GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · NAPOLI 58%
CONF 56 FULL ANALYSIS →
Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 36 · MON, 11 MAY · 18:45 LOCAL
NAPOLI
2ND · 70 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L D W
FT
2 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 1-2
BOLOGNA
D L L L W
· 8TH · 52 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 45+2' Giovanni Di Lorenzo  ⚽ 48' Alisson Santos
GOALS
⚽ 9' Federico Bernardeschi ⚽ 90+1' Jonathan Rowe
Alisson Santos
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Alisson Santos
Napoli · 94 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 29% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 4 CLIPS

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ITALIANO ne fa TRE a CONTE al MARADONA: Napoli-Bologna 2-3 | Serie A Enilive | DAZN Highlights
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Serie A: Napoli vs Bologna
🔴 LIVE | Warm up | NAPOLI-BOLOGNA | Serie A Enil…
Serie A: Napoli vs Bologna
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

90%
BALL POSSESSION %
79%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
10
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
425%
PASS ACCURACY %
386%
7
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 21 events
  1. 9'
    Goal · 0-1
    Federico Bernardeschi · assist Juan Miranda
    BOL
  2. 33'
    Var
    Juan Miranda
    BOL
  3. 34'
    Penalty · 0-2
    Riccardo Orsolini
    BOL
  4. 38'
    Card · Foul
    João Mário
    BOL
  5. 45'+2
    Goal · 1-2
    Giovanni Di Lorenzo 
    NAP
  6. 47'
    Card · Foul
    Federico Bernardeschi
    BOL
  7. 48'
    Goal · 2-2
    Alisson Santos · assist Rasmus Højlund
    NAP
  8. 58'
    Card · Foul
    Eivind Helland
    BOL
  9. 64'
    Subst
    Nadir Zortea · assist João Mário
    BOL
  10. 69'
    Card · Foul
    Jhon Lucumí
    BOL
  11. 73'
    Subst
    Jonathan Rowe · assist Federico Bernardeschi
    BOL
  12. 76'
    Subst
    Billy Gilmour  · assist Stanislav Lobotka
    NAP
  13. 76'
    Subst
    Eljif Elmas · assist Giovane
    NAP
  14. 81'
    Subst
    Nikola Moro · assist Tommaso Pobega
    BOL
  15. 81'
    Subst
    Simon Sohm · assist Lewis Ferguson
    BOL
  16. 82'
    Subst
    Torbjørn Heggem · assist Eivind Helland
    BOL
  17. 84'
    Card · Foul
    NAP
  18. 84'
    Card · Holding
    Matteo Politano 
    NAP
  19. 84'
    Subst
    Leonardo Spinazzola · assist Matteo Politano 
    NAP
  20. 87'
    Subst
    Pasquale Mazzocchi  · assist Miguel Gutiérrez
    NAP
  21. 90'+1
    Goal · 2-3
    Jonathan Rowe
    BOL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NAPOLI AVG 7.1
BOLOGNA AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
5.0
ON TARGET
4.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
4.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
90.0%
POSSESSION %
79.0%
484.0
PASSES
458.0
425.0%
PASS ACCURACY
386.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
1.0
7.0
OFFSIDES
16.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
12.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NAPOLI 7 shots
Scott McTominay
0/3
Alisson Santos
2/2
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
1/2
BOLOGNA 7 shots
Federico Bernardeschi
1/2
Juan Miranda
1/2
Jonathan Rowe
1/2
Riccardo Orsolini
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 38%
62% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
13
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-3-3
3-4-2-1
4-3-3
32
VANJA MIL
4
ALESSANDR
13
AMIR RRAH
 6.9
22
GIOVANNI
3
MIGUEL GU
 6.9
8
SCOTT MCT
 6.7
68
STANISLAV
 7.0
21
MATTEO PO
 8.2
27
ALISSON S
23
GIOVANE
19
RASMUS Hø
25
M. PESSIN
 7.3
33
JUAN MIRA
26
JHON LUCU
5
EIVIND HE
17
JOãO MáRI
19
LEWIS FER
 7.0
8
REMO FREU
4
TOMMASO P
 7.6
10
FEDERICO
9
SANTIAGO
 7.2
7
RICCARDO
SUBSTITUTES · NAPOLI
37
Leonardo Spi...
D
31
Sam Beukema
D
30
Pasquale Maz...
D
99
Frank Anguis...
M
17
M. Olivera
D
5
Juan Jesus
D
1
Alex Meret
G
14
N. Contini
G
6
Billy Gilmou...
M
20
Eljif Elmas
M
26
Antonio Verg...
M
COACH: Antonio Conte
SUBSTITUTES · BOLOGNA
29
Lorenzo De S...
D
22
Charalampos...
D
21
Jens Odgaard
F
30
Benjamín Dom...
F
1
Łukasz Skoru...
G
13
Federico Rav...
G
14
Torbjørn Heg...
D
6
Nikola Moro
M
23
Simon Sohm
M
11
Jonathan Row...
F
20
Nadir Zortea
D
24
Thijs Dallin...
F
COACH: Vincenzo Italiano
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NAP · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BOL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Marco Piccinini, Italy
—
NAP MANAGER
Antonio Conte
head coach
BOL MANAGER
Vincenzo Italiano
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
NAP WINS
3
DRAWS
2
BOL WINS
50%
30%
20%
16 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
09 Nov 2025
Bologna
2 – 0
Napoli
L
07 Apr 2025
Bologna
1 – 1
Napoli
D
25 Aug 2024
Napoli
3 – 0
Bologna
W
11 May 2024
Napoli
0 – 2
Bologna
L
24 Sep 2023
Bologna
0 – 0
Napoli
D
NAPOLI LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L D W
BOLOGNA LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–3 · result locked
NAPOLI #2
Lost · already at 70 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
BOLOGNA #8
Won · already at 52 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Inter 36 27 4 5 +54 85
W W D W W
2 Napoli 36 21 7 8 +18 70
L D W L D
3 Juventus 36 19 11 6 +29 68
W D D W W
4 AC Milan 36 19 10 7 +18 67
L L D W L
5 AS Roma 36 21 4 11 +24 67
W W W D W
6 Como 36 18 11 7 +32 65
W D W L L
7 Atalanta 36 15 13 8 +16 58
W D L D L
8 Bologna 36 15 7 14 +2 52
W D L L W
9 Lazio 36 13 12 11 +2 51
L W D W L
10 Udinese 36 14 8 14 -1 50
W W D L W
11 Sassuolo 36 14 7 15 -2 49
L W D W L
12 Torino 36 12 8 16 -18 44
W L D D W
13 Parma 36 10 12 14 -18 42
L L W W D
14 Genoa 36 10 11 15 -8 41
D D L W W
15 Fiorentina 36 8 14 14 -11 38
D L D D W
16 Cagliari 36 9 10 17 -15 37
L D W L W
17 Lecce 36 8 8 20 -24 32
L W D D L
18 Cremonese 36 7 10 19 -23 31
W L L D L
19 Hellas Verona 36 3 11 22 -34 20
L D D L L
20 Pisa 36 2 12 22 -41 18
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Goal · 2-3 · Jonathan Rowe
    4th Goal
  • 87'
    Subst · Pasquale Mazzocchi 
    9th Substitution
  • 84'
    Subst · Leonardo Spinazzola
    8th Substitution
  • 84'
    Card · Holding · Matteo Politano 
    5th Yellowcard
  • 84'
    Card · Foul
    6th Yellowcard
  • 82'
    Subst · Torbjørn Heggem
    7th Substitution
  • 81'
    Subst · Simon Sohm
    6th Substitution
  • 81'
    Subst · Nikola Moro
    5th Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Eljif Elmas
    3rd Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Billy Gilmour 
    4th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Jonathan Rowe
    2nd Substitution
  • 69'
    Card · Foul · Jhon Lucumí
    4th Yellowcard
  • 64'
    Subst · Nadir Zortea
    1st Substitution
  • 58'
    Card · Foul · Eivind Helland
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 48'
    Goal · 2-2 · Alisson Santos
    3rd Goal
  • 47'
    Card · Foul · Federico Bernardeschi
    2nd Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 2
  • 45'+2
    Goal · 1-2 · Giovanni Di Lorenzo 
    2nd Goal
  • 38'
    Card · Foul · João Mário
    1st Yellowcard
  • 34'
    Penalty · 0-2 · Riccardo Orsolini
    1st Penalty
  • 33'
    Var · Juan Miranda
    Penalty awarded
  • 9'
    Goal · 0-1 · Federico Bernardeschi
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NAPOLI WIN
1.56
64.1% implied
↑ best 1.62
DRAW
3.99
25.1% implied
↑ best 4.22
BOLOGNA WIN
6.08
16.4% implied
↑ best 6.60

Market favors Napoli. AI projects NAPOLI 58%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NAPOLI 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.53 3.85 6.40 +2.4%
1xBet 1.62 4.22 6.25 +2.0%
888Sport 1.53 3.90 5.50 -0.2%
Bet365 1.50 3.75 5.25 -1.0%
Betano 1.60 4.10 6.60 +2.8%
Betfair 1.53 3.90 6.50 +2.6%
BetVictor 1.55 4.00 6.00 +1.3%
Dafabet 1.57 4.20 6.00 +1.3%
Marathonbet 1.58 4.15 6.35 +2.3%
Pinnacle 1.58 4.12 6.30 +2.1%
SBO 1.56 3.85 5.80 +0.8%
Unibet 1.53 4.00 6.25 +2.0%
William Hill 1.57 3.80 5.80 +0.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.29 U 3.49
2.5 O 1.92 U 1.89
3.5 O 3.26 U 1.32
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.94 10 bks
NO
1.80 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.07
Away -0.5 2.45
Away -0.75 2.17
Away -1 1.86
Away -1.25 1.63
Away -1.5 1.50
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.