GOALSENSE
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Serie A · SUN, 19 OCT · 18:45 LOCAL
AC MILAN
5TH · 70 PTS · LAST 5:
L W L L D
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
FIORENTINA
D W D L D
· 15TH · 42 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 63' Rafael Leão ⚽ 86' Rafael Leão (P)
GOALS
⚽ 55' Robin Gosens
Rafael Leão
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Rafael Leão
AC Milan · 89 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 19% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.98
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.08
56%
BALL POSSESSION %
44%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
5
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
85%
1
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 50'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Zachary Athekame
    AC
  2. 54'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
    FIO
  3. 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Robin Gosens
    FIO
  4. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Zachary Athekame · assist Santiago Giménez
    AC
  5. 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Youssouf Fofana
    AC
  6. 63'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Rafael Leão · assist Strahinja Pavlović
    AC
  7. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Robin Gosens · assist F. Parisi
    FIO
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jacopo Fazzini · assist A. Guðmundsson
    FIO
  9. 74'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fikayo Tomori
    AC
  10. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Moise Kean · assist Roberto Piccoli
    FIO
  11. 84'
    Var · Penalty confirmed
    Santiago Giménez
    AC
  12. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    F. Parisi
    FIO
  13. 86'
    Goal · Penalty
    Rafael Leão
    AC
  14. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Hans Nicolussi Caviglia · assist Simon Sohm
    FIO
  15. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luca Ranieri
    FIO
  16. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Rolando Mandragora · assist E. Džeko
    FIO
  17. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alexis Saelemaekers · assist Koni De Winter
    AC
  18. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Rafael Leão · assist Cheveyo Mul-Balentien
    AC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AC MILAN AVG 7.5
FIORENTINA AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.0
xG
1.1
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
4.0
ON TARGET
1.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
56.0%
POSSESSION %
44.0%
485.0
PASSES
362.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
85.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
12.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AC MILAN 6 shots
Rafael Leão
2/2
Santiago Giménez
1/2
Strahinja Pavlović
0/1
Fikayo Tomori
0/1
FIORENTINA 1 shots
Robin Gosens
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.98 – 1.08
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT 63' 86' 55' H 1.98 A 1.08 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-2 vs 3-5-1-1
3-5-2
3-5-1-1
16
MIKE MAIG
 7.3
31
STRAHINJA
46
MATTEO GA
 7.0
23
FIKAYO TO
33
DAVIDE BA
4
SAMUELE R
 7.5
14
LUKA MODR
19
YOUSSOUF
24
ZACHARY A
 8.5
10
RAFAEL LE
56
ALEXIS SA
 7.0
43
DAVID DE
6
LUCA RANI
18
PABLO MAR
5
MARIN PON
 6.6
21
ROBIN GOS
 7.2
44
NICOLò FA
14
HANS NICO
8
ROLANDO M
2
DODô
 6.9
22
JACOPO FA
20
MOISE KEA
SUBSTITUTES · AC MILAN
7
Santiago Gim...
F
42
Emanuele Sal...
M
27
David Odogu
D
5
Koni De Wint...
D
37
Matteo Pitta...
G
1
Pietro Terra...
G
25
Cheveyo Mul-...
F
COACH: Marco Landucci
SUBSTITUTES · FIORENTINA
7
Simon Sohm
M
11
Abdelhamid S...
M
27
Cher Ndour
M
9
E. Džeko
F
10
A. Guðmundss...
F
65
F. Parisi
D
60
Eddy Kouadio
D
29
Niccolò Fort...
D
26
Mattia Viti
D
15
Pietro Comuz...
D
30
Tommaso Mart...
G
1
Luca Lezzeri...
G
91
Roberto Picc...
F
COACH: Stefano Pioli
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FIO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
TBA
~24h before kick-off
AC MANAGER
Marco Landucci
head coach
FIO MANAGER
Stefano Pioli
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
AC WINS
2
DRAWS
3
FIO WINS
50%
20%
30%
16 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
11 Jan 2026
Fiorentina
1 – 1
AC Milan
D
05 Apr 2025
AC Milan
2 – 2
Fiorentina
D
06 Oct 2024
Fiorentina
2 – 1
AC Milan
L
30 Mar 2024
Fiorentina
1 – 2
AC Milan
W
25 Nov 2023
AC Milan
1 – 0
Fiorentina
W
AC MILAN LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L D
FIORENTINA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
AC MILAN #5
Won · already at 70 pts
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
FIORENTINA #15
Lost · already at 42 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 +54 87
D D W W D
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 +22 76
W W L D W
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 +28 73
W W W W W
4 Como 38 20 11 7 +36 71
W W W D W
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 +18 70
L W L L D
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 +27 69
D L W D D
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 +15 59
D L W D L
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 +3 56
D W W D L
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 +1 54
W L L W D
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 -3 50
L L W W D
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 -4 49
L L L W D
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 -19 45
D L W L D
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 -18 45
W L L L W
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 -13 43
W W L D W
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 -9 42
D W D L D
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 -10 41
L L D D L
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 -22 38
W W L W D
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 -25 34
L W W L L
19 Hellas Verona 38 3 12 23 -36 21
L D L D D
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 -45 18
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Rafael Leão
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alexis Saelemaekers
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Rolando Mandragora
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luca Ranieri
    Argument
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
  • 86'
    Goal · Penalty · Rafael Leão
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · F. Parisi
    Foul
  • 84'
    Var · Penalty confirmed · Santiago Giménez
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Moise Kean
  • 74'
    Card · Yellow Card · Fikayo Tomori
    Foul
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jacopo Fazzini
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Robin Gosens
  • 63'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Rafael Leão
  • 60'
    Card · Yellow Card · Youssouf Fofana
    Argument
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Zachary Athekame
  • 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Robin Gosens
  • 54'
    Card · Yellow Card · Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
    Foul
  • 50'
    Card · Yellow Card · Zachary Athekame
    Handball
MATCH WINNER ODDS
Bookmaker odds not yet published. Check back closer to kickoff.