GOALSENSE
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Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 35 · FRI, 01 MAY · 18:45 LOCAL
← Match Page
PISA
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME
LECCE
⚽ 56' Mehdi Léris
GOALS
⚽ 52' Lameck Banda ⚽ 65' Walid Cheddira
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
PIS
1 – 1
LEC
most likely scoreline · 13.9% probability
AI PICKS PISA TO WIN 38%
FT 1 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
PIS WIN 38%
DRAW 32%
LEC WIN 30%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 70% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 70% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Pisa's catastrophic form (0/5) vs Lecce's relative stability; away team slight edge despite poor road record.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY PISA FAVORED
38%
Pisa in freefall (LLLLL overall, LLWLL at home) — severe form crisis
+25.0%
Bookmaker heavily discounts Pisa win (27% implied) — our 38% suggests value, but form skew justified
+15.0%
WHY LECCE CHALLENGED
30%
Lecce structurally stronger (29 pts vs 18, +15 GD) but away form weak (DLLLL)
+20.0%
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 52' LAMECK BAN ⚽ 56' MEHDI LéR ⚽ 65' WALID CHED
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.1
6.4
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
1
13.9
13.5
6.6
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.2
7.0
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.5
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 13.9%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.1%
2 — 0 7.2%
Top 5 = 61.3% · rest 38.7%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.52
38.0%
2.63
+33.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.62
70.0%
1.43
+13.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.57
43.0%
2.33
+10.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.10
48.0%
2.08
+0.9%
—
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.97
32.0%
3.13
-5.0%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.37
68.0%
1.47
-7.1%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.29
62.0%
1.61
-19.8%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.31
30.0%
3.33
-30.7%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.