GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · GIL VICENTE 58%
CONF 56 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · MON 27 APR · 19:15 LOCAL
GIL VICENTE
6TH · 46 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W L D
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
CASA PIA
L D L D L
· 16TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 31' Murilo ⚽ 73' Murilo (P)
GOALS
⚽ 45+7' Cassiano (P)
Murilo
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Murilo
GIL Vicente · 87 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 16% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap

awaiting upload
Goals, key moments, post-match interviews
Highlightly publishes 30 min – 6 h after final whistle
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.71
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.25
56%
BALL POSSESSION %
44%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
7
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
73%
4
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 26'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rafael Brito
    CAS
  2. 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Murilo
    GIL
  3. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ivan Mandić
    CAS
  4. 45'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Zé Carlos
    GIL
  5. 45'+7
    Goal · Penalty
    Cassiano
    CAS
  6. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Martin Fernández · assist Agustín Moreira
    GIL
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Hector Hernandez · assist Gustavo Varela
    GIL
  8. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Zé Carlos
    GIL
  9. 70'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Pedro Rosas
    CAS
  10. 73'
    Goal · Penalty
    Murilo
    GIL
  11. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Pedro Rosas · assist Abdu Conté
    CAS
  12. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Joao Marques · assist Dailon Rocha Livramento
    CAS
  13. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Andre Geraldes
    CAS
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jonathan Mutombo · assist Hevertton Santos
    GIL
  15. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Iyad Mohamed · assist Sebastian Perez
    CAS
  16. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Cassiano · assist Claudio Mendes
    CAS
  17. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jérémy Livolant · assist Lawrence Ofori
    CAS
  18. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Murilo · assist Sergio Bermejo
    GIL
  19. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Zé Carlos · assist Antonio Espigares
    GIL
  20. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dani Figueira
    GIL
  21. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gustavo Varela
    GIL
  22. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Antonio Espigares
    GIL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
GIL VICENTE AVG 7.3
CASA PIA AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.7
xG
1.3
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
4.0
ON TARGET
2.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
5.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
56.0%
POSSESSION %
44.0%
391.0
PASSES
319.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
73.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
3.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
17.0
5.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
GIL VICENTE 4 shots
Murilo
2/3
Luís Esteves
0/1
CASA PIA 4 shots
Cassiano
2/3
Jérémy Livolant
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.71 – 1.25
1.4 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 31' 73' 45' H 1.71 A 1.25 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 55%
45% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-3
4-2-3-1
3-4-3
99
DANI FIGU
45
JONATHAN
 7.2
39
JONATHAN
4
MARVIN EL
2
Zé CARLOS
 7.0
10
LUíS ESTE
 6.9
6
Zé CARLOS
32
MARTIN FE
 6.9
95
SANTI GAR
 8.5
77
MURILO
23
HECTOR HE
1
PATRICK S
43
DAVID SOU
18
ANDRE GER
 7.3
4
JOãO GOUL
 7.2
75
PEDRO ROS
8
RAFAEL BR
 7.0
24
IYAD MOHA
72
GAIZKA LA
11
JOAO MARQ
 6.9
90
CASSIANO
 6.9
29
JéRéMY LI
SUBSTITUTES · GIL VICENTE
11
Joelson Fern...
F
17
Sergio Berme...
F
20
Hevertton Sa...
D
48
Antonio Espi...
D
30
Lucão
G
89
Gustavo Vare...
F
27
Agustín More...
F
29
Carlos Eduar...
F
COACH: Cesar Peixoto
SUBSTITUTES · CASA PIA
21
Tiago Morais
F
80
Lawrence Ofo...
M
19
Kevin Prieto
F
42
Sebastian Pe...
M
3
Domingos Jos...
D
95
Ivan Mandić
G
10
Dailon Rocha...
F
5
Abdu Conté
D
99
Claudio Mend...
F
COACH: Alvaro Pacheco
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
GIL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa, Portugal
—
GIL MANAGER
Cesar Peixoto
head coach
CAS MANAGER
Alvaro Pacheco
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
GIL WINS
4
DRAWS
1
CAS WINS
37.5%
50%
12.5%
8 – 4
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
1.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 8
13 Dec 25
Casa Pia
1 – 1
GIL Vicente
D
22 Feb 25
Casa Pia
1 – 0
GIL Vicente
L
22 Sep 24
GIL Vicente
1 – 1
Casa Pia
D
03 Mar 24
Casa Pia
0 – 0
GIL Vicente
D
02 Oct 23
GIL Vicente
2 – 0
Casa Pia
W
GIL VICENTE LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W L D
CASA PIA LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
GIL VICENTE #6
Won · already at 46 pts
CASA PIA #16
Lost · already at 26 pts
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 31 26 4 1 +48 82
W W W D W
2 Benfica 31 22 9 0 +47 75
W W W D W
3 Sporting CP 30 22 6 2 +55 72
D L W W W
4 SC Braga 31 16 8 7 +28 56
L W D W W
5 Famalicao 31 14 9 8 +12 51
W D D D W
6 GIL Vicente 30 12 10 8 +13 46
L D W L D
7 Guimaraes 31 12 6 13 -5 42
W W D W L
8 Moreirense 31 11 6 14 -11 39
L W D L L
9 Alverca 31 10 8 13 -15 38
W L W W L
10 Estoril 31 10 7 14 -1 37
L L L L L
11 Arouca 31 10 5 16 -21 35
L W L W W
12 Rio Ave 31 8 10 13 -19 34
L D W L W
13 Santa Clara 31 8 8 15 -10 32
W D L L W
14 Nacional 31 8 7 16 -7 31
W W L W L
15 Estrela 31 6 10 15 -17 28
L L L L W
16 Casa Pia 30 5 11 14 -25 26
L D L D L
17 Tondela 30 4 9 17 -29 21
L L D L D
18 AVS 31 1 11 19 -43 14
D D D L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Antonio Espigares
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Gustavo Varela
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dani Figueira
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Zé Carlos
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Murilo
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jérémy Livolant
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Cassiano
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Iyad Mohamed
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jonathan Mutombo
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · Andre Geraldes
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Joao Marques
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Pedro Rosas
  • 73'
    Goal · Penalty · Murilo
  • 70'
    Card · Yellow Card · Pedro Rosas
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Zé Carlos
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Hector Hernandez
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Martin Fernández
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'+7
    Goal · Penalty · Cassiano
  • 45'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Zé Carlos
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ivan Mandić
  • 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Murilo
  • 26'
    Card · Yellow Card · Rafael Brito
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
GIL VICENTE WIN
1.70
58.8% implied
↑ best 1.75
DRAW
3.56
28.1% implied
↑ best 3.75
CASA PIA WIN
5.04
19.8% implied
↑ best 5.60

Market favors GIL Vicente. AI projects GIL VICENTE 58%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS GIL VICENTE 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.69 3.55 5.10 -1.2%
1xBet 1.75 3.70 5.30 +0.9%
888Sport 1.70 3.40 4.80 -0.8%
Bet365 1.65 3.40 4.75 -2.6%
Betano 1.75 3.60 4.90 +0.9%
Betfair 1.70 3.60 5.00 -0.8%
BetVictor 1.67 3.50 4.80 -1.9%
Dafabet 1.73 3.75 5.20 +0.2%
Marathonbet 1.67 3.58 5.15 -1.4%
Pinnacle 1.72 3.73 5.30 -0.1%
SBO 1.68 3.52 4.84 -1.5%
Unibet 1.63 3.60 5.60 +0.1%
William Hill 1.70 3.40 4.80 -0.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.33 U 3.08
2.5 O 2.08 U 1.73
3.5 O 3.70 U 1.25
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.97 10 bks
NO
1.76 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.59
Away -0.5 2.16
Away -0.75 1.88
Away -1 1.61
Away -1.25 1.46
Away -1.5 1.36
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.