GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · AC MILAN 90% · Value: Over 2.5 78%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 10:00 LOCAL
GENOA
14TH · 41 PTS · LAST 5:
D D L W W
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
AC MILAN
L L D W L
· 3RD · 70 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 86' Johan Vásquez
GOALS
⚽ 81' Zachary Athekame
Zachary Athekame
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Zachary Athekame
AC Milan · 93 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 13% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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Serie A: Genoa vs AC Milan
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Serie A: Genoa vs AC Milan
Serie A: Genoa vs AC Milan
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

79%
BALL POSSESSION %
65%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
8
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
402%
PASS ACCURACY %
229%
4
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 48'
    Card · Foul
    Justin Bijlow
    GEN
  2. 50'
    Penalty · 0-1
    Christopher Nkunku
    AC
  3. 63'
    Card · Foul
    Matteo Gabbia
    AC
  4. 63'
    Card · Argument
    Vitinha
    GEN
  5. 64'
    Subst
    Jeff Ekhator · assist Tommaso Baldanzi
    GEN
  6. 68'
    Subst
    Samuele Ricci · assist Youssouf Fofana
    AC
  7. 68'
    Subst
    Niclas Füllkrug · assist Santiago Gimenez
    AC
  8. 72'
    Card · Foul
    Fikayo Tomori
    AC
  9. 76'
    Subst
    Koni De Winter · assist Fikayo Tomori
    AC
  10. 76'
    Subst
    Christian Pulisic · assist Christopher Nkunku
    AC
  11. 81'
    Goal · 0-2
    Zachary Athekame · assist Christian Pulisic
    AC
  12. 85'
    Subst
    Ruben Loftus-Cheek  · assist Ardon Jashari
    AC
  13. 85'
    Subst
    Caleb Ekuban · assist Lorenzo Colombo
    GEN
  14. 86'
    Card · Foul
    Samuele Ricci
    AC
  15. 86'
    Goal · 1-2
    Johan Vásquez
    GEN
  16. 90'+1
    Subst
    Aarón Martín · assist Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho
    GEN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
GENOA AVG 7.3
AC MILAN AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
2.0
ON TARGET
6.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
79.0%
POSSESSION %
65.0%
477.0
PASSES
289.0
402.0%
PASS ACCURACY
229.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
4.0
16.0
OFFSIDES
15.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
19.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
4.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
GENOA 5 shots
Vitinha
0/2
Jeff Ekhator
1/2
Johan Vásquez
1/1
AC MILAN 2 shots
Zachary Athekame
1/1
Christopher Nkunku
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 38%
62% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-2-1 vs 3-5-2
4-3-2-1
3-5-2
16
JUSTIN BI
 7.7
22
JOHAN VáS
34
SEBASTIAN
27
ALESSANDR
77
MIKAEL EL
17
RUSLAN MA
 7.2
4
ALEXSANDR
 7.2
32
MORTEN FR
 7.3
9
VITINHA
8
TOMMASO B
29
LORENZO C
 7.2
16
MIKE MAIG
 6.7
31
STRAHINJA
46
MATTEO GA
23
FIKAYO TO
33
DAVIDE BA
12
ADRIEN RA
30
ARDON JAS
19
YOUSSOUF
 8.2
24
ZACHARY A
 7.3
18
CHRISTOPH
7
SANTIAGO
SUBSTITUTES · GENOA
20
Stefano Sabe...
D
3
Aarón Martín
D
80
Jacopo Gross...
M
73
Patrizio Mas...
M
75
Gael Lafont
M
74
Mamedi Douco...
D
99
Wedtoin Lati...
D
13
Nils Zätters...
D
40
Lukas Klisys
D
1
Nicola Leali
G
39
Daniele Somm...
G
21
Jeff Ekhator
F
18
Caleb Ekuban
F
COACH: Daniele De Rossi
SUBSTITUTES · AC MILAN
8
Ruben Loftus...
M
4
Samuele Ricc...
M
11
Christian Pu...
M
25
Cheveyo Mul-...
F
45
Jacopo Sardo
M
14
Luka Modrić
M
34
Valeri Ivano...
D
5
Koni De Wint...
D
27
David Odogu
D
96
Lorenzo Torr...
G
1
Pietro Terra...
G
9
Niclas Füllk...
F
COACH: Massimiliano Allegri
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
GEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Simone Sozza, Italy
—
GEN MANAGER
Daniele De Rossi
head coach
AC MANAGER
Massimiliano Allegri
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
GEN WINS
4
DRAWS
6
AC WINS
40%
60%
9 – 19
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
08 Jan 2026
AC Milan
1 – 1
Genoa
D
05 May 2025
Genoa
1 – 2
AC Milan
L
15 Dec 2024
AC Milan
0 – 0
Genoa
D
05 May 2024
AC Milan
3 – 3
Genoa
D
07 Oct 2023
Genoa
0 – 1
AC Milan
L
GENOA LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L W W
AC MILAN LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
GENOA #14
Lost · already at 41 pts
AC MILAN #3
Won · already at 70 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Inter 37 27 5 5 +54 86
D W W D W
2 Napoli 37 22 7 8 +21 73
W L D W L
3 AC Milan 37 20 10 7 +19 70
W L L D W
4 AS Roma 37 22 4 11 +26 70
W W W W D
5 Como 37 19 11 7 +33 68
W W D W L
6 Juventus 37 19 11 7 +27 68
L W D D W
7 Atalanta 37 15 13 9 +15 58
L W D L D
8 Bologna 37 16 7 14 +3 55
W W D L L
9 Lazio 37 13 12 12 0 51
L L W D W
10 Udinese 37 14 8 15 -2 50
L W W D L
11 Sassuolo 37 14 7 16 -3 49
L L W D W
12 Torino 37 12 8 17 -19 44
L W L D D
13 Parma 37 10 12 15 -19 42
L L L W W
14 Genoa 37 10 11 16 -9 41
L D D L W
15 Fiorentina 37 9 14 14 -9 41
W D L D D
16 Cagliari 37 10 10 17 -14 40
W L D W L
17 Lecce 37 9 8 20 -23 35
W L W D D
18 Cremonese 37 8 10 19 -22 34
W W L L D
19 Hellas Verona 37 3 12 22 -34 21
D L D D L
20 Pisa 37 2 12 23 -44 18
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Aarón Martín
    8th Substitution
  • 86'
    Goal · 1-2 · Johan Vásquez
    2nd Goal
  • 86'
    Card · Foul · Samuele Ricci
    5th Yellowcard
  • 85'
    Subst · Caleb Ekuban
    7th Substitution
  • 85'
    Subst · Ruben Loftus-Cheek 
    6th Substitution
  • 81'
    Goal · 0-2 · Zachary Athekame
    1st Goal
  • 76'
    Subst · Christian Pulisic
    4th Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Koni De Winter
    5th Substitution
  • 72'
    Card · Foul · Fikayo Tomori
    4th Yellowcard
  • 68'
    Subst · Niclas Füllkrug
    2nd Substitution
  • 68'
    Subst · Samuele Ricci
    3rd Substitution
  • 64'
    Subst · Jeff Ekhator
    1st Substitution
  • 63'
    Card · Argument · Vitinha
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 63'
    Card · Foul · Matteo Gabbia
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 50'
    Penalty · 0-1 · Christopher Nkunku
    1st Penalty
  • 48'
    Card · Foul · Justin Bijlow
    1st Yellowcard
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
GENOA WIN
5.10
19.6% implied
↑ best 5.52
DRAW
3.77
26.5% implied
↑ best 3.96
AC MILAN WIN
1.68
59.5% implied
↑ best 1.72

Market favors AC Milan. AI projects AC MILAN 90% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AC MILAN 90% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.60 3.75 1.71 +31.5%
1xBet 5.52 3.96 1.72 +31.9%
888Sport 4.80 3.60 1.67 +30.1%
Bet365 5.00 3.90 1.65 +29.4%
Betano 5.50 3.95 1.70 +31.2%
Betfair 5.00 3.75 1.67 +30.1%
BetVictor 5.25 3.80 1.65 +29.4%
Dafabet 5.20 3.80 1.72 +31.9%
Marathonbet 5.40 3.88 1.68 +30.5%
Pinnacle 5.36 3.82 1.71 +31.5%
SBO 4.65 3.46 1.69 +30.8%
Unibet 5.00 3.75 1.65 +29.4%
William Hill 5.00 3.60 1.67 +30.1%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.31 U 3.31
2.5 O 1.99 U 1.82
3.5 O 3.41 U 1.29
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.90 10 bks
NO
1.84 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.19
Away -0.5 1.18
Away -0.75 1.09
Away -1 1.01
Away -1.5 1.01
Away +0 1.24
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.