W D
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 -19 45
D L W L D
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 -18 45
W L L L W
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 -13 43
W W L D W
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 -9 42
D W D L D
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 -10 41
L L D D L
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 -22 38
W W L W D
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 -25 34
L W W L L
19 Hellas Verona 38 3 12 23 -36 21
L D L D D
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 -45 18
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 87'
    Subst · Luca Lezzerini
    10th Substitution
  • 82'
    Goal · 1-1 · Pietro Comuzzo
    1st Own Goal
  • 81'
    Subst · Dominic Vavassori
    9th Substitution
  • 81'
    Subst · Gianluca Scamacca
    8th Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Manor Solomon
    7th Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Luís Balbo
    6th Substitution
  • 67'
    Subst · Berat Djimsiti
    3rd Substitution
  • 67'
    Subst · Marin Pongracic
    5th Substitution
  • 67'
    Subst · Cher Ndour
    4th Substitution
  • 62'
    Subst · Charles De Ketelaere
    2nd Substitution
  • 60'
    Card · Foul · Honest Ahanor
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 47'
    Card · Foul · Kamaldeen Sulemana
    1st Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst · Davide Zappacosta
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 39'
    Goal · 1-0 · Roberto Piccoli
    1st Goal
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
FIORENTINA WIN
2.87
34.8% implied
↑ best 3.02
DRAW
3.47
28.8% implied
↑ best 3.65
ATALANTA WIN
2.39
41.8% implied
↑ best 2.55

Market favors Atalanta. AI projects FIORENTINA 38% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FIORENTINA 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.70 3.45 2.44 +1.0%
1xBet 3.02 3.60 2.46 +4.9%
888Sport 2.80 3.30 2.30 +2.3%
Bet365 2.88 3.50 2.35 +3.3%
Betano 2.95 3.45 2.37 +4.1%
Betfair 2.80 3.40 2.40 +2.3%
BetVictor 2.90 3.50 2.30 +3.5%
Dafabet 2.70 3.60 2.55 +1.0%
Marathonbet 2.97 3.52 2.39 +4.3%
Pinnacle 3.01 3.58 2.40 +4.8%
SBO 2.81 3.31 2.36 +2.4%
Superbet 2.95 3.65 2.35 +4.1%
Unibet 2.75 3.35 2.43 +1.6%
William Hill 2.88 3.30 2.38 +3.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.44
2.5 O 1.66 U 2.23
3.5 O 2.56 U 1.48
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.52 11 bks
NO
2.43 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.54
Away -0.5 1.42
Away -0.75 1.28
Away -1 1.16
Away -1.25 1.12
Away -1.5 1.12
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.