AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · AS ROMA 96%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 10:00 LOCAL
AS ROMA
4TH · 70 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W D W
FT
2 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
LAZIO
L L W D W
· 9TH · 51 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 40' Gianluca Mancini ⚽ 66' Gianluca Mancini
GOALS
Gianluca Mancini
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Gianluca Mancini
AS Roma · 83 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 45% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Serie A: AS Roma vs Lazio
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

78%
BALL POSSESSION %
81%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
6
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
360%
PASS ACCURACY %
379%
8
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 21'
    Card · Foul
    Kenneth Taylor
    LAZ
  2. 37'
    Subst
    Devyne Rensch · assist Evan Ndicka
    AS
  3. 40'
    Goal · 1-0
    Gianluca Mancini · assist Niccolò Pisilli
    AS
  4. 42'
    Card · Argument
    Mario Hermoso
    AS
  5. 42'
    Card · Argument
    Matteo Cancellieri
    LAZ
  6. 46'
    Subst
    Stephan El Shaarawy · assist Niccolò Pisilli
    AS
  7. 62'
    Subst
    Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · assist Kenneth Taylor
    LAZ
  8. 62'
    Subst
    Daniel Maldini · assist Boulaye Dia
    LAZ
  9. 64'
    Card · Foul
    Nuno Tavares
    LAZ
  10. 66'
    Goal · 2-0
    Gianluca Mancini · assist Paulo Dybala
    AS
  11. 70'
    Card · Violent conduct
    Wesley
    AS
  12. 70'
    Card · Violent conduct
    Nicolò Rovella 
    LAZ
  13. 71'
    Subst
    Gustav Isaksen · assist Matteo Cancellieri
    LAZ
  14. 79'
    Subst
    Manuel Lazzari · assist Adam Marusic
    LAZ
  15. 79'
    Subst
    LAZ
  16. 83'
    Subst
    Matías Soulé · assist Donyell Malen
    AS
  17. 83'
    Subst
    Jan Ziolkowski · assist Gianluca Mancini
    AS
  18. 85'
    Card · Foul
    Stephan El Shaarawy
    AS
  19. 88'
    Subst
    Artem Dovbyk · assist Paulo Dybala
    AS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AS ROMA AVG 7.7
LAZIO AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
7.0
ON TARGET
2.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
1.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
78.0%
POSSESSION %
81.0%
416.0
PASSES
438.0
360.0%
PASS ACCURACY
379.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
3.0
17.0
OFFSIDES
13.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
17.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AS ROMA 4 shots
Gianluca Mancini
2/2
Paulo Dybala
1/1
Bryan Cristante
0/1
LAZIO 0 shots

No shots recorded.

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-3-3
SUBSTITUTES · AS ROMA
12
Kostas Tsimi...
D
3
Angeliño
D
18
Matías Soulé
F
78
Robinio Vaz
F
87
Daniele Ghil...
D
24
Jan Ziółkows...
D
70
Giorgio De M...
G
95
Pierluigi Go...
G
92
Stephan El S...
F
2
Devyne Rensc...
D
9
Artem Dovbyk
F
COACH: Piero Gasperini Gian
SUBSTITUTES · LAZIO
28
Adrian Przyb...
M
32
Danilo Catal...
M
21
Reda Belahya...
M
18
Gustav Isaks...
F
20
Petar Ratkov
F
23
Elseid Hysaj
D
29
Manuel Lazza...
M
3
Luca Pellegr...
D
2
Samuel Gigot
D
72
Nicolo Panno...
G
99
Giacomo Giac...
G
27
Daniel Maldi...
F
7
Fisayo Dele-...
M
9
Pedro
F
COACH: Maurizio Sarri
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LAZ · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Fabio Maresca, Italy
AS MANAGER
Piero Gasperini Gian
head coach
LAZ MANAGER
Maurizio Sarri
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
AS WINS
2
DRAWS
4
LAZ WINS
40%
20%
40%
10 7
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
AS ROMA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D W
LAZIO LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
AS ROMA #4
Won · already at 70 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LAZIO #9
Lost · already at 51 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Inter 37 27 5 5 +54 86
D W W D W
2 Napoli 37 22 7 8 +21 73
W L D W L
3 AC Milan 37 20 10 7 +19 70
W L L D W
4 AS Roma 37 22 4 11 +26 70
W W W W D
5 Como 37 19 11 7 +33 68
W W D W L
6 Juventus 37 19 11 7 +27 68
L W D D W
7 Atalanta 37 15 13 9 +15 58
L W D L D
8 Bologna 37 16 7 14 +3 55
W W D L L
9 Lazio 37 13 12 12 0 51
L L W D W
10 Udinese 37 14 8 15 -2 50
L W W D L
11 Sassuolo 37 14 7 16 -3 49
L L W D W
12 Torino 37 12 8 17 -19 44
L W L D D
13 Parma 37 10 12 15 -19 42
L L L W W
14 Genoa 37 10 11 16 -9 41
L D D L W
15 Fiorentina 37 9 14 14 -9 41
W D L D D
16 Cagliari 37 10 10 17 -14 40
W L D W L
17 Lecce 37 9 8 20 -23 35
W L W D D
18 Cremonese 37 8 10 19 -22 34
W W L L D
19 Hellas Verona 37 3 12 22 -34 21
D L D D L
20 Pisa 37 2 12 23 -44 18
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Subst · Artem Dovbyk
    10th Substitution
  • 85'
    Card · Foul · Stephan El Shaarawy
    5th Yellowcard
  • 83'
    Subst · Jan Ziolkowski
    9th Substitution
  • 83'
    Subst · Matías Soulé
    8th Substitution
  • 79'
    Subst
    7th Substitution
  • 79'
    Subst · Manuel Lazzari
    6th Substitution
  • 71'
    Subst · Gustav Isaksen
    5th Substitution
  • 70'
    Card · Violent conduct · Nicolò Rovella 
    1st Redcard
  • 70'
    Card · Violent conduct · Wesley
    2nd Redcard
  • 66'
    Goal · 2-0 · Gianluca Mancini
    2nd Goal
  • 64'
    Card · Foul · Nuno Tavares
    4th Yellowcard
  • 62'
    Subst · Daniel Maldini
    4th Substitution
  • 62'
    Subst · Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
    3rd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Stephan El Shaarawy
    2nd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 42'
    Card · Argument · Matteo Cancellieri
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 42'
    Card · Argument · Mario Hermoso
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 40'
    Goal · 1-0 · Gianluca Mancini
    1st Goal
  • 37'
    Subst · Devyne Rensch
    1st Substitution
  • 21'
    Card · Foul · Kenneth Taylor
    1st Yellowcard
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
AS ROMA WIN
1.49
67.1% implied
↑ best 1.55
DRAW
4.20
23.8% implied
↑ best 4.50
LAZIO WIN
6.71
14.9% implied
↑ best 7.80

Market favors AS Roma. AI projects AS ROMA 96%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AS ROMA 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.51 4.10 6.00 +29.8%
1xBet 1.51 4.40 7.80 +29.8%
888Sport 1.44 4.00 6.50 +26.6%
Bet365 1.50 4.20 6.50 +29.3%
Betano 1.55 4.30 6.80 +31.5%
Betfair 1.47 4.20 6.50 +28.0%
BetVictor 1.50 4.20 6.50 +29.3%
Dafabet 1.50 4.50 6.60 +29.3%
Marathonbet 1.49 4.33 7.70 +28.9%
Pinnacle 1.52 4.31 6.84 +30.2%
SBO 1.46 4.00 6.18 +27.5%
Unibet 1.49 4.10 6.25 +28.9%
William Hill 1.44 4.00 7.00 +26.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.26 U 3.67
2.5 O 1.86 U 1.96
3.5 O 3.07 U 1.35
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.93 10 bks
NO
1.81 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.36
Away -0.5 2.56
Away -0.75 2.32
Away -1 2.00
Away -1.25 1.73
Away -1.5 1.56
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.