GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · GRONINGEN 38%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SUN, 09 AUG · 12:30 LOCAL
GRONINGEN
9TH · 48 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W L L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
UTRECHT
D W W W W
· 6TH · 53 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 8' Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson ⚽ 48' Thom van Bergen
GOALS
⚽ 79' Adrian Blake
Etienne Vaessen
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Etienne Vaessen
Groningen · 95 mins
· 34% pass acc
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.55
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.19
59%
BALL POSSESSION %
41%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
14
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
74%
5
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
    GRO
  2. 30'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Marco Rente · assist Elvis Van der Laan
    GRO
  3. 34'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
    GRO
  4. 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Thom van Bergen
    GRO
  5. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ferdinand Pohl · assist Davy van den Berg
    UTR
  6. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    David Min · assist Zidane Iqbal
    UTR
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Yoann Cathline · assist Adrian Blake
    UTR
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Siebe Horemans · assist Guus Offerhaus
    UTR
  9. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Wouter Prins · assist Tyrique Mercera
    GRO
  10. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Adrian Blake · assist Davy van den Berg
    UTR
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson · assist Travis Hernes
    GRO
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Pelle Clement · assist Ryan Metu
    GRO
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ángel Alarcón · assist Kevin Paredes
    UTR
  14. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dani De Wit
    UTR
  15. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Joris van Overeem
    UTR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
GRONINGEN AVG 7.9
UTRECHT AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
2.2
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
5.0
ON TARGET
7.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
7.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
59.0%
POSSESSION %
41.0%
441.0
PASSES
303.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
74.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
1.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
16.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
6.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
GRONINGEN 7 shots
Thom van Bergen
2/4
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
3/3
UTRECHT 2 shots
Adrian Blake
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.55 – 2.19
1.8 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 8' 48' 79' H 1.55 A 2.19 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
4-2-3-1
4-3-3
8.6
1
ETIENNE V
2
WOUTER PR
5
MARCO REN
3
THIJMEN B
14
JORG SCHR
 7.2
18
TYGO LAND
8
TIKA DE J
24
PELLE CLE
 7.6
26
THOM VAN
 8.6
17
DAVID VAN
 7.3
9
BRYNJóLFU
25
MICHAEL B
 7.2
92
ARTHUR ZA
44
MIKE EERD
2
SIEBE HOR
23
NIKLAS VE
53
FERDINAND
8
JORIS VAN
20
DANI DE W
10
YOANN CAT
9
DAVID MIN
11
ÁNGEL ALA
SUBSTITUTES · GRONINGEN
53
Jahelille Ha...
M
44
Jismerai Dil...
M
16
Alvin Nordin
M
20
Nils Eggens
F
7
Travis Herne...
M
12
Nikolas Bran...
D
29
Tyrique Merc...
D
42
Jesper Mosse...
D
13
Lovro Štublj...
G
31
Rijk Janse
G
15
Elvis Van de...
D
34
Ryan Metu
F
COACH: Dick Lukkien
SUBSTITUTES · UTRECHT
47
Emmanuel Owe...
F
14
Zidane Iqbal
M
30
Kevin Parede...
M
34
Davy van den...
M
6
Guus Offerha...
D
32
Per Klooster...
D
33
Kevin Gadell...
G
15
Adrian Blake
F
COACH: Anthony Correia
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
GRO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

UTR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Joey Kooij, Netherlands
—
GRO MANAGER
Dick Lukkien
head coach
UTR MANAGER
Anthony Correia
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
GRO WINS
1
DRAWS
6
UTR WINS
22.2%
11.1%
66.7%
8 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
2.22
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Feb 2026
Groningen
1 – 2
Utrecht
L
14 Sep 2025
Utrecht
0 – 1
Groningen
W
13 Apr 2025
Utrecht
3 – 1
Groningen
L
20 Oct 2024
Groningen
0 – 1
Utrecht
L
07 Apr 2023
Groningen
1 – 2
Utrecht
L
GRONINGEN LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W L L
UTRECHT LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
GRONINGEN #9
Won · already at 48 pts
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
UTRECHT #6
Lost · already at 53 pts
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 +56 84
W W D W W
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 +26 65
W D W W D
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 +24 59
W L D D D
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 +19 58
L W D D W
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 +21 56
D L D W W
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 +13 53
W W W L W
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 +7 52
D D D D W
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 +4 51
D L W W L
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 +4 48
W W L L D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 -22 43
L L D L L
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 -14 39
L W L L D
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 +1 38
L L D D D
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 -13 38
W D W W D
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 -6 37
W W D W L
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 -27 37
L L W L D
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 -20 32
L D L W L
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 -23 29
D W L L D
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 -50 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Joris van Overeem
    Elbowing
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dani De Wit
    Roughing
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ángel Alarcón
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Pelle Clement
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Adrian Blake
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Wouter Prins
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Siebe Horemans
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Yoann Cathline
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · David Min
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ferdinand Pohl
  • 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Thom van Bergen
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 34'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
  • 30'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Marco Rente
  • 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
GRONINGEN WIN
2.24
44.6% implied
↑ best 2.32
DRAW
3.41
29.3% implied
↑ best 3.60
UTRECHT WIN
3.09
32.4% implied
↑ best 3.22

Market favors Groningen. AI projects GRONINGEN 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS GRONINGEN 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.18 3.45 3.10 +7.0%
1xBet 2.26 3.46 3.22 +7.1%
888Sport 2.25 3.20 2.90 +4.8%
Bet365 2.20 3.50 3.20 +7.4%
Betano 2.27 3.50 3.10 +7.4%
Betfair 2.20 3.40 3.10 +6.6%
BetVictor 2.20 3.60 3.13 +8.2%
Dafabet 2.32 3.45 3.15 +7.0%
Marathonbet 2.21 3.36 3.10 +6.2%
Pinnacle 2.24 3.56 3.21 +7.9%
SBO 2.21 3.34 2.96 +6.1%
Superbet 2.30 3.40 3.10 +6.6%
Unibet 2.25 3.30 3.05 +5.7%
William Hill 2.25 3.20 2.90 +4.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 3.94
2.5 O 1.77 U 2.03
3.5 O 2.86 U 1.39
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.60 11 bks
NO
2.21 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.89
Away -0.5 1.65
Away -0.75 1.47
Away -1 1.30
Away -1.25 1.24
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.