GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · CAGLIARI 78% · Value: Over 2.5 72%
CONF 81 FULL ANALYSIS →
Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 18:45 LOCAL
CAGLIARI
16TH · 40 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W L W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
TORINO
W L D D W
· 12TH · 44 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 39' Sebastiano Esposito ⚽ 45+2' Yerry Mina
GOALS
⚽ 37' Rafa Obrador
Sebastiano Esposito
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Sebastiano Esposito
Cagliari · 83 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 32% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Serie A: Cagliari vs Torino
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

101%
BALL POSSESSION %
101%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
10
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
344%
PASS ACCURACY %
435%
5
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 37'
    Goal · 0-1
    Rafa Obrador · assist Matteo Prati
    TOR
  2. 39'
    Goal · 1-1
    Sebastiano Esposito · assist Gianluca Gaetano
    CAG
  3. 45'+2
    Goal · 2-1
    Yerry Mina
    CAG
  4. 46'
    Subst
    Guillermo Maripán · assist Luca Marianucci
    TOR
  5. 59'
    Subst
    Cesare Casadei · assist Matteo Prati
    TOR
  6. 59'
    Subst
    Ché Adams · assist Duván Zapata
    TOR
  7. 72'
    Subst
    Michael Folorunsho · assist Alessandro Deiola
    CAG
  8. 72'
    Subst
    Ibrahim Sulemana · assist Michel Adopo
    CAG
  9. 77'
    Subst
    Alieu Njie · assist Marcus Pedersen
    TOR
  10. 82'
    Card · Argument
    Guillermo Maripán
    TOR
  11. 82'
    Card · Argument
    CAG
  12. 82'
    Subst
    Andrea Belotti · assist Paul Mendy
    CAG
  13. 82'
    Card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    Paul Mendy
    CAG
  14. 83'
    Subst
    Juan Rodríguez · assist Sebastiano Esposito
    CAG
  15. 85'
    Subst
    Sandro Kulenovic · assist Emirhan İlkhan
    TOR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CAGLIARI AVG 7.5
TORINO AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
4.0
ON TARGET
3.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
3.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
101.0%
POSSESSION %
101.0%
416.0
PASSES
510.0
344.0%
PASS ACCURACY
435.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
1.0
18.0
OFFSIDES
20.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
13.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CAGLIARI 2 shots
Sebastiano Esposito
1/1
Yerry Mina
1/1
TORINO 3 shots
Che Adams
2/2
Rafael Obrador
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-2-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-3-2-1
3-4-2-1
1
ELIA CAPR
33
ADAM OBER
28
GABRIELE
26
YERRY MIN
22
ALBERTO D
14
ALESSANDR
8
MICHEL AD
10
GIANLUCA
94
SEBASTIAN
2
MARCO PAL
31
PAUL MEND
1
ALBERTO P
77
SANTIAGO
 7.2
23
SAúL COCO
35
LUCA MARI
33
RAFA OBRA
16
MARCUS PE
4
MATTEO PR
6
EMIRHAN İ
18
GIOVANNI
10
NIKOLA VL
91
DUVáN ZAP
SUBSTITUTES · CAGLIARI
24
Giuseppe Cio...
G
25
Ibrahim Sule...
M
12
Alen Sherri
G
9
Semih Kılıçs...
F
29
Gennaro Borr...
F
20
Agustín Alba...
F
19
Andrea Belot...
F
90
Michael Folo...
M
15
Juan Rodrígu...
D
COACH: Fabio Pisacane
SUBSTITUTES · TORINO
79
Zanos Savva
F
94
Wisdom Acqua...
M
81
Franco Israe...
G
83
Sergiu Perci...
M
93
Mattia Pelli...
D
92
Alieu Njie
F
34
Cristiano Bi...
D
25
Niels Nkounk...
D
22
Cesare Casad...
M
20
Valentino La...
D
19
Ché Adams
F
17
Sandro Kulen...
F
13
Guillermo Ma...
D
8
Ivan Ilić
M
99
Lapo Siviero
G
COACH: Leonardo Colucci
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CAG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy
—
CAG MANAGER
Fabio Pisacane
head coach
TOR MANAGER
Leonardo Colucci
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
CAG WINS
3
DRAWS
3
TOR WINS
40%
30%
30%
12 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
27 Dec 2025
Torino
1 – 2
Cagliari
W
24 Jan 2025
Torino
2 – 0
Cagliari
L
20 Oct 2024
Cagliari
3 – 2
Torino
W
26 Jan 2024
Cagliari
1 – 2
Torino
L
21 Aug 2023
Torino
0 – 0
Cagliari
D
CAGLIARI LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W L W
TORINO LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
CAGLIARI #16
Won · already at 40 pts
TORINO #12
Lost · already at 44 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Inter 37 27 5 5 +54 86
D W W D W
2 Napoli 37 22 7 8 +21 73
W L D W L
3 AC Milan 37 20 10 7 +19 70
W L L D W
4 AS Roma 37 22 4 11 +26 70
W W W W D
5 Como 37 19 11 7 +33 68
W W D W L
6 Juventus 37 19 11 7 +27 68
L W D D W
7 Atalanta 37 15 13 9 +15 58
L W D L D
8 Bologna 37 16 7 14 +3 55
W W D L L
9 Lazio 37 13 12 12 0 51
L L W D W
10 Udinese 37 14 8 15 -2 50
L W W D L
11 Sassuolo 37 14 7 16 -3 49
L L W D W
12 Torino 37 12 8 17 -19 44
L W L D D
13 Parma 37 10 12 15 -19 42
L L L W W
14 Genoa 37 10 11 16 -9 41
L D D L W
15 Fiorentina 37 9 14 14 -9 41
W D L D D
16 Cagliari 37 10 10 17 -14 40
W L D W L
17 Lecce 37 9 8 20 -23 35
W L W D D
18 Cremonese 37 8 10 19 -22 34
W W L L D
19 Hellas Verona 37 3 12 22 -34 21
D L D D L
20 Pisa 37 2 12 23 -44 18
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Subst · Sandro Kulenovic
    9th Substitution
  • 83'
    Subst · Juan Rodríguez
    8th Substitution
  • 82'
    Card · Unsportsmanlike conduct · Paul Mendy
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 82'
    Subst · Andrea Belotti
    7th Substitution
  • 82'
    Card · Argument
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 82'
    Card · Argument · Guillermo Maripán
    1st Yellowcard
  • 77'
    Subst · Alieu Njie
    6th Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Ibrahim Sulemana
    5th Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Michael Folorunsho
    4th Substitution
  • 59'
    Subst · Ché Adams
    2nd Substitution
  • 59'
    Subst · Cesare Casadei
    3rd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Guillermo Maripán
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 45'+2
    Goal · 2-1 · Yerry Mina
    3rd Goal
  • 39'
    Goal · 1-1 · Sebastiano Esposito
    2nd Goal
  • 37'
    Goal · 0-1 · Rafa Obrador
    1st Goal
33 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 33 BOOKMAKERS
CAGLIARI WIN
2.26
44.2% implied
↑ best 2.37
DRAW
3.06
32.7% implied
↑ best 3.18
TORINO WIN
3.47
28.8% implied
↑ best 3.82

Market favors Cagliari. AI projects CAGLIARI 78% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CAGLIARI 78% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.22 3.05 3.40 +33.0%
10Bet 2.22 3.05 3.45 +33.0%
1xbet 2.21 3.18 3.80 +32.8%
1xBet 2.37 3.15 3.63 +35.8%
888Sport 2.15 3.00 3.40 +31.5%
888Sport 2.25 2.90 3.30 +33.6%
Bet365 2.30 3.10 3.50 +34.5%
Betano 2.27 3.05 3.55 +33.9%
Betfair 2.10 2.90 3.60 +30.4%
Betfair 2.25 3.00 3.50 +33.6%
BetVictor 2.20 3.10 3.60 +32.5%
BetVictor 2.25 3.00 3.50 +33.6%
bwin 2.25 3.10 3.50 +33.6%
Cashpoint 2.25 3.10 3.47 +33.6%
CloudBet 2.20 3.10 3.70 +32.5%
Coral 2.25 3.10 3.50 +33.6%
Dafabet 2.26 3.15 3.60 +33.8%
Dafabet 2.36 3.10 3.40 +35.6%
Interwetten 2.25 3.10 3.55 +33.6%
Ladbrokes 2.25 3.10 3.40 +33.6%
Macauslot 2.26 2.95 3.05 +33.8%
MansionBet 2.31 3.15 3.35 +34.7%
Marathonbet 2.19 3.12 3.82 +32.3%
Marathonbet 2.29 3.10 3.58 +34.3%
MelBet 2.22 3.08 3.58 +33.0%
Pinnacle 2.27 3.16 3.70 +33.9%
Pinnacle 2.30 3.15 3.63 +34.5%
Sbo 2.36 3.01 3.08 +35.6%
SBO 2.36 3.01 3.08 +35.6%
Unibet 2.23 3.05 3.35 +33.2%
Unibet 2.30 3.05 3.25 +34.5%
William Hill 2.25 2.90 3.40 +33.6%
WilliamHill 2.25 3.00 3.30 +33.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.40 U 2.84
2.5 O 2.28 U 1.63
3.5 O 4.25 U 1.21
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.91 18 bks
NO
1.83 18 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.91
Away -0.5 1.63
Away -0.75 1.45
Away -1 1.26
Away -1.25 1.20
Away -1.5 1.16
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.