GOALSENSE
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Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 37 · SUN, 17 MAY · 16:00 LOCAL
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ATALANTA
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME
BOLOGNA
GOALS
⚽ 78' Riccardo Orsolini
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ATA
1 – 0
BOL
most likely scoreline · 16.8% probability
AI PICKS ATALANTA TO WIN 48%
FT 0 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
ATA WIN 48%
DRAW 35%
BOL WIN 17%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 83% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 83% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Goalless at 71' with 19 min left; Atalanta slight edge but draw highly likely given low chance creation.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ATALANTA FAVORED
48%
Goalless at 71' with 19 min left; Atalanta slight edge but draw highly likely given low chance creation.
+30.0%
WHY BOLOGNA CHALLENGED
17%
0-0 at 71' with only 19 minutes remaining — momentum heavily favours stalemate
+25.0%
Atalanta 3 substitutions (63', 64') suggest tactical shift to attack, but Bologna discipline holding firm
+20.0%
Atalanta home form mediocre (DLWLD) vs Bologna away surprisingly strong (WLLWW) — typical home-away split compressed late
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 0-0 at 71' with only 19 minutes remaining — momentum heavily favours stalemate
  • Atalanta 3 substitutions (63', 64') suggest tactical shift to attack, but Bologna discipline holding firm
  • Atalanta home form mediocre (DLWLD) vs Bologna away surprisingly strong (WLLWW) — typical home-away split compressed late
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 78' RICCARDO O
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.7
4.6
1.2
0.2
·
·
1
16.8
13.1
5.1
1.3
0.3
·
·
2
9.4
7.3
2.9
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
3.5
2.7
1.1
0.3
·
·
·
4
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.8%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.1%
0 — 1 11.7%
2 — 0 9.4%
Top 5 = 65.8% · rest 34.2%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.00
35.0%
2.86
+40.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.12
52.0%
1.92
+10.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.20
83.0%
1.20
-0.2%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.74
48.0%
2.08
-16.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.23
65.0%
1.54
-20.3%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.42
17.0%
5.88
-24.8%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.64
42.0%
2.38
-31.1%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.62
38.0%
2.63
-38.4%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.