GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · ASTON VILLA 44%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SAT 25 APR · 11:30 LOCAL
FULHAM
10TH · 48 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W D L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
ASTON VILLA
W W D W W
· 5TH · 58 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 43' Ryan Sessegnon
GOALS
Joachim Andersen
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Joachim Andersen
Fulham · Captain · 90 mins
· 44% pass acc
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Premier League: Fulham vs Aston Villa
Watch on Youtube ↗
Premier League: Fulham vs Aston Villa
Premier League: Fulham vs Aston Villa
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.06
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.71
39%
BALL POSSESSION %
61%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
10
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
2
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ryan Sessegnon
    FUL
  2. 46'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Timothy Castagne
    FUL
  3. 49'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Pau Torres
    AST
  4. 66'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul
    Timothy Castagne
    FUL
  5. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Raul Jimenez · assist Rodrigo Muniz
    FUL
  6. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    John McGinn · assist Ross Barkley
    AST
  7. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Emiliano Buendía · assist Leon Bailey
    AST
  8. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Youri Tielemans · assist Jadon Sancho
    AST
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lamare Bogarde · assist Douglas Luiz
    AST
  10. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Emile Smith Rowe · assist Joshua King
    FUL
  11. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Samuel Chukwueze · assist Oscar Bobb
    FUL
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Ryan Sessegnon · assist Antonee Robinson
    FUL
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ollie Watkins · assist Tammy Abraham
    AST
  14. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Harry Wilson
    FUL
  15. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Douglas Luiz
    AST
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FULHAM AVG 7.5
ASTON VILLA AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.1
xG
0.7
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
6.0
ON TARGET
1.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
5.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
39.0%
POSSESSION %
61.0%
338.0
PASSES
526.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
5.0
7.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
12.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FULHAM 3 shots
Samuel Chukwueze
1/1
Ryan Sessegnon
1/1
Sander Berge
0/1
ASTON VILLA 1 shots
Youri Tielemans
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.06 – 0.71
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.0 HT 43' H 1.06 A 0.71 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.3
1
BERND LEN
 7.5
30
RYAN SESS
3
CALVIN BA
 8.0
5
JOACHIM A
21
TIMOTHY C
 7.3
16
SANDER BE
20
SASA LUKI
 7.5
19
SAMUEL CH
32
EMILE SMI
8
HARRY WIL
7
RAUL JIME
 7.6
23
EMILIANO
12
LUCAS DIG
 7.6
14
PAU TORRE
 7.0
4
EZRI KONS
2
MATTY CAS
 7.2
8
YOURI TIE
26
LAMARE BO
10
EMILIANO
27
MORGAN RO
 7.0
7
JOHN MCGI
11
OLLIE WAT
SUBSTITUTES · FULHAM
10
Tom Cairney
M
6
Harrison Ree...
M
31
Issa Diop
D
23
Benjamin Lec...
G
33
Antonee Robi...
D
14
Oscar Bobb
M
24
Joshua King
M
9
Rodrigo Muni...
F
18
Jonah Kusi-A...
F
COACH: Marco Silva
SUBSTITUTES · ASTON VILLA
5
Tyrone Mings
D
3
Victor Linde...
D
40
Marco Bizot
G
18
Tammy Abraha...
F
21
Douglas Luiz
M
31
Leon Bailey
F
19
Jadon Sancho
F
6
Ross Barkley
M
22
Ian Maatsen
D
COACH: Unai Emery
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FUL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Michael Oliver, England
—
FUL MANAGER
Marco Silva
head coach
AST MANAGER
Unai Emery
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
FUL WINS
0
DRAWS
8
AST WINS
20%
80%
9 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
28 Sep 25
Aston Villa
3 – 1
Fulham
L
03 May 25
Aston Villa
1 – 0
Fulham
L
19 Oct 24
Fulham
1 – 3
Aston Villa
L
17 Feb 24
Fulham
1 – 2
Aston Villa
L
12 Nov 23
Aston Villa
3 – 1
Fulham
L
FULHAM LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W D L
ASTON VILLA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
FULHAM #10
Won · already at 48 pts
ASTON VILLA #5
Lost · already at 58 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 34 22 7 5 +38 73
W L L W W
2 Manchester City 33 21 7 5 +37 70
W W W D D
3 Manchester United 33 16 10 7 +13 58
W L D W L
4 Liverpool 34 17 7 10 +13 58
W W W L D
5 Aston Villa 34 17 7 10 +5 58
L W D W L
6 Brighton 34 13 11 10 +9 50
W D W W W
7 Bournemouth 34 11 16 7 0 49
D W W D D
8 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 +8 48
L L L L L
9 Brentford 33 13 9 11 +4 48
D D D D D
10 Fulham 34 14 6 14 -2 48
W D L W D
11 Everton 34 13 8 13 0 47
L L D W L
12 Sunderland 34 12 10 12 -9 46
L L W W L
13 Crystal Palace 33 11 10 12 -3 43
L D W D W
14 Newcastle 34 12 6 16 -4 42
L L L L W
15 Leeds 34 9 13 12 -7 40
D W W D D
16 Nottingham Forest 34 10 9 15 -4 39
W W D W D
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 -16 36
W D W L D
18 Tottenham 34 8 10 16 -10 34
W D L L D
19 Burnley 34 4 8 22 -34 20
L L L L D
20 Wolves 34 3 8 23 -38 17
L L L D W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Douglas Luiz
    Roughing
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Harry Wilson
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ollie Watkins
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Ryan Sessegnon
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Samuel Chukwueze
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Emile Smith Rowe
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lamare Bogarde
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Youri Tielemans
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Emiliano Buendía
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · John McGinn
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Raul Jimenez
  • 66'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - Foul · Timothy Castagne
  • 49'
    Card · Yellow Card · Pau Torres
    Roughing
  • 46'
    Card · Yellow Card · Timothy Castagne
    Roughing
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ryan Sessegnon
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
FULHAM WIN
2.59
38.6% implied
↑ best 2.75
DRAW
3.50
28.6% implied
↑ best 3.64
ASTON VILLA WIN
2.61
38.3% implied
↑ best 2.75

Market favors Fulham. AI projects ASTON VILLA 44%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ASTON VILLA 44% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.56 3.45 2.56 +4.9%
1xBet 2.65 3.64 2.75 +7.6%
888Sport 2.50 3.40 2.50 +4.0%
Bet365 2.55 3.60 2.62 +5.8%
Betano 2.62 3.40 2.67 +6.5%
Betfair 2.63 3.50 2.63 +6.0%
BetVictor 2.50 3.60 2.63 +6.0%
Dafabet 2.75 3.60 2.50 +4.0%
Marathonbet 2.62 3.58 2.70 +7.0%
Pinnacle 2.64 3.55 2.73 +7.4%
SBO 2.54 3.23 2.52 +4.3%
Unibet 2.60 3.55 2.60 +5.5%
William Hill 2.50 3.40 2.50 +4.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 4.01
2.5 O 1.74 U 2.11
3.5 O 2.78 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.58 10 bks
NO
2.29 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.68
Away -0.5 1.51
Away -0.75 1.37
Away -1 1.22
Away -1.25 1.17
Away -1.5 1.14
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.