GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · SASSUOLO 48%
CONF 51 FULL ANALYSIS →
Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 18:45 LOCAL
SASSUOLO
11TH · 49 PTS · LAST 5:
L W D W L
FT
2 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 1-2
LECCE
L W D D L
· 17TH · 35 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 20' Armand Laurienté ⚽ 82' Andrea Pinamonti
GOALS
⚽ 14' Walid Cheddira ⚽ 25' Walid Cheddira ⚽ 90+6' Nikola Štulić
Armand Laurienté
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Armand Laurienté
Sassuolo · 88 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 51% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Serie A: Sassuolo vs Lecce
Open in Youtube ↗
Serie A: Sassuolo vs Lecce
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.83
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.62
74%
BALL POSSESSION %
26%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
9
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
68%
2
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 21 events
  1. 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Walid Cheddira
    LEC
  2. 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Armand Laurienté · assist Pedro Felipe
    SAS
  3. 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Walid Cheddira · assist Lameck Banda
    LEC
  4. 28'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Kristian Thorstvedt
    SAS
  5. 54'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ylber Ramadani
    LEC
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    M'bala Nzola · assist Andrea Pinamonti
    SAS
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Nemanja Matić · assist Luca Lipani
    SAS
  8. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Lameck Banda · assist Gaby Jean
    LEC
  9. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ismael Koné · assist Darryl Bakola
    SAS
  10. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Domenico Berardi · assist Cristian Volpato
    SAS
  11. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tarik Muharemović
    SAS
  12. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Santiago Pierotti · assist Omri Gandelman
    LEC
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Walid Cheddira · assist Francesco Camarda
    LEC
  14. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Danilo Veiga
    LEC
  15. 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Andrea Pinamonti · assist Ulisses Garcia
    SAS
  16. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tiago Gabriel
    LEC
  17. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ylber Ramadani · assist Nikola Štulić
    LEC
  18. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Danilo Veiga · assist N'Dri Konan
    LEC
  19. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Armand Laurienté · assist Christian Frangella
    SAS
  20. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Antonino Gallo
    LEC
  21. 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Nikola Štulić · assist Omri Gandelman
    LEC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SASSUOLO AVG 7.7
LECCE AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.8
xG
0.6
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
5.0
ON TARGET
5.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
74.0%
POSSESSION %
26.0%
610.0
PASSES
196.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
68.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
8.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
13.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
3.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SASSUOLO 8 shots
Armand Laurienté
2/4
Andrea Pinamonti
2/2
Ismael Koné
0/1
Domenico Berardi
1/1
LECCE 6 shots
Walid Cheddira
3/3
Lameck Banda
2/2
Francesco Camarda
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.83 – 0.62
1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT 20' 82' 14' 25' 90' H 1.83 A 0.62 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 43%
57% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
12
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
13
STEFANO T
23
ULISSES G
80
TARIK MUH
 7.0
66
PEDRO FEL
25
WOYO COUL
 7.2
90
ISMAEL KO
18
NEMANJA M
42
KRISTIAN
 9.2
45
ARMAND LA
8
M'BALA NZ
 7.2
10
DOMENICO
 6.9
30
WLADIMIRO
25
ANTONINO
44
TIAGO GAB
5
JAMIL SIE
 6.7
17
DANILO VE
79
OUMAR NGO
20
YLBER RAM
 6.7
19
LAMECK BA
29
LASSANA C
50
SANTIAGO
 9.2
99
WALID CHE
SUBSTITUTES · SASSUOLO
50
Darryl Bakol...
M
7
Cristian Vol...
M
33
Christian Fr...
M
99
Andrea Pinam...
F
20
Alieu Fadera
F
44
Edoardo Iann...
M
35
Luca Lipani
M
31
Tommaso Macc...
D
3
Josh Doig
D
12
Giacomo Sata...
G
16
Gioele Zacch...
G
49
Arijanet Mur...
G
24
Luca Moro
F
COACH: Fabio Grosso
SUBSTITUTES · LECCE
28
Olaf Gorter
M
6
Alex Sala
M
36
Filip Marchw...
M
16
Omri Gandelm...
M
22
Francesco Ca...
F
11
N'Dri Konan
F
8
Sadik Fofana
M
14
Þórir Jóhann...
M
4
Kialonda Gas...
D
13
Matías Pérez
D
3
Corrie Ndaba
D
18
Gaby Jean
D
1
Christian Fr...
G
32
Jasper Samoo...
G
9
Nikola Štuli...
F
COACH: Eusebio Di Francesco
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LEC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Federico La Penna, Italy
—
SAS MANAGER
Fabio Grosso
head coach
LEC MANAGER
Eusebio Di Francesco
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
SAS WINS
3
DRAWS
1
LEC WINS
50%
37.5%
12.5%
11 – 8
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
2.38
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 8
18 Oct 2025
Lecce
0 – 0
Sassuolo
D
24 Sep 2024
Lecce
0 – 2
Sassuolo
W
21 Apr 2024
Sassuolo
0 – 3
Lecce
L
06 Oct 2023
Lecce
1 – 1
Sassuolo
D
25 Feb 2023
Lecce
0 – 1
Sassuolo
W
SASSUOLO LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D W L
LECCE LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–3 · result locked
SASSUOLO #11
Lost · already at 49 pts
LECCE #17
Won · already at 35 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Inter 37 27 5 5 +54 86
D W W D W
2 Napoli 37 22 7 8 +21 73
W L D W L
3 AC Milan 37 20 10 7 +19 70
W L L D W
4 AS Roma 37 22 4 11 +26 70
W W W W D
5 Como 37 19 11 7 +33 68
W W D W L
6 Juventus 37 19 11 7 +27 68
L W D D W
7 Atalanta 37 15 13 9 +15 58
L W D L D
8 Bologna 37 16 7 14 +3 55
W W D L L
9 Lazio 37 13 12 12 0 51
L L W D W
10 Udinese 37 14 8 15 -2 50
L W W D L
11 Sassuolo 37 14 7 16 -3 49
L L W D W
12 Torino 37 12 8 17 -19 44
L W L D D
13 Parma 37 10 12 15 -19 42
L L L W W
14 Genoa 37 10 11 16 -9 41
L D D L W
15 Fiorentina 37 9 14 14 -9 41
W D L D D
16 Cagliari 37 10 10 17 -14 40
W L D W L
17 Lecce 37 9 8 20 -23 35
W L W D D
18 Cremonese 37 8 10 19 -22 34
W W L L D
19 Hellas Verona 37 3 12 22 -34 21
D L D D L
20 Pisa 37 2 12 23 -44 18
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Goal · Normal Goal · Nikola Štulić
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Antonino Gallo
    Holding
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Armand Laurienté
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Danilo Veiga
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ylber Ramadani
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tiago Gabriel
    Roughing
  • 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Andrea Pinamonti
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Danilo Veiga
    Holding
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Walid Cheddira
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Santiago Pierotti
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tarik Muharemović
    Roughing
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Domenico Berardi
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ismael Koné
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Lameck Banda
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Nemanja Matić
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · M'bala Nzola
  • 54'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ylber Ramadani
    Roughing
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 2
  • 28'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Kristian Thorstvedt
  • 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Walid Cheddira
  • 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Armand Laurienté
  • 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Walid Cheddira
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SASSUOLO WIN
2.66
37.6% implied
↑ best 2.85
DRAW
3.14
31.8% implied
↑ best 3.25
LECCE WIN
2.75
36.4% implied
↑ best 2.91

Market favors Sassuolo. AI projects SASSUOLO 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SASSUOLO 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.58 3.15 2.75 +9.2%
1xBet 2.85 3.25 2.80 +12.9%
888Sport 2.63 3.00 2.70 +10.0%
Bet365 2.62 3.20 2.75 +9.8%
Betano 2.65 3.10 2.85 +10.3%
Betfair 2.63 3.00 2.80 +10.0%
BetVictor 2.60 3.25 2.70 +9.5%
Dafabet 2.70 3.20 2.80 +11.0%
Marathonbet 2.79 3.18 2.74 +12.2%
Pinnacle 2.69 3.20 2.91 +10.8%
SBO 2.65 3.13 2.60 +10.3%
Unibet 2.60 3.15 2.70 +9.5%
William Hill 2.62 3.00 2.70 +9.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.34 U 3.12
2.5 O 2.11 U 1.73
3.5 O 3.72 U 1.25
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.80 10 bks
NO
1.95 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.65
Away -0.5 1.49
Away -0.75 1.33
Away -1 1.18
Away -1.25 1.14
Away -1.5 1.12
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.