GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · AS ROMA 56%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 35 · MON, 04 MAY · 18:45 LOCAL
AS ROMA
5TH · 67 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D W L
FT
4 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 3-0
FIORENTINA
D D D W W
· 15TH · 38 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 13' Gianluca Mancini ⚽ 17' Wesley ⚽ 34' Mario Hermoso ⚽ 58' Niccolò Pisilli
GOALS
N. Pisilli
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
N. Pisilli
AS Roma · 91 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 76% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 6 CLIPS

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Highlights: Roma - Fiorentina 4 - 0
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ROMA 4-0 FIORENTINA | SERIE A HIGHLIGHTS 2025-26
POKER giallorosso: Roma-Fiorentina 4-0 | Serie A …
Serie A: AS Roma vs Fiorentina
Serie A: AS Roma vs Fiorentina
🔴 LIVE | Warm up | ROMA-FIORENTINA | Serie A Eni…
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

101%
BALL POSSESSION %
83%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
4
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
543%
PASS ACCURACY %
312%
4
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 13'
    Goal · 1-0
    Gianluca Mancini · assist Niccolò Pisilli
    AS
  2. 17'
    Goal · 2-0
    Wesley · assist Mario Hermoso
    AS
  3. 25'
    Card · Foul
    Marin Pongracic
    FIO
  4. 34'
    Goal · 3-0
    Mario Hermoso · assist Manu Koné
    AS
  5. 46'
    Subst
    Riccardo Braschi · assist Jack Harrison
    FIO
  6. 46'
    Subst
    Fabiano Parisi · assist Albert Gudmundsson
    FIO
  7. 46'
    Subst
    Pietro Comuzzo · assist Marin Pongracic
    FIO
  8. 48'
    Card · Foul
    Mario Hermoso
    AS
  9. 58'
    Goal · 4-0
    Niccolò Pisilli · assist Donyell Malen
    AS
  10. 64'
    Subst
    Stephan El Shaarawy · assist Manu Koné
    AS
  11. 66'
    Card · Argument
    Fabiano Parisi
    FIO
  12. 72'
    Subst
    Paulo Dybala · assist Matías Soulé
    AS
  13. 72'
    Subst
    Daniele Ghilardi · assist Gianluca Mancini
    AS
  14. 75'
    Subst
    Giovanni Fabbian · assist Marco Brescianini
    FIO
  15. 75'
    Subst
    Jacopo Fazzini · assist Nicolò Fagioli
    FIO
  16. 83'
    Subst
    Robinio Vaz · assist Donyell Malen
    AS
  17. 83'
    Subst
    Jan Ziolkowski · assist Mario Hermoso
    AS
  18. 90'+2
    Card · Foul
    Stephan El Shaarawy
    AS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AS ROMA AVG 8.1
FIORENTINA AVG 6.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
4.0
7.0
ON TARGET
1.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
4.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
101.0%
POSSESSION %
83.0%
599.0
PASSES
373.0
543.0%
PASS ACCURACY
312.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
5.0
19.0
OFFSIDES
15.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
10.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AS ROMA 5 shots
Donyell Malen
2/2
N. Pisilli
1/1
Wesley
1/1
Gianluca Mancini
1/1
FIORENTINA 2 shots
Manor Solomon
1/1
Riccardo Braschi
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 61%
39% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-3-3
3-4-2-1
4-3-3
99
MILE SVIL
22
MARIO HER
5
EVAN NDIC
 7.7
23
GIANLUCA
 8.5
43
WESLEY
 8.0
17
MANU KONé
 8.6
61
N. PISILL
19
ZEKI ÇELI
4
BRYAN CRI
18
M. SOULé
 7.9
14
DONYELL M
43
DAVID DE
21
ROBIN GOS
6
LUCA RANI
5
MARIN PON
2
DODô
 6.9
27
C. NDOUR
44
NICOLò FA
4
MARCO BRE
 6.5
19
MANOR SOL
 6.7
10
ALBERT GU
17
JACK HARR
SUBSTITUTES · AS ROMA
95
Pierluigi Go...
G
12
K. Tsimikas
D
2
Devyne Rensc...
D
3
Angeliño
D
70
Giorgio De M...
G
78
R. Vaz
F
24
Jan Ziółkows...
D
21
Paulo Dybala
F
87
Daniele Ghil...
D
92
S. El Shaara...
F
20
Lorenzo Vent...
F
COACH: Piero Gasperini Gian
SUBSTITUTES · FIORENTINA
1
Luca Lezzeri...
G
60
Eddy Kouadio
D
3
Daniele Ruga...
D
72
Antonio Pirr...
M
53
Oliver Chris...
G
22
Jacopo Fazzi...
M
80
Giovanni Fab...
M
61
Riccardo Bra...
F
15
Pietro Comuz...
D
65
Fabiano Pari...
D
8
R. Mandragor...
M
COACH: Paolo Vanoli
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FIO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
L. Zufferli
—
AS MANAGER
Piero Gasperini Gian
head coach
FIO MANAGER
Paolo Vanoli
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
AS WINS
2
DRAWS
3
FIO WINS
50%
20%
30%
15 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
05 Oct 2025
Fiorentina
1 – 2
AS Roma
W
04 May 2025
AS Roma
1 – 0
Fiorentina
W
27 Oct 2024
Fiorentina
5 – 1
AS Roma
L
10 Mar 2024
Fiorentina
2 – 2
AS Roma
D
10 Dec 2023
AS Roma
1 – 1
Fiorentina
D
AS ROMA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W L
FIORENTINA LAST 5 OVERALL
D D D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–0 · result locked
AS ROMA #5
Won · already at 67 pts
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
FIORENTINA #15
Lost · already at 38 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Inter 36 27 4 5 +54 85
W W D W W
2 Napoli 36 21 7 8 +18 70
L D W L D
3 Juventus 36 19 11 6 +29 68
W D D W W
4 AC Milan 36 19 10 7 +18 67
L L D W L
5 AS Roma 36 21 4 11 +24 67
W W W D W
6 Como 36 18 11 7 +32 65
W D W L L
7 Atalanta 36 15 13 8 +16 58
W D L D L
8 Bologna 36 15 7 14 +2 52
W D L L W
9 Lazio 36 13 12 11 +2 51
L W D W L
10 Udinese 36 14 8 14 -1 50
W W D L W
11 Sassuolo 36 14 7 15 -2 49
L W D W L
12 Torino 36 12 8 16 -18 44
W L D D W
13 Parma 36 10 12 14 -18 42
L L W W D
14 Genoa 36 10 11 15 -8 41
D D L W W
15 Fiorentina 36 8 14 14 -11 38
D L D D W
16 Cagliari 36 9 10 17 -15 37
L D W L W
17 Lecce 36 8 8 20 -24 32
L W D D L
18 Cremonese 36 7 10 19 -23 31
W L L D L
19 Hellas Verona 36 3 11 22 -34 20
L D D L L
20 Pisa 36 2 12 22 -41 18
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Card · Foul · Stephan El Shaarawy
    4th Yellowcard
  • 83'
    Subst · Jan Ziolkowski
    10th Substitution
  • 83'
    Subst · Robinio Vaz
    9th Substitution
  • 75'
    Subst · Jacopo Fazzini
    8th Substitution
  • 75'
    Subst · Giovanni Fabbian
    7th Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Daniele Ghilardi
    6th Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Paulo Dybala
    5th Substitution
  • 66'
    Card · Argument · Fabiano Parisi
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 64'
    Subst · Stephan El Shaarawy
    4th Substitution
  • 58'
    Goal · 4-0 · Niccolò Pisilli
    4th Goal
  • 48'
    Card · Foul · Mario Hermoso
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst · Pietro Comuzzo
    2nd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Fabiano Parisi
    3rd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Riccardo Braschi
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 3 – 0
  • 34'
    Goal · 3-0 · Mario Hermoso
    3rd Goal
  • 25'
    Card · Foul · Marin Pongracic
    1st Yellowcard
  • 17'
    Goal · 2-0 · Wesley
    2nd Goal
  • 13'
    Goal · 1-0 · Gianluca Mancini
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
AS ROMA WIN
1.53
65.4% implied
↑ best 1.63
DRAW
4.16
24% implied
↑ best 4.33
FIORENTINA WIN
6.23
16.1% implied
↑ best 7.31

Market favors AS Roma. AI projects AS ROMA 56%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AS ROMA 56% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.54 4.20 5.60 +2.1%
1xBet 1.54 4.32 7.31 +6.3%
888Sport 1.50 3.90 6.00 +3.3%
Bet365 1.53 4.33 5.75 +2.6%
Betano 1.57 4.30 6.30 +4.1%
Betfair 1.50 4.00 6.00 +3.3%
BetVictor 1.50 4.20 6.50 +4.6%
Dafabet 1.63 4.20 5.40 +1.5%
Marathonbet 1.52 4.25 7.20 +6.1%
Pinnacle 1.55 4.22 6.65 +5.0%
SBO 1.52 4.03 5.90 +3.1%
Unibet 1.49 4.25 6.40 +4.4%
William Hill 1.50 3.90 6.00 +3.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.25 U 3.74
2.5 O 1.83 U 1.99
3.5 O 3.01 U 1.37
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.88 10 bks
NO
1.84 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.21
Away -0.5 2.51
Away -0.75 2.25
Away -1 1.93
Away -1.25 1.69
Away -1.5 1.53
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.