GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · GUIMARAES 45%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SAT, 08 AUG · 17:00 LOCAL
GUIMARAES
9TH · 42 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L W W
55'
0 – 1
HT · 0-0
AROUCA
W W D L W
· 8TH · 42 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 53' Ivan Barbero
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Arouca · 53'

LIVE
AROUCA GUIMARAE

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

GUIMARAE AROUCA
⚽ 53' GUIMARAES AROUCA 25' 40' 55'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 55'

1.23
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.01
54%
BALL POSSESSION %
46%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
1
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
0
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
3
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 1 events
  1. 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ivan Barbero · assist Naïs Djouahra
    ARO
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.2
xG
0.0
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
1.0
1.0
ON TARGET
0.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
0.0
6.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
54.0%
POSSESSION %
46.0%
295.0
PASSES
263.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
1.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
4.0
FOULS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
GUIMARAES 1 shots
Gonçalo Nogueira
0/1
AROUCA 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.23 – 0.01
1 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.0 HT 53' H 1.23 A 0.01 KO 30' 60' 55'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 0%
100% A
0
EVENTS LOGGED
1
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
48
OLIWIER Z
 7.2
13
JOãO MEND
28
THIAGO BA
 7.2
4
ÓSCAR RIV
 7.0
2
MIGUEL MA
 7.3
8
GONçALO N
 7.3
16
BENI MUKE
7
OUMAR CAM
20
SAMU
11
GUSTAVO S
24
ALIOUNE N
12
IGNACIO D
21
MATEO FLO
 7.2
3
JOSE FONT
 7.2
15
JAVI SáNC
 7.3
28
TIAGO ESG
 6.9
8
TAICHI FU
 6.7
6
ESPEN VAN
7
NAïS DJOU
14
HYUN-JU L
19
ALFONSO T
17
IVAN BARB
SUBSTITUTES · GUIMARAES
44
Lohann Douce...
M
17
Miguel Nogue...
M
18
Telmo Arcanj...
M
56
Santi Verdi
M
82
Francisco Di...
D
23
Tony Strata
D
5
Franck Ahmed...
D
98
Lucas Furtad...
G
22
Juan Castill...
G
6
Matija Mitro...
M
COACH: Tiago Margarido
SUBSTITUTES · AROUCA
10
Pablo Gozálb...
M
24
Brian Mansil...
F
23
Dylan Nandín
F
9
Fally Mayulu
F
89
Pedro Santos
M
5
Boris Popovi...
D
4
Diogo Montei...
D
18
Orest Lebede...
D
37
Mario Climen...
D
71
Martim Duart...
G
1
Jakub Vinarč...
G
77
Si-hoo Park
F
COACH: Vasco Seabra
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
GUI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ARO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Miguel Nogueira, Portugal
—
GUI MANAGER
Tiago Margarido
head coach
ARO MANAGER
Vasco Seabra
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
GUI WINS
4
DRAWS
3
ARO WINS
30%
40%
30%
16 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
07 Feb 2026
Arouca
3 – 2
Guimaraes
L
30 Aug 2025
Guimaraes
1 – 1
Arouca
D
18 Jan 2025
Guimaraes
2 – 2
Arouca
D
12 Aug 2024
Arouca
0 – 1
Guimaraes
W
18 May 2024
Arouca
1 – 3
Guimaraes
W
GUIMARAES LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L W W
AROUCA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D L W
LIVE IMPACT Currently 0–1 · scenario projection
GUIMARAES #9
If loss holds: 42 pts
AROUCA #8
If win holds: 45 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ivan Barbero
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
GUIMARAES WIN
1.92
52.1% implied
↑ best 1.98
DRAW
3.47
28.8% implied
↑ best 3.65
AROUCA WIN
3.90
25.6% implied
↑ best 4.01

Market favors Guimaraes. AI projects GUIMARAES 45%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS GUIMARAES 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.45 3.90 +9.0%
1xBet 1.98 3.62 4.01 +10.4%
888Sport 1.91 3.40 3.80 +8.6%
Bet365 1.91 3.40 4.00 +8.6%
Betano 1.93 3.50 4.00 +9.4%
Betfair 1.91 3.50 4.00 +9.4%
BetVictor 1.87 3.40 3.75 +8.6%
Dafabet 1.97 3.55 4.00 +9.8%
Marathonbet 1.90 3.48 3.86 +9.3%
Pinnacle 1.93 3.65 4.00 +10.6%
SBO 1.86 3.19 3.57 +6.7%
Superbet 1.95 3.50 3.90 +9.4%
Unibet 1.88 3.50 3.95 +9.4%
William Hill 1.91 3.40 3.80 +8.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.28 U 3.48
2.5 O 1.91 U 1.87
3.5 O 3.24 U 1.31
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.75 11 bks
NO
1.97 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.20
Away -0.5 1.89
Away -0.75 1.66
Away -1 1.43
Away -1.25 1.34
Away -1.5 1.28
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.