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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · GUADALAJARA CHIVAS 42%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · CLAUSURA - 17 · SUN 26 APR · 01:07 LOCAL
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS
2ND · 36 PTS · LAST 5:
D W D W L
FT
0 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
CLUB TIJUANA
W D D L W
· 9TH · 23 PTS · LAST 5
Efrain Alvarez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Efrain Alvarez
Guadalajara Chivas · 70 mins
· 38% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap

awaiting upload
Goals, key moments, post-match interviews
Highlightly publishes 30 min – 6 h after final whistle
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.13
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.25
68%
BALL POSSESSION %
32%
22
TOTAL SHOTS
13
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
74%
8
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 22'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brian Gutierrez
    GUA
  2. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Daniel Aguirre
    GUA
  3. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Diego Abreu · assist Mourad El Ghezouani
    CLU
  4. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ramiro Árciga · assist Domingo Blanco
    CLU
  5. 65'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Omar Govea
    GUA
  6. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Brian Gutierrez · assist Ricardo Marín
    GUA
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Efrain Alvarez
    GUA
  8. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Gilberto Mora · assist Aldahir Pérez
    CLU
  9. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jesús Gómez
    CLU
  10. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Bryan González · assist Hugo Camberos
    GUA
  11. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    José Rivero · assist Ángel Zapata
    CLU
  12. 90'+8
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Daniel Aguirre · assist Miguel Gómez
    GUA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS AVG 7.6
CLUB TIJUANA AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.1
xG
1.3
22.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
4.0
ON TARGET
3.0
10.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
8.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
68.0%
POSSESSION %
32.0%
594.0
PASSES
282.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
74.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
2.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
8.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS 6 shots
Daniel Aguirre
1/3
Diego Campillo
0/2
Efrain Alvarez
1/1
CLUB TIJUANA 3 shots
José Rivero
1/2
Unai Bilbao
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.13 – 1.25
1.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.1 0.0 HT H 2.13 A 1.25 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-1-4-1
3-4-2-1
4-1-4-1
7.5
13
OSCAR WHA
4
MIGUEL TA
 7.2
19
DIEGO CAM
 7.2
23
DANIEL AG
5
BRYAN GON
6
OMAR GOVE
 7.9
11
BRIAN GUT
37
RICHARD L
 8.3
10
EFRAIN AL
25
ROBERTO A
34
ARMANDO G
 7.9
2
ANTONIO R
11
ADONIS PR
 7.5
6
JESúS GóM
 7.3
12
JACKSON P
 7.6
4
UNAI BILB
8
IVáN TONA
19
GILBERTO
 7.3
22
JOSé RIVE
10
KEVIN CAS
17
RAMIRO ÁR
31
DIEGO ABR
SUBSTITUTES · GUADALAJARA CHIVAS
225
Cristian Sam...
M
18
Jonathan Per...
M
3
Gilberto Sep...
D
1
Raúl Rangel
G
24
Miguel Gómez
D
31
Yael Padilla
F
26
Hugo Cambero...
M
17
Ricardo Marí...
F
226
Santiago San...
M
67
Sergio Arman...
F
COACH: Gabriel Milito
SUBSTITUTES · CLUB TIJUANA
34
Frank Boya
M
33
Pablo Nicolá...
D
16
Jesús Vega
D
32
Diogo Bagüí
D
29
Jorge Hernán...
G
20
Ángel Zapata
M
26
Aldahir Pére...
M
9
Mourad El Gh...
F
27
Domingo Blan...
M
30
Josef Martin...
F
COACH: Sebastian Abreu
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
GUA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CLU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
K. I. Garcia Mendoza
—
GUA MANAGER
Gabriel Milito
head coach
CLU MANAGER
Sebastian Abreu
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
GUA WINS
3
DRAWS
1
CLU WINS
60%
30%
10%
17 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
23 Aug 25
Club Tijuana
3 – 3
Guadalajara Chivas
D
10 Feb 25
Guadalajara Chivas
2 – 1
Club Tijuana
W
13 Jul 24
Club Tijuana
4 – 2
Guadalajara Chivas
L
27 Jan 24
Club Tijuana
1 – 1
Guadalajara Chivas
D
23 Aug 23
Guadalajara Chivas
1 – 0
Club Tijuana
W
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D W L
CLUB TIJUANA LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–0 · result locked
GUADALAJARA CHIVAS #2
Lost · already at 36 pts
Playoffs
CLUB TIJUANA #9
Lost · already at 23 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
W W W W D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
D D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D D D L
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L L W W W
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
W L L D L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
W D W D L
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
W D D W L
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
L W W D D
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+8
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Daniel Aguirre
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · José Rivero
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Bryan González
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jesús Gómez
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Gilberto Mora
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Efrain Alvarez
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Brian Gutierrez
  • 65'
    Card · Yellow Card · Omar Govea
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ramiro Árciga
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Diego Abreu
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Daniel Aguirre
  • 22'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brian Gutierrez
22 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 22 BOOKMAKERS
GUADALAJARA CHIV WIN
1.38
72.5% implied
↑ best 1.44
DRAW
4.85
20.6% implied
↑ best 5.20
CLUB TIJUANA WIN
6.72
14.9% implied
↑ best 7.60

Market favors Guadalajara Chivas. AI projects GUADALAJARA CHIVAS 42%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS GUADALAJARA CHIVAS 42% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.39 4.60 7.60 +12.8%
10Bet 1.39 4.60 7.60 +12.8%
1xbet 1.42 5.07 7.10 +12.3%
1xBet 1.41 4.90 6.23 +11.6%
Bet365 1.42 5.00 7.00 +12.0%
Betano 1.44 5.10 7.50 +12.7%
Betfair 1.30 4.75 6.50 +10.9%
Betfair 1.33 5.00 7.00 +12.0%
BetVictor 1.36 5.00 7.50 +12.7%
bwin 1.41 4.80 6.50 +11.2%
Cashpoint 1.40 4.80 6.35 +11.2%
CloudBet 1.40 5.10 7.10 +12.4%
Coral 1.36 4.50 6.00 +9.8%
Dafabet 1.41 5.20 6.80 +12.8%
Dafabet 1.41 5.20 6.80 +12.8%
HKJC 1.27 4.85 7.00 +11.7%
Interwetten 1.40 4.70 6.75 +11.2%
Ladbrokes 1.36 4.50 6.00 +9.8%
MansionBet 1.40 4.75 6.30 +10.9%
Marathonbet 1.39 4.95 6.35 +11.8%
Marathonbet 1.40 4.90 6.20 +11.6%
MelBet 1.40 5.00 7.00 +12.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.29
2.5 O 1.48 U 2.51
3.5 O 2.24 U 1.62
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.69 14 bks
NO
2.04 14 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.57
Away -0.5 2.97
Away -0.75 2.57
Away -1 2.28
Away -1.25 1.94
Away -1.5 1.75
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.